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Seeking Alpha

Thursday, August 21, 2014

TODAY’S MARKET: Fearful of Fed Despite Economic Windfall

dollar
Stocks were higher Thursday, but curiously, not by much considering the astounding economic calendar. The day was full of economic news, and each and every tidbit of it was tasty. However, there’s one thing holding back the rally that should have ensued; it’s the fact that Janet Yellen is speaking tomorrow at the Kansas City Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium. The market is concerned that she could discuss the recently strong economic data flow, and spur concern about a faster Fed rate of action against potential inflation. Though, she will almost certainly also note geopolitical concerns, which would serve stocks.

For more discussion on the day’s action, please see The Mighty Economy Feeds the Ghost Traders Fear Most.

U.S. Markets

Market ETF
08-21-14 Intra
SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY)
+0.3%
SPDR Dow Jones (NYSE: DIA)
+0.4%
PowerShares (Nasdaq: QQQ)
+0.1%
SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD)
-1.3%
iShares US Real Estate (NYSE: IYR)
+0.1%
United States Oil (NYSE: USO)
+1.0%
PowerShares DB US$  Bullish (NYSE: UUP)
-0.1%
PIMCO Total Return ETF (NYSE: BOND)
+0.1%

Make no mistake about it; despite the caution I see in stocks today, the S&P 500 has marked a new historical high. It is meaningful, therefore, nonetheless.

International Markets

EUROPE
%
ASIA/PACIFIC
%
Vanguard FTSE Europe (NYSE: VGK)
+0.6%
Precidian MAXIS Nikkei (NYSE: NKY)
+0.6%
iShares MSCI UK (NYSE: EWU)
+0.0%
SPDR S&P China (NYSE: GXC)
-1.2%
iShares MSCI France (NYSE: EWQ)
+1.3%
iShares Asia 50 (NYSE: AIA)
-1.1%
iShares MSCI Germany (NYSE: EWG)
+0.8%
iShares MSCI S. Korea (NYSE: EWY)
-1.3%
Global X FTSE Greece (NYSE: GREK)
+1.4%
iPath MSCI India (NYSE: INP)
+0.1%

No Russian tanks rolling and another day to forget about the ever present risk, so stocks rose in Europe. Plus, ECB Chief Draghi speaks at Jackson Hole tomorrow along with Yellen, and he is more likely to show dovishness.

Economic Data

THURSDAY’S ECONOMIC REPORTS

Economic Data Point
Prior
Exp.
Actual
+0.6% (R)
+0.6%
+0.9%
56.3

58.0
312K (R)
300K
298K
+78 bcf

+88 bcf
5.03 M (R)
5.00 M
5.15 M
23.9
20.0
28.0
NABE Studies Crisis in Ukraine Impact



 -‘R’ signifies revision

From the critical Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) result through the rest of the economic data slate today, the news was really good. All of the latest results beat expectations and showed improvement versus the prior year, and the gain in the LEI was astounding considering it matched against a revised higher prior figure. Plus, the latest housing news simply built upon the slew of good news on the sector this week. But Real Estate Investors have a Brief Window of Opportunity now.

Commodity Markets

United States Oil (NYSE: USO)
+1.0%
iPath SP Crude Oil (NYSE: OIL)
+1.0%
U.S. Natural Gas (NYSE: UNG)
+1.0%
U.S. Gasoline (NYSE: UGA)
+0.6%
SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD)
-1.3%
Market Vectors Gold Miners (NYSE: GDX)
-2.6%
iShares Silver Trust (NYSE: SLV)
-0.3%
iPath DJ UBS Industrial Metals (NYSE: JJM)
-0.1%
Teucrium Corn ETF (NYSE: CORN)
+0.2%
Teucrium Wheat Fund (NYSE: WEAT)
+0.1%
Teucrium Soybean Fund (NYSE: SOYB)
+0.2%
iPath DJ-UBS Cocoa (NYSE: NIB)
-0.7%
iPath DJ-UBS Sugar (NYSE: SGG)
+1.8%
ICE Orange Juice Conc.
+0.1%
CME Lumber
-0.0%
CME Live Cattle
+0.2%

With the dollar weakening today, economy booming, and ISIS killing Americans, the energy sector rebounded significantly. Gold is down because Vladimir Putin is nowhere to be found, but don’t count him out just yet. Let’s just shuffle Russia risk to the side for now, as Putin is weighing his options, if not planning the demise of global civility.

