FRIDAY: Jobs Report Dyslexia
The market seemed to contract dyslexia Friday, as a poor jobs report somehow helped stocks. Markets had taken such a beating heading into the report, though, that this was more likely a sell the news type event (reversed in this case). Also, investors have begun speculating about a Fed tapering of its asset purchase tapering, while blame is also being given now to the weather, which is just a temporary problem. Follow us at the blog for more like this.
Stocks are sort of selling the news, or buying it in this case today. Bad news from the Jobs Report had no impact on stocks, as they rose broadly through the afternoon. Two factors that could be at play are increasing blame given to the weather and increasing discussion about the Fed possibly tapering its tapering program. As such, gains should fade into the close, and we suggest avoiding long positions lasting more than a day.
Economic Events
The economic radar today was solely focused on the Employment Situation Report for January. The data was relatively poor, with very little revision to December’s miserable nonfarm payroll result and January’s number coming in about as bad. The suspect unemployment rate continued to improve, but it remains burdened by the realities around civilian workforce erosion and structural fault in American labor. Private nonfarm payrolls improved a bit, but remain relatively poor for an economy being increasingly expected to walk on its own two feet without Fed crutches.
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
Stocks were up across international markets as a buy the bad news event followed the sell the rumor run-up to it.
ASIA Today
Markets are closed today in China for the last business day celebration of the Lunar New Year.
EUROPE Today
The world is walking on eggshells as the Olympics kick off in Russia. Unfortunately, it appears a terrorist attack was in the works to disrupt the opening ceremony, as a hijacked plane ordered to divert to Sochi was grounded by its pilots in Istanbul instead. If European shares were still trading, we suspect they would have reversed course on this news.
Commodity Markets (9:33 AM ET)
The weather is still playing havoc on all commodities, but today we saw a reversal in natural gas prices. Orange juice concentrate prices advanced though on a Southern storm strike.
Corporate Events
Wall Street firm Stifel raised XPO Logistics (NYSE: XPO) and Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX) to “Buy” from “Hold” and C.H. Robinson (Nasdaq: CHRW) to “Hold” from “Sell”. Earnings season is running down now, but a good number of companies still reported today.
Other Reports for Your Review:
Why Google is the Top Tech Play of Our Generation (Nasdaq: GOOG)
Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.
Jobs Report Dyslexia
Market ETF
|
Feb. 7
|
Year-to-Date
|
Last 12 Mos.
|
SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY)
|
+0.7%
|
3.2%
|
+18.4%
|
SPDR Dow Jones (NYSE: DIA)
|
+0.5%
|
-5.2%
|
+12.6%
|
PowerShares (Nasdaq: QQQ)
|
+1.2%
|
-1.3%
|
+29.0%
|
SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD)
|
+0.4%
|
+4.8%
|
-24.8%
|
iShares US Real Estate (NYSE: IYR)
|
+0.4%
|
+4.2%
|
-2.3%
|
United States Oil (NYSE: USO)
|
+0.8%
|
-0.4%
|
+1.4%
|
PowerShares DB US$ Bullish (NYSE:
UUP)
|
-0.2%
|
+0.7%
|
-1.0%
|
PIMCO Total Return ETF (NYSE: BOND)
|
+0.1%
|
+1.7%
|
-2.5%
|
Stocks are sort of selling the news, or buying it in this case today. Bad news from the Jobs Report had no impact on stocks, as they rose broadly through the afternoon. Two factors that could be at play are increasing blame given to the weather and increasing discussion about the Fed possibly tapering its tapering program. As such, gains should fade into the close, and we suggest avoiding long positions lasting more than a day.
Economic Events
ECONOMIC REPORT SCHEDULE
|
|
||
Economic Data Point
|
Prior
|
Expected
|
Actual
|
FRIDAY
|
|
|
|
Jobs Report
– Unemployment
|
6.7%
|
6.7%
|
6.6%
|
-Nonfarm Payrolls
|
75K
|
181K
|
113K
|
-Private Payrolls
|
89K
|
182K
|
142K
|
Consumer Credit
M/M Change
|
+$12.3 B
|
+$12.0 B
|
|
The economic radar today was solely focused on the Employment Situation Report for January. The data was relatively poor, with very little revision to December’s miserable nonfarm payroll result and January’s number coming in about as bad. The suspect unemployment rate continued to improve, but it remains burdened by the realities around civilian workforce erosion and structural fault in American labor. Private nonfarm payrolls improved a bit, but remain relatively poor for an economy being increasingly expected to walk on its own two feet without Fed crutches.
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
EUROPE
|
CLOSE
|
ASIA/PACIFIC
|
CLOSE
|
EURO STOXX 50
|
+0.9%
|
NIKKEI 225
|
+2.2%
|
FTSE 100
|
+0.2%
|
Hang Seng
|
+1.0%
|
CAC 40
|
+1.0%
|
S&P/ASX 200
|
+0.7%
|
German DAX
|
+0.5%
|
Korean KOSPI
|
+0.8%
|
Athens ASE
|
+0.4%
|
BSE India SENSEX
|
+0.3%
|
Stocks were up across international markets as a buy the bad news event followed the sell the rumor run-up to it.
ASIA Today
Markets are closed today in China for the last business day celebration of the Lunar New Year.
