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The Wall Street Greek blog is the sexy & syndicated financial securities markets publication of former Senior Equity Analyst Markos N. Kaminis. Our stock market blog reaches reputable publishers & private networks and is an unbiased, independent Wall Street research resource on the economy, stocks, gold & currency, energy & oil, real estate and more. Wall Street & Greece should be as honest, dependable and passionate as The Greek.



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Seeking Alpha

Friday, May 27, 2016

Sell GDX - Gold Miners will Fall Harder than Gold

danger
In the middle of May, via the report For Gold, It’s the Beginning of the End of the Run, I indicated the downturn I had been looking for in precious metals had begun. The catalyst was a pivot in the economic trend and in expectations around the Fed, each of which serves refreshed dollar strength. Since then, gold has come under severe pressure, and investors are now seriously questioning whether it will recover or sink significantly further. Gold miners’ shares have fallen farther than gold since the day before the Fed minutes release because they had exaggerated the run higher. However, from this point, gold miners’ shares and the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners Trust (NYSE: GDX) could appear to lag gold until investors are convinced gold will anchor itself at lower levels. Though, once that fact is established, and it should not take long, gold miners should fall harder and further than gold. It is because the miners’ shares are a derivative to the gold price, with their revenues and earnings levered to the price of the commodity. See the whole story at Gold Miners will Fall Harder than Gold - Sell GDX.

DISCLOSURE: Kaminis is short GDX. Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only. Article should interest investors in precious metals stocks: Goldcorp (NYSE: GG), Agnico-Eagle Mines (NYSE: AEM), Allied Nevada Gold (AMEX: ANV), AngloGold Ashanti (NYSE: AU), AuRico Gold (NYSE: AUQ), Aurizon Mines (AMEX: AZK), Barrick Gold (NYSE: ABX), Brigus Gold (AMEX: BRD), Charles & Covard (Nasdaq: CTHR), Claude Resources (AMEX: CGR), Commerce Group (OTC: CGCO.PK), Compania Mina Buenaventura S.A. (NYSE: BVN), DRDGOLD (Nasdaq: DROOY), Eldorado Gold (NYSE: EGO), Entrée Gold (AMEX: EGI), Exeter Resource (AMEX: XRA), Gold Fields (NYSE: GFI), Gold Reserve (AMEX: GRZ), Gold Resource (Nasdaq: GORO), Golden Eagle Int’l (OTC: MYNG.PK), Golden Star Resources (AMEX: GSS), Great Basin Gold (AMEX: GBG), Harmony Gold (NYSE: HMY), IAMGOLD (NYSE: IAG), International Tower Hill Mines (AMEX: THM), Jaguar Mining (NYSE: JAG), Keegan Resources (AMEX: KGN), Kimber Resources (AMEX: KBX), Kingold Jewelry (Nasdaq: KGJI), Kinross Gold (NYSE: KGC), Midway Gold (AMEX: MDW), Minco Gold (AMEX: MGH), Nevsun Resources (AMEX: NSU), New Jersey Mining (OTC: NJMC.PK), Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM), North Bay Resources (OTC: NBRI.OB), Northgate Minerals (AMEX: NXG), NovaGold Resources (AMEX: NG), Richmont Mines (AMEX: RIC), Royal Gold (Nasdaq: RGLD), Rubicon Minerals (AMEX: RBY), Seabridge Gold (AMEX: SA), Solitario Exploration and Royalty (AMEX: XPL), Tanzanian Royalty Exploration (AMEX: TRE), Thunder Mountain Gold (OTC: THMG.OB), U.S. Gold (NYSE: UXG), Vista Gold (AMEX: VGZ), Wits Basin Precious Metals (OTC: WITM.PK), Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY), Coeur d’Alene Mines (NYSE: CDE), Endeavour Silver (NYSE: EXK), Hecla Mining (NYSE: HL), Mag Silver (AMEX: MVG), Mines Management (AMEX: MGN), Silver Standard Resources (Nasdaq: SSRI), Silver Wheaton (NYSE: SLW), SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEArca: GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEArca: GDX), iShares Silver Trust (NYSEArca: SLV), ProShares Ultra Silver (NYSEArca: AGQ), ProShares Ultra Short Silver (NYSEArca: ZSL), Great Panther Silver (AMEX: GPL), Silvercorp Metals (NYSE: SVM), Paramount Gold and Silver (AMEX: PZG), Pan American Silver (Nasdaq: PAAS) and First Majestic Silver (NYSE: AG).

lost dog

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Thursday, April 07, 2016

Avoid Eurotrash & European Investments Too

Markos Kaminis mustache eurotrash
I had a ball causing curiosity with this mustache
European equities recovered lost ground Wednesday thanks largely to a greater than expected weekly crude oil draw reported from U.S. inventory. That’s nice, but it should be a fleeting factor, while the weight I see coming against Europe as the quarter progresses is unfortunately stickier. Avoid Eurotrash (trust me on this one) and European investments too! Writers gotta be courageous with a touch of creative comedy, otherwise, why kick against the goad? See more on this at Still Avoid Europe Despite Contrarian Temptations.