EPS REPORTS
Company
Ticker
THURSDAY

58.com
Nasdaq: WUBA
Accuray
Nasdaq: ARAY
Aeropostale
NYSE: ARO
Aviat Networks
Nasdaq: AVNW
Bon-Ton Stores
Nasdaq: BONT
Brocade Communications
Nasdaq: BRCD
Buckle
NYSE: BKE
Cato Corp.
Nasdaq: CATO
Children’s Place
Nasdaq: PLCE
Cyberonics
Nasdaq: CYBX
Dollar Tree
Nasdaq: DLTR
Doral Financial
NYSE: DRL
Eros International
Nasdaq: EROS
Fresh Market
NYSE: TFM
GameStop
NYSE: GME
Gap
NYSE: GPS
Hormel Foods
NYSE: HRL
Intuit
Nasdaq: INTU
Kirkland’s
Nasdaq: KIRK
Lancaster Colony
Nasdaq: LANC
Lantronix
Nasdaq: LTRX
LSI Industries
Nasdaq: LYTS
Marvell Technology
Nasdaq: MRVL
Mentor Graphics
Nasdaq: MENT
Navios Maritime
NYSE: NM
New York & Co.
NYSE: NWY
Nordson
Nasdaq: NDSN
Patterson Cos.
Nasdaq: PDCO
Perry Ellis
Nasdaq: PERY
Ross Stores
Nasdaq: ROSS
Salesforce.com
NYSE: CRM
ScanSource
Nasdaq: SCSC
Sears
Nasdaq: SHLD
Stage Stores
NYSE: SSI
Stein Mart
Nasdaq: SMRT
Toro
NYSE: TTC
Trans World Entertainment
Nasdaq: TWMC
Tuesday Morning
Nasdaq: TUES

The corporate wire had a big enough group of names reporting, with a highlight on another quarter of cash burning at Sears (Nasdaq: SHLD). I’m currently working on an important stock report covering a company that reported this week, so you’ll want to join my email list at the blog to hear about it when it’s published.

TODAY’S MOST ACTIVE STOCKS
BIGGEST GAINERS
% Gain
Heart Biologics (Nasdaq: HTBX)
+39%
Digital Ally (Nasdaq: DGLY)
+33%
China Finance Online (Nasdaq: JRJC)
+27%
EveryWare (Nasdaq: EVRY)
+22%
Andatee China Marine Fuel Svcs. (Nasdaq: AMCF)
+16%
America’s Car-Mart (Nasdaq: CRMT)
+16%
GeoMet (Nasdaq: GMETP)
+16%
CBD Energy (Nasdaq: CBDE)
+14%
Advaxis (Nasdaq: ADXS)
+15%
e-Future Information Technologies
+14%
BIGGEST LOSERS
% Drop
Kindred Biosciences (NYSE: KIN)
-27%
Ampio Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: AMPE)
-23%
Boston Private Financial (Nasdaq: BPFHW)
-17%
Tofutti Brands (NYSE: TOF)
-14%
Cytori Therapeutics (Nasdaq: CYTX)
-10%
T2 Biosystems (Nasdaq: TTOO)
-11%
Autohome (Nasdaq: ATHM)
-8%
Pointer Telocation (Nasdaq: PNTR)
-10%
58.com (Nasdaq: WUBA)
-9%
IFM Investments (NYSE: CTC)
-8%

Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.

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