THIS WEEK: Risk Off as Putin Crosses the Line
After an anxious buildup to it, the market started the week lower, with the S&P 500 falling 0.7% Monday on the obvious driver. We warned in a weekend article that risk had to come off this week, because the situation in the Ukraine would (and will) likely deteriorate. Vladimir Putin operates by his own rules and only applies reason when it works in his favor; otherwise, he constructs a reason to get his way (read lies). Actions already enacted by Russia, Russian communications to the world community and to the Russian people; and geopolitical logic dictate the unstable geopolitical situation will get worse. So, while we called for investors to sell stocks, we also said to look to safe havens, specifically gold and the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD). The GLD closed up 2.1% Monday.
Stocks were hardly affected last week by the quickly evolving events overseas. That was mainly due to supportive economic data, and some good news from housing - especially in the New Home Sales gain reported. We also saw individual retailers calming concerns about the retail sector, with solid earnings reports from Target (NYSE: TGT) and Sears (Nasdaq: SHLD).
Economic Events
This week’s reports are likewise expected to show improved economic conditions, especially along the manufacturing front. Still, the focus of the investment community will rightfully fall to the Friday reporting of the Employment Situation. Economists see job growth improving, but to a pace that is still inadequate. The unemployment rate is seen holding steady. If we get that sort of news, investors will likely celebrate it. It’s hard to say what the report will bring, but if it is poor, the news will continue to be blamed on the weather, and for good reason. We may have to wait until March’s report to see clearly through the snowflakes and frozen breath.
Corporate Events
Daily earnings flow is finally easing, but there remain a good amount of companies reporting this week. We believe we have the full list here for you.
Other Reports of Interest:
The Real Estate Week Ahead
Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.
Sector Security
|
Last Wk
|
YTD
|
Last 12 M
|
SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY)
|
+1.3%
|
+0.9%
|
+22.5%
|
SPDR Dow Jones (NYSE: DIA)
|
+1.4%
|
-1.5%
|
+15.8%
|
PowerShares QQQ (Nasdaq: QQQ)
|
+0.9%
|
+2.7%
|
+34.1%
|
SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD)
|
+0.03%
|
+9.9%
|
-16.3%
|
PIMCO Total Return (Nasdaq: BOND)
|
+0.04%
|
+1.7%
|
-2.9%
|
United States Oil (NYSE: USO)
|
+0.1%
|
+4.0%
|
+12.2%
|
Stocks were hardly affected last week by the quickly evolving events overseas. That was mainly due to supportive economic data, and some good news from housing - especially in the New Home Sales gain reported. We also saw individual retailers calming concerns about the retail sector, with solid earnings reports from Target (NYSE: TGT) and Sears (Nasdaq: SHLD).
Economic Events
THIS WEEK’S ECONOMIC REPORT
SCHEDULE
|
||
Economic Data Point
|
Prior
|
Expected
|
MONDAY
|
|
|
Personal Income & Outlays (Income)
|
+0.0%
|
+0.3% A
|
-Spending
|
+0.1%
|
+0.4% A
|
-Core PCE Price Index
|
+0.1%
|
+0.1% A
|
51.3
|
53.2 A
|
|
53.7
|
57.1 A
|
|
+0.1%
|
+0.1% A
|
|
78
|
87
|
|
12.1 M
|
12.3 M
|
|
TUESDAY
|
|
|
|
|
|
-0.6%
|
|
|
-Year-to-Year Pace
|
+1.4%
|
|
+2.9%
|
|
|
|
|
|
WEDNESDAY
|
|
|
+175K
|
+150K
|
|
54.0
|
53.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-8.5%
|
|
|
|
|
|
-Crude Oil Inventory
|
+0.1 MB
|
|
-Gasoline Inventory
|
-2.8 MB
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
THURSDAY
|
|
|
45,107
|
|
|
348K
|
338K
|
|
Gallup US Payroll to Pop.
|
|
|
+3.2%
|
+2.4%
|
|
-Unit Labor Costs
|
-1.6%
|
-0.5%
|
-28.6
|
|
|
Chain Store Sales
|
|
|
-1.5%
|
-0.5%
|
|
-95 Bcf
|
|
|
|
|
|
FRIDAY
|
|
|
|
|
|
-Unemployment Rate
|
6.6%
|
6.6%
|
-Nonfarm Payrolls
|
+113K
|
+150K
|
-Private Payrolls
|
+142K
|
+165K
|
$-38.7 B
|
$-39.0 B
|
|
+$18.8 B
|
+$14.0 B
|
|
|
|
This week’s reports are likewise expected to show improved economic conditions, especially along the manufacturing front. Still, the focus of the investment community will rightfully fall to the Friday reporting of the Employment Situation. Economists see job growth improving, but to a pace that is still inadequate. The unemployment rate is seen holding steady. If we get that sort of news, investors will likely celebrate it. It’s hard to say what the report will bring, but if it is poor, the news will continue to be blamed on the weather, and for good reason. We may have to wait until March’s report to see clearly through the snowflakes and frozen breath.
