The Week After the Shock – What to Expect
The week after the labor inflation shock should build upon itself in my opinion. Wiser minds are coming to the fore. Those voices that tend to shoot down the brave early souls willing to offer a different than popular opinion will start to join the group they’ve lambasted for so long. As my warning becomes drowned out by the crowd catching up to me, please do remember me. Rising interest rates are a threat to stocks and investments of all sorts, as the threshold to return on investment is raised and valuations are adjusted to compensate for a more difficult operating environment. This is why the next 3-6 months present a tough go for securities, and why stock-pickers capable of sifting through the broad swath of richly valued ideas should be in demand. Please do bookmark our blog.
Other recommended recent reports:
Stocks took a hit last week after the Employment Cost Index showed 2.0% trailing twelve month rise in civilian compensation. It’s an inflation measure and one the Fed pays attention to. Enough said. Trailing twelve month stock gains have been shrinking all year long, and year-to-date results are at risk now.
The Week Ahead
The week ahead is light on economic data, but offers important service sector data in the PMI and ISM figures measuring it. Chain store sales will offer a look at consumer spending trends, but you’ll have to piece together the results of those retailers which report the data monthly. Take note that Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) is not one of those firms and it is the most important retailer in America, save maybe Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN). We’ll also receive some manufacturing data this week.
Corporate Earnings
The earnings schedule is still heavy and includes a ton of biotech names. I see those stocks coming under heavy pressure in the months ahead and recommend investors dump the names among them that are at great distance to earning a dime. I’ll write more on the subject soon, so stay tuned to my blog and columns elsewhere.
Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.
Other recommended recent reports:
5-Day Chart S&P 500 - Yahoo Finance |
Stocks took a hit last week after the Employment Cost Index showed 2.0% trailing twelve month rise in civilian compensation. It’s an inflation measure and one the Fed pays attention to. Enough said. Trailing twelve month stock gains have been shrinking all year long, and year-to-date results are at risk now.
Security
|
Last 5 Days
|
YTD
|
TTM
|
SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY)
|
-2.7%
|
+4.2%
|
+12.6%
|
SPDR Dow Jones (NYSE: DIA)
|
-2.7%
|
-0.5%
|
+5.4%
|
PowerShares QQQ (Nasdaq: QQQ)
|
-2.1%
|
+7.6%
|
+23.0%
|
SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD)
|
-1.1%
|
+7.1%
|
-1.6%
|
iPath S&P Crude Oil (NYSE: OIL)
|
-4.3%
|
+2.5%
|
-5.7%
|
The Week Ahead
The week ahead is light on economic data, but offers important service sector data in the PMI and ISM figures measuring it. Chain store sales will offer a look at consumer spending trends, but you’ll have to piece together the results of those retailers which report the data monthly. Take note that Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) is not one of those firms and it is the most important retailer in America, save maybe Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN). We’ll also receive some manufacturing data this week.
THIS WEEK’S ECONOMIC REPORT
SCHEDULE
|
||
Economic Data Point
|
Prior
|
Expected
|
MONDAY
|
|
|
$91
|
$94 (Actual)
|
|
5.67
|
5.85
|
|
TUESDAY
|
|
|
61.0
|
61.0
|
|
-0.5%
|
+0.6%
|
|
56.0
|
56.5
|
|
-15
|
|
|
+0.2%
|
|
|
-Year-to-Year Pace
|
+4.6%
|
|
+3.0%
|
|
|
WEDNESDAY
|
|
|
-$44.4 B
|
-$45.0 B
|
|
27
|
|
|
Treasury Refunding Announcement
|
|
|
-2.2%
|
|
|
|
|
|
-Crude Oil Inventory
|
-3.7 MB
|
|
-Gasoline Inventory
|
+0.4 MB
|
|
THURSDAY
|
|
|
Chain Store Sales
|
|
|
$19.6 B
|
$18.3 B
|
|
302K
|
305K
|
|
36.3
|
|
|
+88 bcf
|
|
|
FRIDAY
|
|
|
-3.2%
|
+1.4%
|
|
-Unit Labor Costs
|
+5.7%
|
+1.6%
|
|
|
|
-Inventories
|
+0.5%
|
+0.7%
|
-Sales
|
|
|
Corporate Earnings
The earnings schedule is still heavy and includes a ton of biotech names. I see those stocks coming under heavy pressure in the months ahead and recommend investors dump the names among them that are at great distance to earning a dime. I’ll write more on the subject soon, so stay tuned to my blog and columns elsewhere.