ASIAN ETFs
|
Today
|
iShares MSCI Japan (NYSE: EWJ)
|
+1.4%
|
SPDR S&P China (NYSE: GXC)
|
+1.1%
|
iShares MSCI Australia (NYSE: EWA)
|
+0.5%
|
iShares MSCI S. Korea (NYSE: EWY)
|
+0.6%
|
iShares S&P India (Nasdaq: INDY)
|
+0.5%
|
EUROPE Today
The world is walking on eggshells as the Olympics kick off in Russia. Unfortunately, it appears a terrorist attack was in the works to disrupt the opening ceremony, as a hijacked plane ordered to divert to Sochi was grounded by its pilots in Istanbul instead. If European shares were still trading, we suspect they would have reversed course on this news.
EUROPEAN ETFs
|
Today
|
Vanguard FTSE Europe (NYSE: VGK)
|
+0.7%
|
iShares MSCI U.K. (NYSE: EWU)
|
+0.5%
|
iShares MSCI France (NYSE: EWQ)
|
+0.9%
|
iShares MSCI Germany (NYSE: EWG)
|
+0.7%
|
Global X FTSE Greece (NYSE: GREK)
|
-0.4%
|
Commodity Markets (9:33 AM ET)
WTI Crude
|
+0.3%
|
Brent Crude
|
+0.4%
|
NYMEX Natural Gas
|
-1.5%
|
RBOB Gasoline
|
+1.0%
|
Gold Spot
|
+0.2%
|
Silver Spot
|
-0.5%
|
COMEX Copper
|
+0.5%
|
CBOT Corn
|
-0.1%
|
CBOT Wheat
|
+0.5%
|
CBOT Soybeans
|
-0.2%
|
ICE Cocoa
|
+0.5%
|
ICE Sugar
|
0.0%
|
ICE Orange Juice Conc.
|
+1.2%
|
CME Lumber
|
+0.5%
|
CME Live Cattle
|
+0.1%
|
The weather is still playing havoc on all commodities, but today we saw a reversal in natural gas prices. Orange juice concentrate prices advanced though on a Southern storm strike.
Corporate Events
Wall Street firm Stifel raised XPO Logistics (NYSE: XPO) and Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX) to “Buy” from “Hold” and C.H. Robinson (Nasdaq: CHRW) to “Hold” from “Sell”. Earnings season is running down now, but a good number of companies still reported today.
HIGHLIGHTED EPS REPORTS
|
|
Company
|
Ticker
|
FRIDAY
|
|
Aaron’s
|
NYSE: AAN
|
ArcelorMittal
|
NYSE: MT
|
Beacon Roofing
|
Nasdaq: BECN
|
Cigna
|
NYSE: CI
|
CommunityOne Bancorp
|
NYSE: COB
|
Corporate Office Properties
|
NYSE: OFC
|
EnPro Industries
|
NYSE: NPO
|
Farmer Bros.
|
Nasdaq: FARM
|
FLIR Systems
|
Nasdaq: FLIR
|
Forum Energy
|
NYSE: FET
|
Imation
|
NYSE: IMN
|
Ixia
|
Nasdaq: XXIA
|
Laboratory Corp.
|
NYSE: LH
|
Liquidity Services
|
Nasdaq: LQDT
|
Moody’s
|
NYSE: MCO
|
MoSys
|
Nasdaq: MOSY
|
OneBeacon Insurance
|
NYSE: OB
|
Sirona Dental
|
Nasdaq: SIRO
|
Snyder’s-Lance
|
Nasdaq: LNCE
|
Taro Pharmaceutical
|
Nasdaq: TARO
|
TC Pipelines
|
NYSE: TCP
|
The Madison Square Garden
|
NYSE: MSG
|
Viad
|
NYSE: VVI
|
Viasystems Group
|
Nasdaq: VIAS
|
Wyndham Worldwide
|
NYSE: WYN
|
TODAY’S MOST ACTIVE STOCKS
|
|
BIGGEST GAINERS
|
% Gain
|
Cytokinetics (Nasdaq: CYTK)
|
+33%
|
Smart Technologies (NYSE: SMT)
|
+32%
|
Athenahealth (Nasdaq: ATHN)
|
+25%
|
Adept Technology (Nasdaq: ADEP)
|
+22%
|
Corporate Resource Service (Nasdaq: CRRS)
|
+22%
|
Net 1 Ueps Technology (Nasdaq: UEPS)
|
+20%
|
Bebe Stores (Nasdaq: BEBE)
|
+18%
|
Sunesis Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: SNSS)
|
+18%
|
American Spectrum Realty (NYSE: AQQ)
|
+17%
|
Puma Biotechnology (Nasdaq: PBYI)
|
+17%
|
BIGGEST LOSERS
|
% Drop
|
Fairway Group (NYSE: FWM)
|
-29%
|
Giga-tronics (Nasdaq: GIGA)
|
-19%
|
Montage Technology (Nasdaq: MONT)
|
-18%
|
Genpact (NYSE: G)
|
-18%
|
Echelon Corp. (Nasdaq: ELON)
|
-18%
|
Internet Initiative Japan (Nasdaq: IIJI)
|
-16%
|
Prima Biomed (Nasdaq: PBMD)
|
-17%
|
TrovaGene (Nasdaq: TROVW)
|
-16%
|
Uranium Resources (Nasdaq: URRE)
|
-16%
|
Life Partners (Nasdaq: LPHI)
|
-13%
|
Other Reports for Your Review:
Why Google is the Top Tech Play of Our Generation (Nasdaq: GOOG)
Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.
Labels: Market-Outlook, Market-Outlook-2014-Q1
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