Corporate Events
Daily earnings flow is finally easing, but there remain a good amount of companies reporting this week. We believe we have the full list here for you.
HIGHLIGHTED EPS REPORTS
|
|
Company
|
Ticker
|
MONDAY
|
|
Accretive Health
|
NYSE: AH
|
AcelRx Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: ACRX
|
Achillion Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: ACHN
|
Acura Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: ACUR
|
Almost Family
|
Nasdaq: AFAM
|
Ambac Financial
|
Nasdaq: AMBC
|
American Apparel
|
NYSE: APP
|
Ampio Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: AMPE
|
AngioDynamics
|
Nasdaq: ANGO
|
Anthera Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: ANTH
|
Ascena Retail
|
Nasdaq: ASNA
|
Banc of California
|
Nasdaq: BANC
|
Black Diamond
|
NYSE: BDE
|
Cantel Medical
|
NYSE: CMN
|
CAS Medical Systems
|
Nasdaq: CASM
|
Celldex Therapeutics
|
Nasdaq: CLDX
|
Chelsea Therapeutics
|
Nasdaq: CHTP
|
Contango Oil & Gas
|
NYSE: MCF
|
Core-Mark
|
Nasdaq: CORE
|
Daegis
|
Nasdaq: DAEG
|
Dendreon
|
Nasdaq: DNDN
|
Depomed
|
Nasdaq: DEPO
|
Descartes Systems
|
Nasdaq: DSGX
|
Document Security Systems
|
NYSE: DSS
|
Dolan
|
Nasdaq: DOLN
|
DryShips
|
Nasdaq: DRYS
|
DXP Enterprises
|
Nasdaq: DXPE
|
Enstar Group
|
Nasdaq: ESGR
|
Entertainment Gaming Asia
|
NYSE: EGT
|
EV Energy Partners
|
Nasdaq: EVEP
|
Exlservice
|
Nasdaq: EXLS
|
Ferrellgas Partners
|
NYSE: FGP
|
First Bancorp
|
Nasdaq: FNLC
|
First United
|
Nasdaq: FUNC
|
Five Star Quality Care
|
NYSE: FVE
|
Flamel Technologies
|
Nasdaq: FLML
|
Full House Resorts
|
NYSE: FLL
|
Gasco Energy
|
Nasdaq: GSXN
|
Gevo
|
Nasdaq: GEVO
|
Global Geophysical
|
NYSE: GGS
|
Guidewire Software
|
Nasdaq: GWRE
|
Handy & Harman
|
NYSE: HNH
|
Hertz Global
|
NYSE: HTZ
|
Heska
|
Nasdaq: HSKA
|
Hickory Tech
|
Nasdaq: HTCO
|
HKN Inc.
|
Nasdaq: HKNI
|
Hugoton Royalty
|
NYSE: HGT
|
Icahn Enterprises
|
NYSE: IEP
|
ImmunoCellular Therapeutics
|
Nasdaq: IMUC
|
Independence Holding
|
NYSE: IHC
|
InSite Vision
|
Nasdaq: INSV
|
Institutional Financial Markets
|
Nasdaq: IFMI
|
James River Coal
|
Nasdaq: JRCC
|
JinkoSolar
|
NYSE: JKS
|
Kayne Anderson MLP
|
NYSE: KYN
|
Lakeland Financial
|
Nasdaq: LKFN
|
Loral Space & Communications
|
Nasdaq: LORL
|
Mack-Cali Realty
|
NYSE: CLI
|
Magellan Health
|
Nasdaq: MGLN
|
MagnaChip Semiconductor
|
NYSE: MX
|
MBIA Inc.
