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Tuesday, November 11, 2008

Wheeling and Dealing for Detroit

detroit auto industry aid political bargainingBy "The Greek"

Visit the front pages of Wall Street Greek and Market Moving News to see our current coverage of economic reports and financial markets.

Lame-duck President Bush has little leverage to get any of his wishes accomplished before his exit, but it became clear yesterday that the Democrats have a few needs he might exploit toward that end. Namely, the Dems would like to see the auto sector lifted up from cliff's edge as soon as possible in order to take that critical problem off the long list Obama will inherit in January. It's just unfortunate that political wheeling and dealing has left Detroit auto workers with bated breath. Jobs have been lost in Motown in recent days, and more may be lost that might be preserved by swift government action.

(Article interests: AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: QLD, AMEX: XLF, AMEX: IWM, AMEX: TWM, AMEX: IWD, AMEX: SDK)

Auto Industry Caught in Between

The auto industry is in the spotlight today, as several publishers are reporting President Bush may be near ready to offer aid to the cash strapped sector. In recent days, General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Ford (NYSE: F), alongside foreign producers Toyota (NYSE: TM), Honda Motor (NYSE: HMC) and private firm Chrysler have garnered attention, but for all the wrong reasons.

October light motor vehicle sales noted the worst month in twenty five years. In the days that followed, automakers publicly discussed their unsustainable level of operations in such an environment. GM and Ford barely have enough capital to survive through a couple more quarters at their current cash burn rates, and asset sales are likely to find far less than optimum pricing in today's garage sale-like environment.

Yesterday, President-Elect Obama supposedly urged Bush to aid the auto sector, because he seeks to avoid inheriting it in a shambles. The lame-duck Bush is said to be playing a poker hand to Obama and Dem desires, by holding the Colombia Free-Trade Pact up as a carrot. Democrats oppose the deal without more substantive progress in Colombia, but the Administration and the Republicans wisely see the need to more strongly ally with Venezuela's neighbor sooner rather than later.

Talking heads are discussing the possibility of another $25 billion or so in capital to help autos through tough times. The Washington Post reported that a bipartisan group of Congressman asked the President to include auto sector aid in that blind bag of money called the Emergency Economic Stimulus Act. It's clear that as time passes the President's leverage declines, so he may have to tweak his request for Colombia a bit to make it more digestible for the Dems. Still, a deal seems clearly possible.

In any event, stubborn Detroit is going to have to adapt to modern times, and get competitive again. Waiting the auto industry out a bit, making the Detroit gang sweat a little, might prod that. It's efforts in the green car push have been late in coming, and much of the companies' current strife is perhaps due to their own lack of foresight and preference for low hanging fruit, i.e. the SUV craze. Unfortunately, that lack of foresight has been exposed now as common place in our society...

While all this political wheeling and dealing finds admiration in Washington, Detroit is left holding its breath. The real livelihood and well being of Detroit auto workers hangs in the balance, and it is unfair to this classic cut of American pie that they are burdened now with stress. Some of these hard working Americans are already losing their jobs because of the delay, so real lives are on line. "The Greek" urges Washington to either drop the politics or sit down and work something out swiftly for the sake of our struggling brothers in Detroit town.

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6 Comments:

Blogger JB said...

GREEK---YOU CAN'T SERIOUSLY BE LOBBYING FOR ANOTHER BAIL OUT FOR THE AUTOMAKERS???? Why?

Why not bail out Circuit City? Their employees will be fired too! Come on! When does it end? GM and Ford should fold up if they can't compete with Toyota. We really are a Socialist nation now. It disgusts me.

1:33 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

It's not just Detroit, but auto plants throughout the midwest, and the hundreds of auto suppliers, that although many are well run, will suffer if the big auto companies go under. The rippling effect will have a huge effect on our economy, most likely these jobs will permanently migrate overseas. Perhaps the Republicans would have had a chance in the election if they had helped out this key industry months ago. Please note I am a conservative Republican, not generally in favor of bailouts, but the effect is massive to our economy. We don't hesitate to help people after a hurricane (which of course we should), but we haven't helped the economic hurricane which has been effecting Michigan and the midwest.

6:28 PM  
Blogger JB said...

Chrysler was bailed out in the 80's. Did that change their management and operational approach to making more competitive cars? They should go into bankruptcy, and they will have a better ability to managetheir legacy costs, and deal with the union's absurd demands. It will give them a better field to negotiate from. LET THEM FILE CHAPTER 11. ENOUGH WITH THIS SOCIALISM NONSENSE! Have we learn nothing from history? Go re-read the Wealth of Nations. GOVERNMENT DOES NOT FIX ANYTHING. They only make things WORSE!

10:01 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"In any event, stubborn Detroit is going to have to adapt to modern times, and get competitive again. Waiting the auto industry out a bit, making the Detroit gang sweat a little, might prod that. It's efforts in the green car push have been late in coming, and much of the companies' current strife is perhaps due to their own lack of foresight and preference for low hanging fruit, i.e. the SUV craze. Unfortunately, that lack of foresight has been exposed now as common place in our society..."

IT is not lack of foresight, it is greed. Greed for short term profits driven by the same greed at its source: Wall Street. PRivately held companies as a whole are not suffering the fate of their publicly traded counterparts.

All the green technology is there. Just not profitable, nor is there supporting infrastructure in our society. In short, don't blame the auto industry as a whole, blame the CEOs and CFOs, driven by Wall Street.

And though I am strongly opposed to bailouts, people with real jobs that contribute to a real economy should have been first in line ahead of those who use fiat money to create more fiat. Since I have done BOTH jobs, I know which one requires REAL work, and it ain't trading or investment banking.

10:47 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Whoa boys! Geez, I'm getting hit from both ends. One guy blasts me for being a socialist and the other says I'm a Wall Street capitalist pig. How can I be both?

There's just no way we can close up GM. Think of all those square cars that will disappear from American highways. It'll throw off the balance of the universe.

3:45 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

My comment was not aimed at the Greek. No hypocrisy there... equal opportunity bailout.

My comment was aimed at the uber-hypocrites on CNBC who DARE to suggest that any bailout should be tied to regulation.

HOW ABOUT OVERSIGHT AND REGULATION FOR WALL STREET?! They eschew that completely... don't need it, right?

They DARE to mention executive or union pay. How about the reducing the pay of traders on Wall Street to the top engineers (~100K) or the top line workers (~75K).

They DARE to mention the amount of the bailout and the possibility of burn through. The AIG bailout has already been 10X the requested amount and it lasted 1 month.

The hypocrisy makes me want to hunt down the pencil-necked dweebs and beat them senseless.

Not you, Greek. Not you.

10:42 PM  

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