Eurozone Relative ETFs
Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF (NYSE: VGK)
iShares Europe (NYSE: IEV)
WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity (NYSE: HEDJ)
iShares MSCI Germany (NYSE: EWG)
iShares MSCI France (NYSE: EWQ)
iShares MSCI Spain Capped (NYSE: EWP)
iShares MSCI Italy Capped (NYSE: EWI)
Global X FTSE Portugal 20 (NYSE: PGAL)
iShares MSCI Belgium Capped (NYSE: EWK)
iShares MSCI Netherlands (NYSE: EWN)
iShares MSCI Austria Capped (NYSE: EWO)
iShares MSCI Finland Capped (NYSE: EFNL)
iShares MSCI Ireland Capped (NYSE: EIRL)
Global X FTSE Greece 20 (NYSE: GREK)
iShares MSCI U.K. (NYSE: EWU) – Non Eurozone

Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only. Article is relevant to Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB), Banco Santander (NYSE: STD), ITA (Nasdaq: ITUB), UBS (NYSE: UBS), Westpac Banking (NYSE: WBK), Lloyds Banking Group (NYSE: LYG), Barclays (NYSE: BCS), Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS), Allied Irish Bank (NYSE: AIB), Banco Latinamericano (NYSE: BLX), National Bank of Greece (NYSE: NBG), Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY), BBVA Banco Frances (NYSE: BFR), The Bank of Ireland (NYSE: IRE), Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO), Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE: CM), ING Groep (NYSE: ING), Citigroup (NYSE: C).

Greek Facebook

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Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Sell Oil & Gas Exploration & Production - Take Risk off the Fringe of Energy

danger
In my recent report, Why Energy is in Serious Danger Again, I suggested investors in the energy sector prepare for another significant downturn near-term. That is especially true for investors at the fringe of risk, in energy exploration and production firms. So, I suggest investors with recent paper gains in the SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (NYSE: XOP) take profits here. I believe the security could retest February lows near-term on the same fundamental catalysts that I see pressuring oil. See more on why I say sell the Oil & Gas E&Ps here.

Top 10 Holdings of XOP ETF
Gain Since February 24 Close
Cabot Oil & Gas (NYSE: COG)
11.5%
Antero Resources (NYSE: AR)
2.7%
Gulfport Energy (Nasdaq: GPOR)
4.7%
EQT Corporation (NYSE: EQT)
12.9%
Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM)
3.0%
Range Resources (NYSE: RRC)
31.6%
Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY)
-0.3%
Parsley Energy (NYSE: PE)
31.8%
Southwestern Energy (NYSE: SWN)
8.1%
Chevron (NYSE: CVX)
11.2%

Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only. Article interests energy investors including Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM), BP (NYSE: BP), PetroChina (NYSE: PTR), Petrobras (NYSE: PZE), Royal Dutch Shell (OTC: RYDAF.PK), Total (NYSE: TOT), Chevron (NYSE: CVX), Repsol (OTC: REPYY.PK), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), Eni SpA (NYSE: E), Sasol (NYSE: SSL), Encana (NYSE: ECA), Suncor (NYSE: SU), Imperial Oil (AMEX: IMO), Statoil (NYSE: STO), Cenovus (NYSE: CVE), Transocean (NYSE: RIG), Penn West Petroleum (NYSE: PWE), Continental Resources (NYSE: CLR), Noble (NYSE: NE), Concho (NYSE: CXO), Diamond Offshore (NYSE: DO), Ensco (NYSE: ESV), Whiting Petroleum (NYSE: WLL), Nabors (NYSE: NBR), Pride International (NYSE: PDE), Helmerich & Payne (NYSE: HP), QEP Resources (NYSE: QEP), Enerplus (NYSE: ERF), Rowan (NYSE: RDC), Cobalt (NYSE: CIE), Patterson UTI (Nasdaq: PTEN), SandRidge (NYSE: SD), Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB), Halliburton (NYSE: HAL), National Oilwell Varco (NYSE: NOV), Baker Hughes (NYSE: BHI), Weatherford International (NYSE: WFT), Cameron (NYSE: CAM), FMC Tech (NYSE: FTI), Oil States International (NYSE: OIS), Superior Energy (NYSE: SPN), Carbo Ceramics (NYSE: CRR), Helix Energy (NYSE: HLX), Pioneer (NYSE: PXD), CNOOC (NYSE: CEO), China Petroleum and Chemical (NYSE: SNP), Ecopetrol (NYSE: EC), Canadian Natural Resources (NYSE: CNQ), Apache (NYSE: APA), Anadarko (NYSE: APC), Devon (NYSE: DVN), EOG (NYSE: EOG), Chesapeake (NYSE: CHK).

Phillip Phillips

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Thursday, March 24, 2016

Volatility Hedges are Timely & Cheap Again – Consider the VXX

trepidation
When I first suggested investors consider volatility hedges last August before the stock market correction, the comment section of the article was full of criticism. I suppose that was understandable, given that the critics didn’t foresee the correction I anticipated. Since last summer’s event, the iPath S&P 500 VIX ST Futures ETN (NYSE: VXX) has mostly traded above where I first recommended it, though I told holders to sell it at a profit since. Volatility hedges like the VXX are indeed ironically risky instruments that are not to be held for the long-term. But today, I once again view them timely and appropriate tools for sophisticated investors to use for portfolio protection. Fortunately, they are also much more affordable than they were just a few weeks ago. See the full report on why you should consider volatility hedges again here.

Volatility Securities
iPath S&P 500 VIX ST Futures ETN (NYSE: VXX)
VelocityShares VIX ST ETN (NYSE: VIIX)
ProShares VIX ST Futures (NYSE: VIXY)
iPath S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN (NYSE: VXZ)
Extra Leverage, Higher Risk
ProShares Ultra VIX ST Futures (NYSE: UVXY)
VelocityShares Daily 2X VIX (NYSE: TVIX)

Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only. Article should interest investors in Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), J.P. Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), Citigroup (NYSE: C), Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), TD Bank (NYSE: TD), PNC Bank (NYSE: PNC), State Street (NYSE: STT), Janus (NYSE: JNS), T. Rowe Price (Nasdaq: TROW), General Electric (NYSE: GE), Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT), McDonald's (NYSE: MCD), Alcoa (NYSE: AA), American Express (NYSE: AXP), Boeing (NYSE: BA), Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO), Chevron (NYSE: CVX), DuPont (NYSE: DD), Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS), Home Depot (NYSE: HD), Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ), IBM (NYSE: IBM), Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), Kraft (NYSE: KFT), Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), 3M (NYSE: MMM), Merck (NYSE: MRK), Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), Pfizer (NYSE: PFE), Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), AT&T (NYSE: T), Travelers (NYSE: TRV), United Technologies (NYSE: UTX), Verizon (NYSE: VZ), Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM), Paychex (Nasdaq: PAYX), Manpower (NYSE: MAN), Robert Half International (NYSE: RHI), 51Job Inc. (Nasdaq: JOBS), Monster World Wide (NYSE: MWW), Korn/Ferry International (NYSE: KFY), Administaff (NYSE: ASF), Kforce (Nasdaq: KFRC), TrueBlue (NYSE: TBI), Dice Holdings (NYSE: DHX), Kelly Services (Nasdaq: KELYA), SFN Group (NYSE: SFN), CDI Corp. (NYSE: CDI), Cross Country Healthcare (Nasdaq: CCRN), On Assignment (Nasdaq: ASGN), AMN Healthcare Services (NYSE: AHS), Barrett Business Services (Nasdaq: BBSI), Hudson Highland Group (Nasdaq: HHGP), StarTek (NYSE: SRT), RCM Technologies (Nasdaq: RCMT), VirtualScopics (Nasdaq: VSCP), General Employment Enterprises (NYSE: JOB) and TeamStaff (Nasdaq: TSTF).

financial columnist

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Wednesday, March 16, 2016

Sell Gold Miners – They're Levered to the Gold Collapse Catalyst

easy does it
Gold prices should suffer a setback if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) dot-plot economic forecasts show Fed-member expectations for rate hikes this year. The market has priced out that possibility and therefore would have to adjust to it, which I believe results in a sharp move higher for the dollar and a collapse in gold prices. Gold miners are naturally levered to gold prices, as their profitability depends on it. Thus, I have taken a short position in the recently enriched Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX). I suggest holders of the GDX sell it now. See the full report: Sell Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) - Levered to Gold Collapse Catalyst.

DISCLOSURE: Kaminis is short GDX. Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only. Article should interest investors in SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE: DIA), SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY), PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQ), ProShares Short Dow 30 (NYSE: DOG), ProShares Ultra Short S&P 500 (NYSE: SDS), ProShares Ultra QQQ (NYSE: QLD), NYSE Euronext (NYSE: NYX), The NASDAQ OMX Group (Nasdaq: NDAQ), Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE), E*Trade Financial (Nasdaq: ETFC), Charles Schwab (Nasdaq: SCHW), Asset Acceptance Capital (Nasdaq: AACC), Affiliated Managers (NYSE: AMG), Ameriprise Financial (NYSE: AMP), TD Ameritrade (Nasdaq: AMTD), BGC Partners (Nasdaq: BGCP), Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE: BK), BlackRock (NYSE: BLK), CIT Group (NYSE: CIT), Calamos Asset Management (Nasdaq: CLMS), CME Group (NYSE: CME), Cohn & Steers (NYSE: CNS), Cowen Group (Nasdaq: COWN), Diamond Hill Investment (Nasdaq: DHIL), Dollar Financial (Nasdaq: DLLR), Duff & Phelps (Nasdaq: DUF), Encore Capital (Nasdaq: ECPG), Edelman Financial (Nasdaq: EF), Equifax (NYSE: EFX), Epoch (Nasdaq: EPHC), Evercore Partners (NYSE: EVR), EXCorp. (Nasdaq: EZPW), FBR Capital Markets (Nasdaq: FBCM), First Cash Financial (Nasdaq: FCFS), Federated Investors (NYSE: FII), First Marblehead (NYSE: FMD), Fidelity National Financial (NYSE: FNF), Financial Engines (Nasdaq: FNGN), FXCM (Nasdaq: FXCM), Gamco Investors (NYSE: GBL), GAIN Capital (Nasdaq: GCAP), Green Dot (Nasdaq: GDOT), GFI Group (Nasdaq: GFIG), Greenhill (NYSE: GHL), Gleacher (Nasdaq: GLCH), Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), Interactive Brokers (Nasdaq: IBKR), INTL FCStone (Nasdaq: INTL), Intersections (Nasdaq: INTX), Investment Technology (NYSE: ITG), Invesco (NYSE: IVZ), Jefferies (NYSE: JEF), JMP Group (NYSE: JMP), Janus Capital (NYSE: JNS), KBW (NYSE: KBW), Knight Capital (NYSE: KCG), Lazard (NYSE: LAZ), Legg Mason (NYSE: LM), LPL Investment (Nasdaq: LPLA), Ladenburg Thalmann (AMEX: LTS), Mastercard (NYSE: MA), Moody’s (NYSE: MCO), MF Global (NYSE: MF), Moneygram (NYSE: MGI), MarketAxess (Nasdaq: MKTX), Marlin Business Services (Nasdaq: MRLN), Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS), MSCI (Nasdaq: MSCI), MGIC Investment (NYSE: MTG), NewStar Financial (Nasdaq: NEWS), National Financial Partners (NYSE: NFP), Nelnet (NYSE: NNI), Northern Trust (Nasdaq: NTRS), NetSpend (Nasdaq: NTSP), Ocwen Financial (NYSE: OCN), Oppenheimer (NYSE: OPY), optionsXpress (Nasdaq: OXPS), PICO (Nasdaq: PICO), Piper Jaffray (NYSE: PJC), PMI Group (NYSE: PMI), Penson Worldwide (Nasdaq: PNSN), Portfolio Recovery (Nasdaq: PRAA), Raymond James (NYSE: RJF), SEI Investments (Nasdaq: SEIC), Stifel Financial (NYSE: SF), Safeguard Scientifics (NYSE: SFE), State Street (NYSE: STT), SWS (NYSE: SWS), T. Rowe Price (Nasdaq: TROW), Visa (NYSE: V) and Virtus Investment Partners (Nasdaq: VRTS).

who predicted stock market correction

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Friday, February 12, 2016

Take Profits in Gold – NIRP Fallacy, Economic Balance, Dollar Recovery Weigh

cheers
Thursday’s 4.0% surge in the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD) was guided by a faulty catalyst. The prospect of negative interest rates in the U.S. is a fallacy getting far too much weight by media and market thanks to Fed caution and congressional member curiosity. I expect that as Fed members begin to make that clear through public engagements, some of this latest luster will fade near-term. Also, some balance should return to the economic outlook, and fear should rise about the next action of the ECB over coming weeks. This should return some muscle to the dollar, and gold should give back some of its gains. Thus, I’m suggesting investors take profits in GLD for now, and wait for a better return entry point at a later date. See the full report on gold here.