|
NYSE: MBI
|
McDermott Int’l
|
NYSE: MDR
|
Mecox Lane
|
Nasdaq: MCOX
|
MiMedx Group
|
Nasdaq: MDXG
|
Mindray Medical
|
NYSE: MR
|
Molycorp
|
NYSE: MCP
|
National Beverage
|
Nasdaq: FIZZ
|
National Western Life
|
Nasdaq: NWLI
|
Navistar International
|
NYSE: NAV
|
NeoPhotonics
|
Nasdaq: NPTN
|
New Mountain Finance
|
Nasdaq: NMFC
|
NewLink Genetics
|
Nasdaq: NLNK
|
Nortech Systems
|
Nasdaq: NSYS
|
NU Skin Enterprises
|
NYSE: NUS
|
NuVasive
|
Nasdaq: NUVA
|
OFS Capital
|
NYSE: OFS
|
Orthofix
|
Nasdaq: OFIX
|
Pacific Mercantile Bancorp
|
Nasdaq: PMBC
|
PDL BioPharma
|
Nasdaq: PDLI
|
Pengrowth Energy
|
NYSE: PGH
|
Perion Network
|
Nasdaq: PERI
|
PICO Holdings
|
Nasdaq: PICO
|
PostRock Energy
|
Nasdaq: PSTR
|
QR Energy
|
NYSE: QRE
|
Quality Distribution
|
Nasdaq: QLTY
|
Qualstar
|
Nasdaq: QBAK
|
RadNet
|
Nasdaq: RDNT
|
Regional Management
|
NYSE: RM
|
Reis
|
Nasdaq: REIS
|
RELM Wireless
|
NYSE: RWC
|
Renewable Energy
|
Nasdaq: REGI
|
Rockwood Holdings
|
NYSE: ROC
|
San Juan Basin Royalty Trust
|
NYSE: SJT
|
Saul Centers
|
NYSE: BFS
|
SEACOR
|
NYSE: CKH
|
Seaspan
|
NYSE: SSW
|
Southwest Bancorp
|
Nasdaq: OKSB
|
SP Bancorp
|
Nasdaq: SPBC
|
Stillwater Mining
|
NYSE: SWC
|
Stratasys
|
Nasdaq: SSYS
|
Sun Hydraulics
|
Nasdaq: SNHY
|
Superior Industries
|
NYSE: SUP
|
Synageva Biopharma
|
Nasdaq: GEVA
|
Tech Data
|
Nasdaq: TECD
|
Tejon Ranch
|
NYSE: TRC
|
Threshold Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: THLD
|
Universal Insurance
|
NYSE: UVE
|
URS
|
NYSE: URS
|
Urstadt Biddle
|
NYSE: UBA
|
Vector Group
|
NYSE: VGR
|
Veracyte
|
Nasdaq: VCYT
|
Verso Paper
|
NYSE: VRS
|
Vipshop
|
Nasdaq: VIPS
|
VirnetX
|
NYSE: VHC
|
Winland Electronics
|
Nasdaq: WELX
|
Winthrop Realty Trust
|
NYSE: FUR
|
York Water
|
Nasdaq: YORW
|
Zalicus
|
Nasdaq: ZLCS
|
ZipRealty
|
Nasdaq: ZIPR
|
TUESDAY
|
|
ABM Industries
|
NYSE: ABM
|
AeroVironment
|
Nasdaq: AVAV
|
Alon USA Partners
|
Nasdaq: ALDW
|
American Electric Technologies
|
Nasdaq: AETI
|
Autozone
|
NYSE: AZO
|
Bazaarvoice
|
NYSE: BV
|
Bio-Reference Laboratories
|
Nasdaq: BRLI
|
Bob Evans Farms
|
Nasdaq: BOBE
|
Cal Dive
|
NYSE: DVR
|
Carmike Cinemas
|
Nasdaq: CKEC
|
Cell Therapeutics
|
Nasdaq: CTIC
|
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: CPIX
|
E.W. Scripps
|
NYSE: SSP
|
FairPoint Communications
|
NYSE: FRP
|
Gentiva Health Services
|
Nasdaq: GTIV
|
Getty Realty
|
NYSE: GTY
|
GTX Inc.
|
Nasdaq: GTXI
|
HCI Group
|
NYSE: HCI
|
HFF
|
NYSE: HF
|
Hilltop Holdings
|
NYSE: HTH
|
Ignite Restaurant Group
|
NYSE: IRG
|
John Bean Technologies
|
NYSE: JBT
|
Journal Communications
|
NYSE: JRN
|
Mid-Con Energy
|
Nasdaq: MCEP
|
Midstates Petroleum
|
NYSE: MPO
|
NACCO
|
NYSE: NC
|
New York Mortgage Trust
|
Nasdaq: NYMT
|
Park-Ohio
|
Nasdaq: PKOH
|
PCTEL
|
Nasdaq; PCTI
|
RadioShack
|
NYSE: RSH
|
Scorpio Bulkers
|
Nasdaq: SALT
|
Smith & Wesson
|
Nasdaq: SWHC
|
Systemax
|
NYSE: SYX
|
Tecumseh Products
|
Nasdaq: TECUA
|
The Chefs’ Warehouse
|
Nasdaq: CHEF
|
Trinity Biotech
|
Nasdaq: TRIB
|
Veeva Systems
|
Nasdaq: VEEV
|
Xerium Technologies
|
NYSE: XRM
|
YY Inc.
