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Seeking Alpha

Monday, March 31, 2014

This Week: A Shift in the Balance of Power

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Look for a shift in the balance of power this week, as the attention slides away from Russia and the geopolitical crisis in Ukraine to the monthly Employment Situation Report. Market players will be closely following the critical data point, looking for signs of spring green shoots. Economist expectations are for a better report, but the result had better be better or else stocks could tank to close the week. If the result is even in line, stocks could find new steam to run higher. At the bottom of this article, please find other articles we’ve authored recently on specific investments and the market and geopolitical happenings. If you found this report valuable, please do follow this blog to receive it regularly.

Weekly Stock Market Planner



Security
2014
Last 12 Mos.
SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY)
+1.3%
+19.4%
SPDR Dow Jones (NYSE: DIA)
-0.7%
-19.6%
PowerShares QQQ (Nasdaq: QQQ)
-0.3%
+27.1%
SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD)
+6.5%
-20.0%
iPath S&P Crude Oil (NYSE: OIL)
+3.7%
+5.3%
PIMCO Total Return (Nasdaq: BOND)
+1.8%
-2.8%
PowerShares DB US $ Bullish (NYSE: UUP)
-0.3%
-5.0%


The Ukraine Crisis, or the new one regarding the buildup of Russian troops on the border with Ukraine, seems to have been relieved. I say “seems” because looks can be deceiving, especially when we are dealing with Vladimir Putin. U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry demanded Russian troops pull away from intimidating positions along the border for negotiations to begin. It seems there may be something Putin wants that is being offered, because Monday one Russian battalion was called off. The Ukrainians are saying it’s just a repositioning, and it appears the troops have simply pulled back off the border. Before long, we may see a full scale invasion of Ukraine, but for now, it appears investors will focus on the economic data.

Economic Events


THIS WEEK’S ECONOMIC REPORT SCHEDULE
 
Economic Data Point
Prior
Expected
Actual
MONDAY
 
 
 
59.8
59.0
55.9
0.3
3.0
4.9
 
 
 
TUESDAY
 
 
 
53.2
54.0
 
57.1
56.8
 
15.3M
15.8M
 
-Domestic Sales Only
12.2M
12.4M
 
0.1%
0.1%
 
-1.5%
 
 
-Year-to-Year Pace
+1.7%
 
 
+3.1%
 
 
 
 
 
WEDNESDAY
 
 
 
+139K
+193K
 
-0.7%
+1.2%
 
 
 
 
-3.5%
 
 
 
 
 
-Crude Oil Inventory
+6.6MB
 
 
-Gasoline Inventory
-5.1MB
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
THURSDAY
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-$39.1B
-$38.8B
 
51.6
53.3
 
53.3
53.9
 
-31.5
 
 
-57 Bcf
 
 
41,835
 
 
311K
320K
 
 
 
 
FRIDAY
 
 
 
 
 
 
-Nonfarm Payrolls
175K
206K
 
-Private Payrolls
162K
215K
 
-Unemployment Rate
6.7%
6.6%
 
• Bold signifies actual results on Monday, versus expectations otherwise

Janet Yellen set a nice mood Monday when she offered about the most dovish statement she could have. It’s sad actually how accommodative the Fed Chair is being to satisfy market concerns. Investors should be grown up enough at this point to understand that rates will eventually rise on an improving economy, which is what we want to see.

Corporate Events

The quarter is closing and a new one is opening, and with it will come earnings season. However, this week will not be very busy in that regard. See the full list below.


