Good News is Bad News but Still Good News for Some
A similar theme is ringing true again Wednesday. It’s one where economic data is given less weight and where individual earnings reports are swinging indexes, industries and stock sectors. Today’s drivers are of course led by Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), which reported last evening and is on the rise today. Stocks are also moving on a slew of other important names driving the tape today. See the full list of earnings reporters below along with the biggest movers list. As for the economy, the news was mostly good, but investors are reading good macroeconomic news as bad news today, because of expectations that it reinforces the likelihood of Fed tapering. For more in-depth analysis and research visit our stock market blog.
Our founder earned clients a 23% average annual return over five years as a stock analyst on Wall Street. "The Greek" has written for institutional newsletters, Businessweek, Real Money, Seeking Alpha and others, while also appearing across TV and radio. While writing for Wall Street Greek, Mr. Kaminis presciently warned of the financial crisis.
Once again, the variation in the indexes, especially seen in the movement of the NASDAQ versus the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average, is explainable by individual earnings reports. Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), for one, is working against the S&P and Dow, while Apple’s good news is lifting the Nasdaq.
Economic Events
I think we can safely call the economic data of the day a mostly positive lot, with improvement seen in manufacturing and new home sales, each of which were better than economists expected. Mortgage activity slipped again this week on the relatively higher rates than we saw this past winter. However, the petroleum draw is good news, because it shows demand for oil and gasoline. But be careful, because there is another issue at play. Excessive heat, especially in the population dense Northeastern U.S. and the Southwest is also requiring utilities to work harder, and burn more fuel to produce electricity for air conditioners to keep Americans cool. This has natural gas prices on the rise as well; they were up sharply last week, when investors could not escape the heat.
Overseas Markets
International markets, especially in Europe, gained on news that the EU may be finally escaping recession. European manufacturing, as measured by the Markit Economics Eurozone Flash PMI Index, improved to an 18-month high in July. It was measured at 50.4 in July, up from June’s mark of 48.7.
Commodity Markets (12:41 PM ET)
Corporate Events
Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.
Our founder earned clients a 23% average annual return over five years as a stock analyst on Wall Street. "The Greek" has written for institutional newsletters, Businessweek, Real Money, Seeking Alpha and others, while also appearing across TV and radio. While writing for Wall Street Greek, Mr. Kaminis presciently warned of the financial crisis.
Good News is Bad News?
Market ETF
|
July 24, 2013
|
Year-to-Date
|
SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)
|
-0.4%
|
+18.3%
|
SPDR Dow Jones (DIA)
|
-0.4%
|
+18.6%
|
PowerShares (QQQ)
|
+0.3%
|
+14.4%
|
Once again, the variation in the indexes, especially seen in the movement of the NASDAQ versus the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average, is explainable by individual earnings reports. Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), for one, is working against the S&P and Dow, while Apple’s good news is lifting the Nasdaq.
Economic Events
ECONOMIC REPORT SCHEDULE
|
|
||
Economic Data Point
|
Prior Period
|
Expected
|
Actual
|
WEDNESDAY
|
|
|
|
52.2
|
52.8
|
53.2
|
|
459K (R)
|
481K
|
497K
|
|
-2.6%
|
NA
|
-1.2%
|
|
– Crude Oil Inv.
|
-6.9 M
|
NA
|
-2.8 M
|
I think we can safely call the economic data of the day a mostly positive lot, with improvement seen in manufacturing and new home sales, each of which were better than economists expected. Mortgage activity slipped again this week on the relatively higher rates than we saw this past winter. However, the petroleum draw is good news, because it shows demand for oil and gasoline. But be careful, because there is another issue at play. Excessive heat, especially in the population dense Northeastern U.S. and the Southwest is also requiring utilities to work harder, and burn more fuel to produce electricity for air conditioners to keep Americans cool. This has natural gas prices on the rise as well; they were up sharply last week, when investors could not escape the heat.
Overseas Markets
EUROPE
|
CLOSE
|
ASIA/PACIFIC
|
CLOSE
|
EURO STOXX 50
|
+1.1%
|
NIKKEI 225
|
-0.3%
|
German DAX
|
+0.8%
|
Hang Seng
|
+0.2%
|
CAC 40
|
+1.0%
|
S&P/ASX 200
|
+0.4%
|
FTSE 100
|
+0.4%
|
Korean KOSPI
|
+0.4%
|
Athens ASE
|
-0.1%
|
BSE India SENSEX
|
-1.0%
|
International markets, especially in Europe, gained on news that the EU may be finally escaping recession. European manufacturing, as measured by the Markit Economics Eurozone Flash PMI Index, improved to an 18-month high in July. It was measured at 50.4 in July, up from June’s mark of 48.7.