|
NYSE: YY
|
WEDNESDAY
|
|
Agenus
|
Nasdaq: AGEN
|
Air Transport Services
|
Nasdaq: ATSG
|
ArQule
|
Nasdaq: ARQL
|
Biolase
|
Nasdaq: BIOL
|
Boyd Gaming
|
NYSE: BYD
|
Canadian Solar
|
Nasdaq: CSIQ
|
Carriage Services
|
NYES: CSV
|
Casella Waste Systems
|
Nasdaq: CWST
|
Coca Cola Bottling
|
Nasdaq: COKE
|
Columbia Laboratories
|
Nasdaq: CBRX
|
Cross Country Healthcare
|
Nasdaq: CCRN
|
diaDexus
|
Nasdaq: DDXS
|
Endeavour Int’l
|
NYSE: END
|
Energy Recovery
|
Nasdaq: ERII
|
Envision Healthcare
|
Nasdaq: EVHC
|
Esperion Therapeutics
|
Nasdaq: ESPR
|
Federal Signal
|
NYSE: FSS
|
General Communication
|
Nasdaq: GNCMA
|
Gentherm
|
Nasdaq: THRM
|
Giant Interactive
|
NYSE: GA
|
Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
|
Nasdaq: HMHC
|
Hovnanian Enterprises
|
NYSE: HOV
|
Interxion
|
Nasdaq: INXN
|
inTest
|
Nasdaq: INTT
|
LHC Group
|
Nasdaq: LHCG
|
Lincoln Educational Services
|
Nasdaq: LINC
|
Lydall
|
NYSE: LDL
|
MCG Capital
|
Nasdaq: MCGC
|
Memorial Production
|
Nasdaq: MEMP
|
Middlesex Water
|
Nasdaq: MSEX
|
Miller Industries
|
NYSE: MLR
|
MYR Group
|
Nasdaq: MYRG
|
Osiris Therapeutics
|
Nasdaq: OSIR
|
Oxford Resource Partners
|
NYSE: OXF
|
PetSmart
|
Nasdaq: PETM
|
POZEN
|
Nasdaq: POZN
|
Revlon
|
NYSE: REV
|
RigNet
|
Nasdaq: RNET
|
Rouse Properties
|
NYSE: RSE
|
RRsat Global Communications
|
Nasdaq: RRST
|
Schawk
|
NYSE: SGK
|
Semtech
|
Nasdaq: SMTC
|
Southcross Energy
|
NYSE: SXE
|
SP Plus
|
NYSE: SP
|
Spark Networks
|
NYSE: LOV
|
Spartan Stores
|
Nasdaq: SPTN
|
Speedway Motorsports
|
NYSE: TRK
|
Star Bulk Carriers
|
Nasdaq: SBLK
|
Synacor
|
Nasdaq: SYNC
|
THL Credit
|
Nasdaq: TCRD
|
Universal American
|
NYSE: UAM
|
ValueVision Media
|
Nasdaq: VVTV
|
WuXi Pharmatech
|
NYSE: WX
|
ZAIS Financial
|
NYSE: ZFC
|
Zogenix
|
Nasdaq: ZGNX
|
THURSDAY
|
|
21Vianet
|
Nasdaq: VNET
|
Alamo Group
|
NYSE: ALG
|
Alaska Communications
|
Nasdaq: ALSK
|
Alexza Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: ALXA
|
Alon USA Energy
|
NYSE: ALJ
|
Ambarella
|
Nasdaq: AMBA
|
Analogic
|
Nasdaq: ALOG
|
Arabian American Development
|
Nasdaq: ARSD
|
Baxano Surgical
|
Nasdaq: BAXS
|
Benefitfocus
|
Nasdaq: BNFT
|
Biospecifics Technologies
|
Nasdaq: BSTC
|
Blackrock Kelso Capital
|
Nasdaq: BKCC
|
BPZ Resources
|
NYSE: BPZ
|
CECO Environmental
|
Nasdaq: CECE
|
Checkpoint Systems
|
NYSE: CKP
|
Chembio Diagnostics
|
Nasdaq: CEMI
|
Chesapeake Utilities
|
NYSE: CPK
|
Children’s Place Retail Stores
|
Nasdaq: PLCE
|
Ciena
|
Nasdaq: CIEN
|
Comtech Telecommunications
|
Nasdaq: CMTL
|
Cooper Cos.