Precious Metal Securities
YTD Thru 02-11-16
SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY)
-10.3%
SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD)
+17.3%
iShares Gold Trust (NYSE: IAU)
+17.6%
iShares Silver Trust (NYSE: SLV)
+13.3%
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X (NYSE: NUGT)
+117%
Market Vectors Gold Miners (NYSE: GDX)
+34%
Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners (NYSE: GDXJ)
+25%
Goldcorp (NYSE: GG)
+30%
Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM)
+39%
Silver Wheaton (NYSE: SLW)
+19.5%

Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only. Article should interest investors in precious metals stocks: Goldcorp (NYSE: GG), Agnico-Eagle Mines (NYSE: AEM), Allied Nevada Gold (AMEX: ANV), AngloGold Ashanti (NYSE: AU), AuRico Gold (NYSE: AUQ), Aurizon Mines (AMEX: AZK), Barrick Gold (NYSE: ABX), Brigus Gold (AMEX: BRD), Charles & Covard (Nasdaq: CTHR), Claude Resources (AMEX: CGR), Commerce Group (OTC: CGCO.PK), Compania Mina Buenaventura S.A. (NYSE: BVN), DRDGOLD (Nasdaq: DROOY), Eldorado Gold (NYSE: EGO), Entrée Gold (AMEX: EGI), Exeter Resource (AMEX: XRA), Gold Fields (NYSE: GFI), Gold Reserve (AMEX: GRZ), Gold Resource (Nasdaq: GORO), Golden Eagle Int’l (OTC: MYNG.PK), Golden Star Resources (AMEX: GSS), Great Basin Gold (AMEX: GBG), Harmony Gold (NYSE: HMY), IAMGOLD (NYSE: IAG), International Tower Hill Mines (AMEX: THM), Jaguar Mining (NYSE: JAG), Keegan Resources (AMEX: KGN), Kimber Resources (AMEX: KBX), Kingold Jewelry (Nasdaq: KGJI), Kinross Gold (NYSE: KGC), Midway Gold (AMEX: MDW), Minco Gold (AMEX: MGH), Nevsun Resources (AMEX: NSU), New Jersey Mining (OTC: NJMC.PK), Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM), North Bay Resources (OTC: NBRI.OB), Northgate Minerals (AMEX: NXG), NovaGold Resources (AMEX: NG), Richmont Mines (AMEX: RIC), Royal Gold (Nasdaq: RGLD), Rubicon Minerals (AMEX: RBY), Seabridge Gold (AMEX: SA), Solitario Exploration and Royalty (AMEX: XPL), Tanzanian Royalty Exploration (AMEX: TRE), Thunder Mountain Gold (OTC: THMG.OB), U.S. Gold (NYSE: UXG), Vista Gold (AMEX: VGZ), Wits Basin Precious Metals (OTC: WITM.PK), Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY), Coeur d’Alene Mines (NYSE: CDE), Endeavour Silver (NYSE: EXK), Hecla Mining (NYSE: HL), Mag Silver (AMEX: MVG), Mines Management (AMEX: MGN), Silver Standard Resources (Nasdaq: SSRI), Silver Wheaton (NYSE: SLW), SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEArca: GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEArca: GDX), iShares Silver Trust (NYSEArca: SLV), ProShares Ultra Silver (NYSEArca: AGQ), ProShares Ultra Short Silver (NYSEArca: ZSL), Great Panther Silver (AMEX: GPL), Silvercorp Metals (NYSE: SVM), Paramount Gold and Silver (AMEX: PZG), Pan American Silver (Nasdaq: PAAS) and First Majestic Silver (NYSE: AG).

lost dog

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Wednesday, December 23, 2015

Play Volatility Now - History Shows the Next 3 Months Could be Choppy

volatility
When ordering your market pie now, expect to get some extra volatility on that. In periods around a first Fed rate hike the market tends to exhibit higher volatility than normal. During the particular period in play today, I think you can expect even more than that for various reasons discussed herein. As a result, sophisticated investors might make more use of volatility instruments now like the iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (NYSE: VXX). Please note that the VXX is for sophisticated investors who understand its inherent risk. The VXX may be useful as a short-term hedging instrument, but its historical performance shows its inherent tendency to shed value over the long-term. See more of this report on how to play volatility now.