Commodity Markets (12:41 PM ET)
WTI Crude
|
-1.9%
|
Brent Crude
|
-1.5%
|
NYMEX Natural Gas
|
+0.6%
|
RBOB Gasoline
|
-0.4%
|
Gold Spot
|
-1.3%
|
Silver Spot
|
-1.5%
|
COMEX Copper
|
-0.3%
|
CBOT Corn
|
-0.2%
|
CBOT Wheat
|
+0.5%
|
CBOT Soybeans
|
+0.2%
|
ICE Cocoa
|
+0.0%
|
ICE Sugar
|
-0.7%
|
ICE Orange Juice Conc.
|
+2.6%
|
CME Live Cattle
|
+0.4%
|
Corporate Events
REPORTING EARNINGS
|
|
Company
|
Ticker
|
WEDNESDAY
|
|
WellPoint
|
NYSE: WLP
|
PepsiCo
|
NYSE: PEP
|
Ford Motor
|
NYSE: F
|
Boeing
|
NYSE: BA
|
Caterpillar
|
NYSE: CAT
|
Radian Group
|
NYSE: RDN
|
EMC
|
NYSE: EMC
|
Northrop Grumman
|
NYSE: NOC
|
Realogy
|
Nasdaq: RLGY
|
Facebook
|
NYSE: FB
|
Southwest Airlines
|
NYSE: LUV
|
NASDAQ OMX
|
Nasdaq: NDAQ
|
Praxair
|
NYSE: PX
|
Dr. Pepper Snapple
|
NYSE: DPS
|
US Airways
|
NYSE: LCC
|
T. Rowe Price
|
Nasdaq: TROW
|
Spirit Airlines
|
Nasdaq: SAVE
|
Thermo Fisher Scientific
|
NYSE: TMO
|
Lumber Liquidators
|
NYSE: LL
|
Reynolds American
|
NYSE: RAI
|
Lithia Motors
|
NYSE: LAD
|
AmerisourceBergen
|
NYSE: ABC
|
Wyndham Worldwide
|
NYSE: WYN
|
Delta Airlines
|
NYSE: DAL
|
Pacific Ethanol
|
Nasdaq: PEIX
|
TripAdvisor
|
Nasdaq: TRIP
|
Las Vegas Sands
|
NYSE: LVS
|
Tractor Supply
|
Nasdaq: TSCO
|
Oceaneering International
|
NYSE: OII
|
Capstead Mortgage
|
NYSE: CMO
|
Crocs
|
Nasdaq: CROX
|
Raymond James
|
NYSE: RJF
|
MOST ACTIVE STOCKS
|
|
BIGGEST GAINERS
|
% Gain
|
Agios Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: AGIO)
|
+59%
|
Zhone Technologies (Nasdaq: ZHNE)
|
+29%
|
Maidenform Brands (NYSE: MFB)
|
+23%
|
Frontline Ltd. (NYSE: FRO)
|
+20%
|
Clean Diesel Technologies (Nasdaq: CDTI)
|
+24%
|
TOP Ships (Nasdaq: TOPS)
|
+25%
|
Mastech (NYSE: MHH)
|
+16%
|
VMware (NYSE: VMW)
|
+16%
|
Rocky Brands (Nasdaq: RCKY)
|
+13%
|
USEC Inc. (NYSE: USU)
|
+14%
|
BIGGEST LOSERS
|
% Drop
|
Washington Federal (Nasdaq: WAFDW)
|
-29%
|
Neostem (NYSE: NBS)
|
-15%
|
Broadcom (Nasdaq: BRCM)
|
-15%
|
Vocus (Nasdaq: VOCS)
|
-15%
|
Walter Energy (NYSE: WLT)
|
-15%
|
CEVA (Nasdaq: CEVA)
|
-15%
|
Sarepta Therapeutics (Nasdaq: SRPT)
|
-15%
|
iRobot (Nasdaq: IRBT)
|
-14%
|
Polycom (Nasdaq: PLCM)
|
-12%
|
Harvest Natural Resources (NYSE: HNR)
|
-10%
|
Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.
Labels: Market-Outlook, Market-Outlook-2013-Q3
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