|
NYSE: COO
|
Costco
|
Nasdaq: COST
|
CPI Aerostructures
|
NYSE: CVU
|
Craft Brew Alliance
|
Nasdaq: BREW
|
CST Brands
|
NYSE: CST
|
CTC Media
|
Nasdaq: CTCM
|
Descartes Systems Group
|
Nasdaq: DSGX
|
Dot Hill Systems
|
Nasdaq: HILL
|
Emergent BioSolutions
|
NYSE: EBS
|
Finisar
|
Nasdaq: FNSR
|
Five Star Quality Care
|
NYSE: FVE
|
FLY Leasing
|
NYSE: FLY
|
Fresh Market
|
NYSE: TFM
|
FXCM
|
Nasdaq: FXCM
|
Glowpoint
|
Nasdaq: GLOW
|
H&R Block
|
NYSE: HRB
|
IDT
|
NYSE: IDT
|
Information Services Group
|
NYSE: III
|
Jamba
|
Nasdaq: JMBA
|
Joy Global
|
NYSE: JOY
|
Korn/Ferry
|
NYSE: KFY
|
Kroger
|
NYSE: KR
|
Lehigh Gas Partners
|
NYSE: LGP
|
LRR Energy
|
NYSE: LRE
|
Microvision
|
Nasdaq: MVIS
|
Nature’s Sunshine Products
|
Nasdaq: NATR
|
Navidea Biopharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: NAVB
|
Neonode
|
Nasdaq: NEON
|
NGP Capital Resources
|
Nasdaq: NGPC
|
Novatel Wireless
|
Nasdaq: NVTL
|
Perficient
|
Nasdaq: PRFT
|
Pinnacle Foods
|
NYSE: PF
|
Qihoo 360 Technology
|
Nasdaq: QIHU
|
Quanex Building Products
|
NYSE: NX
|
Quiksilver
|
NYSE: ZQK
|
Repligen
|
Nasdaq: RGEN
|
Safeguard Scientifics
|
NYSE: SFE
|
Sanchez Energy
|
NYSE: SN
|
Skullcandy
|
Nasdaq: SKUL
|
Spectrum Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: SPPI
|
Stage Stores
|
NYSE: SSI
|
Staples
|
Nasdaq: SPLS
|
Stoneridge
|
NYSE: SRI
|
Sunesis Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: SNSS
|
Synergetics USA
|
Nasdaq: SURG
|
Thor Industries
|
NYSE: THO
|
Trans World Entertainment
|
Nasdaq: TWMC
|
U.S. Physical Therapy
|
Nasdaq: USPH
|
U.S. Auto Parts Network
|
Nasdaq: PRTS
|
U.S. Concrete
|
Nasdaq: USCR
|
Verastem
|
Nasdaq: VSTM
|
Vermillion
|
Nasdaq: VRML
|
VimpelCom
|
NYSE: VIP
|
Violin Memory
|
Nasdaq: VMEM
|
W&T Offshore
|
NYSE: WTI
|
Warren Resources
|
Nasdaq: WRES
|
Winthrop Realty Trust
|
NYSE: FUR
|
Zalicus
|
Nasdaq: ZLCS
|
FRIDAY
|
|
Big Lots
|
NYSE: BIG
|
Chimerix
|
Nasdaq: CMRX
|
Dolan
|
Nasdaq: DOLN
|
Foot Locker
|
NYSE: FL
|
Furmanite
|
NYSE: FRM
|
Handy & Harman
|
NYSE: HNH
|
Hertz Global
|
NYSE: HTZ
|
Independence Holding
|
NYSE: IHC
|
James River Coal
|
Nasdaq: JRCC
|
Jones Soda
|
Nasdaq: JSDA
|
MeetMe
|
Nasdaq: MEET
|
Monroe Capital
|
Nasdaq: MRCC
|
Peregrine Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: PPHM
|
Piedmont Natural Gas
|
NYSE: PNY
|
Poseidon Concepts
|
Nasdaq: POOSF
|
Tejon Ranch
|
NYSE: TRC
|
Urstadt Biddle Properties
|
NYSE: UBA
|
Valero Energy Partners
|
NYSE: VLP
|
Western Asset Mortgage Capital
|
NYSE: WMC
|
Other Reports of Interest:
The Real Estate Week Ahead
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Labels: Global Affairs Geopolitics, Market-Outlook, Market-Outlook-2014-Q1, Week-Ahead, Week-Ahead-2014
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