HIGHLIGHTED EPS REPORTS
|
|
Company
|
Ticker
|
MONDAY
|
|
Aastrom Biosciences
|
Nasdaq: ASTM
|
Accretive Health
|
Nasdaq: ACHI
|
Achillion Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: ACHN
|
Advanced Energy
|
Nasdaq: AEIS
|
American Homes 4 Rent
|
NYSE: AMH
|
American Int’l Group
|
NYSE: AIG
|
ANI Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: ANIP
|
Avis Budget Group
|
NYSE: CAR
|
BioDelivery Sciences
|
Nasdaq: BDSI
|
Biospecifics Technologies
|
Nasdaq: BSTC
|
BioTime
|
NYSE: BTX
|
Box Ships
|
NYSE: TEU
|
Cardinal Health
|
NYSE: CAH
|
Checkpoint Systems
|
NYSE: CKP
|
CNA Financial
|
NYSE: CNA
|
Coronado Biosciences
|
Nasdaq: CNDO
|
CTI BioPharma
|
Nasdaq: CTIC
|
Dendreon
|
Nasdaq: DNDN
|
ECA Marcellus Trust I
|
NYSE: ECT
|
Echo Therapeutics
|
Nasdaq: ECTE
|
Five9
|
Nasdaq: FIVN
|
Foster Wheeler
|
Nasdaq: FWLT
|
Frisch’s Restaurant
|
NYSE: FRS
|
Fuel Systems Solutions
|
Nasdaq: FSYS
|
FutureFuel
|
NYSE: FF
|
FX Energy
|
Nasdaq: FXEN
|
General Moly
|
NYSE: GMO
|
Halozyme Therapeutics
|
Nasdaq: HALO
|
Harvest Natural Resources
|
NYSE: HNR
|
Hillshire Brands
|
NYSE: HSH
|
Idenix Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: IDIX
|
InSite Vision
|
Nasdaq: INSV
|
Isis Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: ISIS
|
Jamba
|
Nasdaq: JMBA
|
Kate Spade
|
Nasdaq: KATE
|
Kona Grill
|
Nasdaq: KONA
|
Kosmos Energy
|
NYSE: KOS
|
Kronos Worldwide
|
NYSE: KRO
|
LeapFrog
|
NYSE: LF
|
LipoScience
|
Nasdaq: LPDX
|
Loews
|
NYSE: L
|
Malibu Boats
|
Nasdaq: MBUU
|
Marathon Oil
|
NYSE: MRO
|
Mcdermott Int’l
|
NYSE: MDR
|
MeetMe
|
Nasdaq: MEET
|
MELA Sciences
|
Nasdaq: MELA
|
Mesa Laboratories
|
Nasdaq: MLAB
|
Michael Kors
|
Nasdaq: KORS
|
Nature’s Sunshine
|
Nasdaq: NATR
|
Omega Flex
|
Nasdaq: OFLX
|
Omeros
|
Nasdaq: OMER
|
OraSure
|
Nasdaq: OSUR
|
PennyMac Financial
|
Nasdaq: PFSI
|
Pioneer Natural
|
NYSE: PXD
|
Protective Life
|
NYSE: PL
|
Puma Biotechnology
|
Nasdaq: PBYI
|
RadioShack
|
NYSE: RSH
|
Rand Logistics
|
Nasdaq: RLOG
|
Realogy
|
Nasdaq: RLGY
|
Retail Properties
|
Nasdaq: RPAI
|
RetailMeNot
|
Nasdaq: SALE
|
Rick’s Cabaret
|
Nasdaq: RICK
|
Rosetta Resources
|
Nasdaq: ROSE
|
Seaboard
|
NYSE: SEB
|
Senior Housing
|
NYSE: SNH
|
Solar Capital
|
Nasdaq: SLRC
|
StemCells
|
Nasdaq: STEM
|
Tenet Healthcare
|
NYSE: THC
|
Tessera Technologies
|
Nasdaq: TSRA
|
TheStreet
|
NYSE: TST
|
Texas Roadhouse
|
Nasdaq: TXRH
|
Trex
|
Nasdaq: TREX
|
Tsakos Energy Navigation
|
NYSE: TNP
|
ZipRealty
|
Nasdaq: ZIPR
|
TUESDAY
|
|
Activision Blizzard
|
Nasdaq: ATVI
|
Aqua America
|
NYSE: WTR
|
Archer Daniels Midland
|
NYSE: ADM
|
Blue Nile
|
Nasdaq: NILE
|
Cablevision
|
NYSE: CVC
|
Capital Senior Living
|
NYSE: CSU
|
CVS Caremark
|
NYSE: CVS
|
Discovery Laboratories
|
Nasdaq: DSCO
|
DryShips
|
Nasdaq: DRYS
|
EOG Resources
|
NYSE: EOG
|
First Solar
|
Nasdaq: FSLR
|
Gartner
|
NYSE: IT
|
Groupon
|
Nasdaq: GRPN
|
Icahn Enterprises
|
NYSE: IEP
|
Jazz Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: JAZZ
|
Johnson Outdoors
|
Nasdaq: JOUT
|
Liberty Media
|
Nasdaq: LMCA
|
Tidewater
|
NYSE: TDW
|
Vulcan Materials
|
NYSE: VMC
|
Walt Disney