DISCLOSURE: Kaminis is currently short VXX, but may go long over the next 72 hours. Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only. Editor's Note: Article should interest investors in Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Freddie Mac (OTC: FMCC.OB), Fannie Mae (OTC: FNMA.OB), Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), Toronto Dominion (NYSE: TD), BB&T (NYSE: BBT), CIT (NYSE: CIT), Bank United (NYSE: BKU), First Citizens (OTC: FCNCA.PK), Synovus (NYSE: SNV), United Bankshares (Nasdaq: UBSI), Hampton Roads Bankshares (Nasdaq: HMPR), WesBanco (Nasdaq: WSBC), City Holding (Nasdaq: CHCO), Sandy Spring (Nasdaq: SASR), First Citizens (OTC: FCBN.OB), SCBT Financial (Nasdaq: SCBT), Wilmington Trust (NYSE: WL), WSFS Financial (Nasdaq: WSFS), Southside Bancshares (Nasdaq: SBSI), Stellar One (Nasdaq: STEL), Union First Market (Nasdaq: UBSH), Eagle Bancorp (Nasdaq: EGBN), First Bancorp (Nasdaq: FBNC), Ameris (Nasdaq: ABCB), The Bancorp (Nasdaq: TBBK), First Community (Nasdaq: FCBC), Capital City (Nasdaq: CCBG), Financial Institutions (Nasdaq: FISI), National Bankshares (Nasdaq: NKSH), Citizens & Northern (Nasdaq: CZNC), Charter Financial (Nasdaq: CHFN), Seacoast Banking (Nasdaq: SBCF), TIB Financial (Nasdaq: TIBB), American National (Nasdaq: AMNB), United Community (Nasdaq: UCBI), Middleburg Financial (Nasdaq: MBRG), Heritage Financial (Nasdaq: HBOS), Zions Bancorp (Nasdaq: ZION), East West Bancorp (Nasdaq: EWBC), City National (NYSE: CYN), Bank of Hawaii (NYSE: BOH), SVB Financial (Nasdaq: SIVB), Westamerica (Nasdaq: WABC), Cathay General (Nasdaq: CATY), Umpqua (Nasdaq: UMPQ), Glacier Bancorp (Nasdaq: GBCI), Pacific Capital (Nasdaq: PCBC), PacWest (Nasdaq: PACW), Western Alliance (NYSE: WAL), First National Alaska (OTC: FBAK.OB), First Interstate Bancsystem (Nasdaq: FIBK), Nara (Nasdaq: NARA), West Coast (Nasdaq: WCBO), TriCo (Nasdaq: TCBK), Territorial (Nasdaq: TBNK), Washington Banking (Nasdaq: WCBO), Bank of Marin (Nasdaq: BMRC), Hanmi (Nasdaq: HAFC), PNC Bank (NYSE: PNC), J.P. Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), United Bankshares (Nasdaq: UBSI), Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE: BK), MB Financial (Nasdaq: MBFI), Astoria Financial (NYSE: AF), New York Community (NYSE: NYB), Hudson City (Nasdaq: HCBK), People’s United (Nasdaq: PBCT), First Niagra (Nasdaq: FNFG), Capitol Federal (Nasdaq: CFFN), Washington Federal (Nasdaq: WFSL), Investor’s Bancorp (Nasdaq: ISBC), Northwest Bankshares (Nasdaq: NWBI), Sterling Financial (Nasdaq: STSA), Ocwen (NYSE: OCN), Flagstar (NYSE: FBC), Provident (NYSE: PFS), Colombia Banking (Nasdaq: COLB), Kearny (Nasdaq: KRNY), Brookline (Nasdaq: BRKL), Dime Community (Nasdaq: DCOM), Flushing Financial (Nasdaq: FFIC), Danvers (Nasdaq: DNBK).

who predicted the stock market crash

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Thursday, December 17, 2015

BUY QQQ: Nasdaq Pressured for All the Wrong Reasons

time to relax
Fear has spread across the market. Major business media has raised the specter of a Fed rate hike that could stir trouble for emerging markets and high-yield debt. While it’s true that higher interest rates pressure borrowers on the margins, they shouldn’t immediately bankrupt them all. That is unless panic is pushed to the populace and investors immediately demand even greater yield for the debt that helps to sustain those fringe borrowers. Nevertheless, I see an opportunity here as the PowerShares QQQ (Nasdaq: QQQ) is being pressured for all the wrong reasons. The Nasdaq-100 has already been discounted by this issue and concern about lower energy prices, despite a lack of direct exposure to either. And there is a chance the Nasdaq-100 could sink further on these concerns this week. I would see any further decline as a very special opportunity, which I expect smart money would pounce upon, driving the QQQ to bounce higher not long thereafter. Indeed, the move higher may already be underway. Thus, I suggest using this wrongfully placed weakness as an opportunity to acquire the top Nasdaq stocks at discount by using the PowerShares QQQ. See the full report on the QQQ here.

PowerShares QQQ Top 10 Holdings
% of Assets as of October 30
Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL)
12.83%
Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT)
7.92
Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN)
5.51
Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOG)
4.60
Facebook (Nasdaq: FB)
4.34
Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOGL)
4.02
Intel (Nasdaq: INTC)
3.03
Gilead Sciences (Nasdaq: GILD)
2.99
Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO)
2.76
Comcast Corporation (Nasdaq: CMCSA)
2.49

Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only. This article should interest investors in Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO), Juniper Networks (Nasdaq: JNPR), Riverbed Technology (Nasdaq: RVBD), Aruba Networks (Nasdaq: ARUN), Finisar (Nasdaq: FNSR), Super Micro Computer (Nasdaq: SMCI), Black Box (Nasdaq: BBOX), Digi International (Nasdaq: DGII), Echelon (Nasdaq: ELON), Extreme Networks (Nasdaq: EXTR), Globecomm (Nasdaq: GCOM), Hughes Telematics (OTC: HUTC.OB), Lantronix (Nasdaq: LTRX), Lattice (OTC: LTTC.OB), Network Equipment Technology (Nasdaq: NWK), Performance Technologies (Nasdaq: PTIX), Sierra Wireless (Nasdaq: SWIR), Silicom (Nasdaq: SILC), Sycamore Networks (Nasdaq: SCMR), Valpey-Fisher (Nasdaq: VPF), Google (Nasdaq: GOOG), Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), Yandex (Nasdaq: YNDX), LinkedIn (Nasdaq: LNKD), Akamai (Nasdaq: AKAM), Ancestry.com (Nasdaq: ACOM), AOL (NYSE: AOL), Atrinsic (Nasdaq: ATRN), Autobytel (Nasdaq: ABTL), Banks.com (AMEX: BNX), Bitauto (Nasdaq: BITA), China Finance Online (Nasdaq: JRJC), ChinaCache International (Nasdaq: CCIH), Clicker Inc. (OTC: CLKZ.PK), EDGAR Online (Nasdaq: EDGR), eDiets.com (Nasdaq: DIETD), Global Sources (Nasdaq: GSOL), HealthStream (Nasdaq: HSTM), HSW Int’l (Nasdaq: HSWI), InfoSpace (Nasdaq: INSP), InterXion (Nasdaq: INXN), Jiayuan.com (Nasdaq: DATE), Knobias (OTC: KBAS.PK), Local.com (Nasdaq: LOCM), LookSmart (Nasdaq: LOOK), Market Leader (Nasdaq: LEDR), MMR Information (OTC: MMRF.OB), Prime Companies (OTC: PCIR.PK), Quepasa (OTC: QPSA.PK), Rediff.com (Nasdaq: REDF), Renren (Nasdaq: RENN), Salon Media (OTC: SLNM.PK), Sohu.com (Nasdaq: SOHU), SouFun Holdings (Nasdaq: SFUN), Subaye (Nasdaq: SBAY), TechTarget (Nasdaq: TTGT), The Knot (Nasdaq: KNOT), TheStreet.com (NYSE: TST), Travelzoo (Nasdaq: TZOO), Tucows (AMEX: TCX), Vertro (Nasdaq: VTRO), Web.com (Nasdaq: WWWW), WebMD (Nasdaq: WBMD), Yahoo (Nasdaq: YHOO), Youku.com (Nasdaq: YOKU).

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Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Gold Haunted by Black Shadows & Green Specters

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The movement of gold prices may have confounded some investors recently. Normally, gold (NYSE: GLD) would rise sharply on a disruptive geopolitical concern like the one we saw in Paris. Indeed, the black shadow of terrorism presents gold as a viable asset for wealth protection. However, the dollar also appreciates in flights to quality when a scare strikes at Europe or elsewhere around the world, especially when the European Central Bank (ECB) comes into play. So gold has had the weight of a strong dollar working against it at the same time. This balance of influences has kept gold about unchanged since last month, despite bouts of volatility. See the full report on gold here.

Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only. Article should interest investors in precious metals stocks: Goldcorp (NYSE: GG), Agnico-Eagle Mines (NYSE: AEM), Allied Nevada Gold (AMEX: ANV), AngloGold Ashanti (NYSE: AU), AuRico Gold (NYSE: AUQ), Aurizon Mines (AMEX: AZK), Barrick Gold (NYSE: ABX), Brigus Gold (AMEX: BRD), Charles & Covard (Nasdaq: CTHR), Claude Resources (AMEX: CGR), Commerce Group (OTC: CGCO.PK), Compania Mina Buenaventura S.A. (NYSE: BVN), DRDGOLD (Nasdaq: DROOY), Eldorado Gold (NYSE: EGO), Entrée Gold (AMEX: EGI), Exeter Resource (AMEX: XRA), Gold Fields (NYSE: GFI), Gold Reserve (AMEX: GRZ), Gold Resource (Nasdaq: GORO), Golden Eagle Int’l (OTC: MYNG.PK), Golden Star Resources (AMEX: GSS), Great Basin Gold (AMEX: GBG), Harmony Gold (NYSE: HMY), IAMGOLD (NYSE: IAG), International Tower Hill Mines (AMEX: THM), Jaguar Mining (NYSE: JAG), Keegan Resources (AMEX: KGN), Kimber Resources (AMEX: KBX), Kingold Jewelry (Nasdaq: KGJI), Kinross Gold (NYSE: KGC), Midway Gold (AMEX: MDW), Minco Gold (AMEX: MGH), Nevsun Resources (AMEX: NSU), New Jersey Mining (OTC: NJMC.PK), Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM), North Bay Resources (OTC: NBRI.OB), Northgate Minerals (AMEX: NXG), NovaGold Resources (AMEX: NG), Richmont Mines (AMEX: RIC), Royal Gold (Nasdaq: RGLD), Rubicon Minerals (AMEX: RBY), Seabridge Gold (AMEX: SA), Solitario Exploration and Royalty (AMEX: XPL), Tanzanian Royalty Exploration (AMEX: TRE), Thunder Mountain Gold (OTC: THMG.OB), U.S. Gold (NYSE: UXG), Vista Gold (AMEX: VGZ), Wits Basin Precious Metals (OTC: WITM.PK), Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY), Coeur d’Alene Mines (NYSE: CDE), Endeavour Silver (NYSE: EXK), Hecla Mining (NYSE: HL), Mag Silver (AMEX: MVG), Mines Management (AMEX: MGN), Silver Standard Resources (Nasdaq: SSRI), Silver Wheaton (NYSE: SLW), SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEArca: GLD), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEArca: GDX), iShares Silver Trust (NYSEArca: SLV), ProShares Ultra Silver (NYSEArca: AGQ), ProShares Ultra Short Silver (NYSEArca: ZSL), Great Panther Silver (AMEX: GPL), Silvercorp Metals (NYSE: SVM), Paramount Gold and Silver (AMEX: PZG), Pan American Silver (Nasdaq: PAAS) and First Majestic Silver (NYSE: AG).

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Buy United States Oil Here – Discovery of Support

oil prices
United States Oil (NYSE: USO) had an important discovery Monday; it found support. Some are pointing to technical analysis for reasoning, but there are fundamental factors to point to. Energy prices have stabilized for now thanks largely to supportive economic data out of Europe and China. Still, given recent supply stubbornness, energy could require a geopolitical catalyst to really get going to the upside over the near-term. Because I give weight to that possibility, I can recommend immediate purchase for aggressive investors and a buy and hold strategy for all others on a positive change in demand dynamics. See the full report on United States Oil (USO) here.