HIGHLIGHTED EPS REPORTS
Company
Ticker
MONDAY
 
Accretive Health
Nasdaq: ACHI
American DG Energy
Nasdaq: ADGE
American Lorain
NYSE: ALN
American Shared Hospital Svcs
NYSE: AMS
American Spectrum Realty
NYSE: AQQ
ASA Gold & Precious Metals
NYSE: ASA
Asure Software
Nasdaq: ASUR
BBX Capital
NYSE: BBX
BioFuel Energy
Nasdaq: BIOF
BKF Capital Group
Nasdaq: BKFG
Blonder Tongue Laboratories
NYSE: BDR
Blount International
NYSE: BLT
Bona Film Group
Nasdaq: BONA
BOS Better Online Solutions
Nasdaq: BOSC
Bovie Medical
NYSE: BVX
Cal-Maine Foods
Nasdaq: CALM
Central Federal
Nasdaq: CFBK
Century Casinos
Nasdaq: CNTY
China Auto Logistics
Nasdaq: CALI
China Housing & Land
Nasdaq: CHLN
Communication Intelligence
Nasdaq: CICI
Flexible Solutions
NYSE: FSI
Gas Natural
Nasdaq: EGAS
GenCorp
NYSE: GY
GeoMet
Nasdaq: GMET
Global Partners
NYSE: GLP
Hooper Holmes
NYSE: HH
iGO
Nasdaq: IGOI
InterOil
NYSE: IOC
Ixia
Nasdaq: XXIA
JGWPT Holdings
NYSE: JGW
Kayne Anderson MLP
NYSE: KYN
Kingstone Cos.
Nasdaq: KINS
Lattice
Nasdaq: LTTC
LGI Homes
Nasdaq: LGIH
Lifeway Foods
Nasdaq: LWAY
MFC Industrial
NYSE: MIL
MMR Global
Nasdaq: MMRF
New Concept Energy
NYSE: GBR
Ocean Bio-Chem
Nasdaq: OBCI
Optibase
Nasdaq: OBAS
Phoenix Cos.
NYSE: PNX
PTGi Holding
Nasdaq: PTGI
Pyramid Oil
NYSE: PDO
Real Goods Solar
Nasdaq: RGSE
RMG Networks
Nasdaq: RMGN
Rosetta Genomics
Nasdaq: ROSG
RSP Permian
Nasdaq: RSPP
Saker Aviation Services
Nasdaq: SKAS
Scientific Learning
Nasdaq: SCIL
Siebert Financial
Nasdaq: SIEB
Skystar Bio-Pharmaceutical
Nasdaq: SKBI
SPAR Group
Nasdaq: SGRP
Spine Pain Management
Nasdaq: SPIN
Stratus Properties
Nasdaq: STRS
Taxus Cardium Pharmaceuticals
Nasdaq: CRXM
Tech Data
Nasdaq: TECD
THT Heat Transfer
Nasdaq: THTI
Transcontinental Realty
NYSE: TCI
Tribute Pharmaceuticals Canada
Nasdaq: TBUFF
ULURU
Nasdaq: ULUR
UniTek Global Services
Nasdaq: UNTK
UTi Worldwide
Nasdaq: UTIW
Verint Systems
Nasdaq: VRNT
WidePoint
NYSE: WYY
Wireless Telecom
NYSE: WTT
ZaZa Energy
Nasdaq: ZAZA
TUESDAY
 
Apollo Education
Nasdaq: APOL
Bridge Capital
Nasdaq: BBNK
Clearfield
Nasdaq: CLFD
Cytomedix
Nasdaq: CMXI
Dataram
Nasdaq: DRAM
Document Security Systems
NYSE: DSS
Dolan
Nasdaq: DOLNQ
La Jolla Pharmaceutical
Nasdaq: LJPC
Nortech Systems
Nasdaq: NSYS
NovaBay Pharmaceuticals
NYSE: NBY
Orient Paper
NYSE: ONP
Saratoga Resources
Nasdaq: SARA
Star Gas Partners
NYSE: SGU
Sunshine Heart
NYSE: SSH
Tat Technologies
Nasdaq: TATT
WEDNESDAY
 
Acuity Brands
NYSE: AYI
Mitcham Industries
Nasdaq: MIND
Monsanto
NYSE: MON
National American
Nasdaq: NAUH
OMNOVA Solutions
NYSE: OMN
Resources Connection
Nasdaq: RECN
Saba Software
Nasdaq: SABA
Texas Industries
NYSE: TXI
UniFirst
NYSE: UNF
THURSDAY
 
Edap Tms SA
Nasdaq: EDAP
Emmis Communications
Nasdaq: EMMS
Five Star Quality Care
NYSE: FVE
Franklin Covey
NYSE: FC
Global Payments
NYSE: GPN
MagnaChip Semiconductor
NYSE: MX
Micron Technology
NYSE: MU
Perry Ellis
Nasdaq: PERY
RPM International
NYSE: RPM
Schnitzer Steel Industries
Nasdaq: SCHN
SeaChange Int’l
Nasdaq: SEAC
SYNNEX
NYSE: SNX
The Greenbrier Cos.
NYSE: GBX
FRIDAY
 
AZZ Inc.
NYSE: AZZ
Carmax
NYSE: KMX
Synergy Resources
Nasdaq: SYRG


Other Reports of Interest:

S&P Long – Ask Yourself One Question, Do You Feel Lucky Punk?
U.S. Real Estate: All the News is Bad
Why Facebook is Falling – When to Buy (NYSE: FB)
Buy this Security to Protect Against Fresh Putin Aggression (NYSE: VXX)
Stocks Endangered by Fresh Putin Aggression
Why I Strongly Disagree with Goldman’s Bearish Gold Call (NYSE: GS)

Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.

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