|
NYSE: DIS
|
Zebra Tech
|
Nasdaq: ZBRA
|
Zillow
|
NYSE: Z
|
Zoetis
|
NYSE: ZTS
|
WEDNESDAY
|
|
Agrium
|
NYSE: AGU
|
Annaly Capital
|
NYSE: NLY
|
AOL
|
NYSE: AOL
|
Atmel
|
Nasdaq: ATML
|
BioScrip
|
Nasdaq: BIOS
|
Brookdale Senior Living
|
NYSE: BKD
|
Chesapeake Energy
|
NYSE: CHK
|
Clean Harbors
|
NYSE: CLH
|
Coeur Mining
|
NYSE: CDE
|
Corrections Corp. of America
|
NYSE: CXW
|
Coupons.com
|
Nasdaq: COUP
|
Devon Energy
|
NYSE: DVN
|
Diebold
|
NYSE: DBD
|
DISH Network
|
Nasdaq: DISH
|
Echelon
|
Nasdaq: ELON
|
FreightCar America
|
Nasdaq: RAIL
|
Hillenbrand
|
NYSE: HI
|
HollyFrontier
|
NYSE: HFC
|
MBIA
|
NYSE: MBI
|
Molson Coors
|
NYSE: TAP
|
Molycorp
|
NYSE: MCP
|
Parker Drilling
|
NYSE: PKD
|
Ralph Laruen
|
NYSE: RL
|
ReachLocal
|
Nasdaq: RLOC
|
Stifel Financial
|
NYSE: SF
|
Time Warner
|
NYSE: TWX
|
Transocean
|
NYSE: RIG
|
Zulily
|
NYSE: ZU
|
THURSDAY
|
|
AES
|
NYSE: AES
|
Agios Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: AGIO
|
Air Lease
|
NYSE: AL
|
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: ALNY
|
Anacor Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: ANAC
|
Bright Horizons
|
Nasdaq: BFAM
|
Brinker Int’l
|
NYSE: EAT
|
CBS
|
NYSE: CBS
|
Cowen Group
|
Nasdaq: COWN
|
Demand Media
|
NYSE: DMD
|
Duke Energy
|
NYSE: DUK
|
Fifth Street Finance
|
NYSE: FSC
|
Goodrich Petroleum
|
NYSE: GDP
|
Gramercy Property Trust
|
NYSE: GPT
|
Harman Int’l
|
NYSE: HAR
|
Kratos Defense
|
Nasdaq: KTOS
|
Lamar Advertising
|
Nasdaq: LAMR
|
Markel
|
NYSE: MKL
|
Orexigen Therapeutics
|
Nasdaq: OREX
|
Osiris Therapeutics
|
Nasdaq: OSIR
|
Rentrak
|
Nasdaq: RENT
|
Republic Airways
|
Nasdaq: RJET
|
Sempra Energy
|
NYSE: SRE
|
SolarCity
|
Nasdaq: SCTY
|
Teekay
|
NYSE: TK
|
U.S. Physical Therapy
|
Nasdaq: USPH
|
Volcano
|
Nasdaq: VOLC
|
Wendy’s
|
NYSE: WEN
|
XOMA
|
Nasdaq: XOMA
|
Zynga
|
Nasdaq: ZNGA
|
FRIDAY
|
|
Allianz SE
|
ALV.DE
|
Balchem
|
Nasdaq: BCPC
|
Beacon Roofing
|
Nasdaq: BECN
|
Biloxi Marsh Lands
|
Nasdaq: BLMC
|
Brookfield Asset Management
|
NYSE: BAM
|
Buckeye Partners
|
NYSE: BPL
|
Calgon Carbon
|
NYSE: CCC
|
Choice Hotels
|
NYSE: CHH
|
Clean Diesel
|
Nasdaq: CDTI
|
DiamondRock Hospitality
|
NYSE: DRH
|
Diversified Restaurant
|
Nasdaq: BAGR
|
E.W. Scripps
|
NYSE: SSP
|
Ebix
|
Nasdaq: EBIX
|
Ensign
|
Nasdaq: ENSG
|
Essent
|
Nasdaq: ESNT
|
Frank’s
|
NYSE: FI
|
HMS
|
Nasdaq: HMSY
|
LSB Industries
|
NYSE: LXU
|
Magnum Hunter
|
NYSE: MHR
|
Morgans Hotel
|
Nasdaq: MHGC
|
MTR Gaming
|
Nasdaq: MNTG
|
National Fuel Gas
|
NYSE: NFG
|
PDC Energy
|
Nasdaq: PDCE
|
Ply Gem
|
Nasdaq: PGEM
|
Progenics Pharmaecuticals
|
Nasdaq: PGNX
|
RadNet
|
Nasdaq: RDNT
|
SINA
|
Nasdaq: SINA
|
Sirona Dental
|
Nasdaq: SIRO
|
Sotheby’s
|
NYSE: BID
|
Speed Commerce
|
Nasdaq: SPDC
|
StoneMor Partners
|
Nasdaq: STON
|
Susser Holdings
|
Nasdaq: SUSS
|
Susser Petroleum
|
Nasdaq: SUSP
|
Tetra Tech
|
NYSE: TTI
|
Uranerz Energy
|
NYSE: URZ
|
Uranium Resources
|
Nasdaq: URRE
|
Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.
Labels: Market-Outlook, Market-Outlook-2014-Q3, Week-Ahead, Week-Ahead-2014
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