DISCLOSURE: Kaminis is long USO. Article interests energy investors including Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM), BP (NYSE: BP), PetroChina (NYSE: PTR), Petrobras (NYSE: PZE), Royal Dutch Shell (OTC: RYDAF.PK), Total (NYSE: TOT), Chevron (NYSE: CVX), Repsol (OTC: REPYY.PK), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), Eni SpA (NYSE: E), Sasol (NYSE: SSL), Encana (NYSE: ECA), Suncor (NYSE: SU), Imperial Oil (AMEX: IMO), Statoil (NYSE: STO), Cenovus (NYSE: CVE), Transocean (NYSE: RIG), Penn West Petroleum (NYSE: PWE), Continental Resources (NYSE: CLR), Noble (NYSE: NE), Concho (NYSE: CXO), Diamond Offshore (NYSE: DO), Ensco (NYSE: ESV), Whiting Petroleum (NYSE: WLL), Nabors (NYSE: NBR), Pride International (NYSE: PDE), Helmerich & Payne (NYSE: HP), QEP Resources (NYSE: QEP), Enerplus (NYSE: ERF), Rowan (NYSE: RDC), Cobalt (NYSE: CIE), Patterson UTI (Nasdaq: PTEN), SandRidge (NYSE: SD), Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB), Halliburton (NYSE: HAL), National Oilwell Varco (NYSE: NOV), Baker Hughes (NYSE: BHI), Weatherford International (NYSE: WFT), Cameron (NYSE: CAM), FMC Tech (NYSE: FTI), Oil States International (NYSE: OIS), Superior Energy (NYSE: SPN), Carbo Ceramics (NYSE: CRR), Helix Energy (NYSE: HLX), Pioneer (NYSE: PXD), CNOOC (NYSE: CEO), China Petroleum and Chemical (NYSE: SNP), Ecopetrol (NYSE: EC), Canadian Natural Resources (NYSE: CNQ), Apache (NYSE: APA), Anadarko (NYSE: APC), Devon (NYSE: DVN), EOG (NYSE: EOG), Chesapeake (NYSE: CHK). Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.

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Tuesday, November 03, 2015

Deflategate Part II – Discussions with Draghi

deflategate
By now just about everyone in America is aware of Deflategate, or the alleged air pressure manipulation of footballs in NFL games played in the Boston area. Well, if I were writing a sequel today, it would have nothing to do with Tom Brady and the Patriots, but instead feature the play in the euro driven by the discussions of an influential central bank quarterback, Mario Draghi. Recently, hot air has had some serious implications for the euro/dollar trade and commodities as well, whether it has come from the ECB or the U.S. Fed. I would go so far as to say it has inappropriately inflated the dollar versus a deflated euro. As a result, I see long positions in the dollar using the PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish (NYSE: UUP) extended and recommend their disposal. See Deflategate The Sequel here. Article interests PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish (NYSE: UUP), PowerShares DB US Dollar Bearish (NYSE: UNP), CurrencyShares Euro (NYSE: FXE), SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD), iShares Silver Trust (NYSE: SLV), Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), United States Oil (NYSE: USO).

Kaminis is long USO. Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.

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Thursday, September 17, 2015

Stocks Should Recover Now - Buy the SPY ETF

When I authored my warnings about market correction in early to mid-August, I also indicated what the cure for stocks would eventually be. One of those factors appears to be about ready to help out, and that is clarification from the Fed. No matter what happens Thursday afternoon, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will provide some clarity to investors. Stocks should benefit from the removal of some uncertainty, and I see immediate upside of 2.5% to 5.0% probable for the SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY) post the Fed meeting. But any gains and the length of duration of upward direction will depend on the specifics of what the Fed does and says. The longer term for stocks and the SPY will continue to depend on the U.S. economy, energy sector issues, emerging market implications, seasonal capital flow factors and the Fed path and accuracy moving forward. See the full report on the stock market and the SPY ETF here. This article may also interest SPDR Dow Jones (NYSE: DIA), PowerShares QQQ (Nasdaq: QQQ), iShares Russell 2000 (NYSE: IWM), Vanguard Total Stock Market (NYSE: VTI).

Kaminis is Long SPY. Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.

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We Recommended VXX at $16 Pre-Correction & it Rose 97% in 2 Weeks

In the first half of August before the market correction I vehemently warned investors to: raise cash levels; avoid the temptation to purchase dips in the market; and to buy the iPath S&P 500 ST Futures ETN (NYSE: VXX) at approximately $16. The stock market corrected shortly after my recommendation, with the investors in the VXX having a best case gain measuring 97% if sold at $31.48 intraday on September 1st. I closed my initial VXX long position (call options) during the correction in August at a significant profit. As I produced this report, the VXX security traded at approximately $24 and still offered a 50% profit to early stakeholders who might still be holding the security. Given the greater likelihood of Fed inaction versus the probability of action this week, and as I anticipate a higher likelihood of a market rise on such news than the possibility of decline, I’m suggesting investors still holding the VXX sell the security and take profits now if they have not already done so. The VXX should fall swiftly in the event of a change in market sentiment to the positive. If you would like to keep some hedge in place due to an expectation for a Fed surprise, I suggest doing so with a much smaller stake and still recommend taking your cost and a good deal of your profits out of the VXX now if you have not already done so. See the full report on the VXX security here. In case you missed it, I predicted the market correction

Article also interests investors in ProShares Ultra VIX ST Futures (NYSE: UVXY), VelocityShares Daily 2X VIX (NYSE: TVIX), VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX ST (NYSE: XIV), VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX MT (NYSE: ZIV), PowerShares QQQ (Nasdaq: QQQ) and SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY).

Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.

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Wednesday, August 19, 2015

One Security to Save us All - iPath S&P 500 VIX ST Futures (NYSE: VXX)

In anticipation of market turmoil and volatility, I sought a security to survive the storm. The iPath S&P 500 VIX ST Futures (NYSE: VXX) is just what the doctor ordered to hedge portfolios against a downturn now. On occasion, it can also serve the most morbid of investors to enjoy capital appreciation while most investments are being slaughtered. This appears to be just such an occasion, as I see risk of a 10% or greater market correction heightened from here through October. See the full report on the one security to save us all

Sector Security
Wednesday Midday 8-12-15
iPath S&P 500 VIX ST Futures (NYSE: VXX)
+5.4%
SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY)
-0.9%
SPDR Dow Jones (NYSE: DIA)
-1.1%
PowerShares QQQ (Nasdaq: QQQ)
-1.1%
iShares Russell 2000 (NYSE: IWM)
-1.3%
Vanguard Total Stock Market (NYSE: VTI)
-1.0%
PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish (NYSE: UUP)
-1.2%
SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD)
+1.3%
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT)
+0.4%

Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.

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Saturday, July 04, 2015

Sell Spain - The Leftists are Coming!

Some pundits believe that any sort of closure for the Greece issue is a plus for Europe, whether the place and people from which Europe got its name stays in the eurozone or leaves it. But there is one European market sector that I do not see a positive outlook for either way. Spain looks to be the next Greece because of a political circumstance similar to what occurred in Greece before the current crisis heated up. I suggest investors sell the iShares MSCI Spain Capped ETF (NYSE: EWP) and Spanish stocks generally, because of a succession of political victories that too closely resembles what happened in Greece. I believe it will lead to division between Spain (perhaps emboldened now by Greece’s display of strength) and more progressive economies to the North. See more on investing in Spain. This article also interests iShares Europe (NYSE: IEV), Vanguard FTSE Europe (NYSE: VGK), WisdomTree Hedged Europe (NYSE: HEDJ).

Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.

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Tuesday, June 30, 2015

Troubling Outlook for GLD

Investors in the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD), which tracks the price of gold, closed out a tough week last week as gold prices fell against the rise of the dollar. Most of the GLD’s declines were born on Monday last week, when most of the dollar’s gains were captured. The remainder of the week mostly saw gold and the GLD meander against a similar trading pattern for the dollar. The catalyst for each was surprisingly not so much Greece, but rather it was driven by a renewed focus on the diverging paths of the U.S., European and Japanese central banks. Still, I believe there is an underlying and credible shadow of a Grexit hanging over gold now. This week presents more concern for SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD) holders as a result, but long-term interests willing to bear near-term volatility should hold on.

Greek Prime Minister
Our founder earned clients a 23% average annual return over five years as a stock analyst on Wall Street. "The Greek" has written for institutional newsletters, Businessweek, Real Money, Seeking Alpha and others, while also appearing across TV and radio. While writing for Wall Street Greek, Mr. Kaminis presciently warned of the financial crisis.

5-Day Chart of GLD at Seeking Alpha
The five-day chart of the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD) shows most of the week’s 2.2% loss came at the start of the period. However, a soft new level for the gold tracking ETF held through the remainder of the week as issues that weighed on gold persisted. The GLD even climbed into the close of trading for the week, on hope for a late Friday or weekend restoration for Greece. That appears unlikely now.

The catalyst for the decline in the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD) this week was clear. The start of the week produced some very hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Governor Powell. His comments piled on to the tone of the close of the week before, when San Francisco Fed President Williams spoke of a September Fed rate hike. Governor Powell suggested two rate hikes would be appropriate this year, with the first coming in September. This set currency trading into motion, and refocused investors on the longer term issue for currencies, which also impacted the price of gold. The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) dropped as a result.

The divergence of the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of Japan (BOJ) monetary policies has been the key driver for dollar appreciation against rival currencies over the past year or so. The Fed, of course, ended quantitative easing last year and is apparently planning for liftoff of the Fed Funds Rate sometime this year. Meanwhile, the ECB and BOJ have only just begun extraordinary easing measures. Furthermore, the ECB may have to go the extra mile soon should Greece drive severe disruption in Europe by defaulting on its debt payments and possibly dropping out of the eurozone. As a result, it was exactly the worst time for a Fed member to be speaking hawkishly and Powell excelled at just that last week.

1-Month Chart of the Dollar Index at Bloomberg


This chart of the dollar index shows the nascent gains of the dollar as it recovered some of its recently lost ground last week. The dollar looks poised to climb higher this week as Greece’s Prime Minister has set plans in motion for a referendum vote, to allow the people of Greece to decide if they will accept austerity in its latest form (best last offer from Eurogroup) or drop out of the eurozone and go back to the drachma. Given that leftists are rising to power in Spain and France, there is good reason to worry about which way Greece will go, as it may serve as a guide for the future of the euro.

As a result, we should see strong dollar strength this week, which weighs against gold and the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD). It’s difficult to assess an intrinsic value to gold, and thus the GLD, given that I believe it has important currency characteristics and is mankind’s default currency in my view. As a result, I believe it trades like currencies to some degree, and also like a commodity priced in dollars. So as the dollar appreciates in value, the price of gold should decline, just as the euro and oil should. Supports for the GLD look to be at the $110 level, and then to $105, which I believe would be reached if Greece does exit the eurozone. So the outlook for the GLD is not good near-term because of the issues discussed here. My long-term perspective for gold and the GLD remains the same though - hold gold and the GLD, as eventually I believe the dollar must give way to a developing world. Also, political and geopolitical instability and the perhaps someday regressing world call for the holding of mankind’s default currency long-term.

Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.

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