Stock Apocalypse Now - Updated Technical View
Since our 2012 technical forecast was issued earlier this year, S&P prices have closed right at key resistance of 1292. Apart from the further maturation of the current rally, not much else has changed.
Figure 1 below divides intermediate Elliot Waves into sub-waves in order to illustrate further the maturity of the current rally:
It would appear that the S&P is completing the fifth of five sub-waves within wave C of intermediate Wave 2. Note that daily stochastics are overbought at 94% and that S&P prices closed right at key resistance of 1292.
Once this move is complete, Intermediate Wave 3 down should begin. According to Elliot Wave theory, the magnitude of this wave will exceed that of Wave 1 down, which featured a 300 point drop.
I believe investors should consider taking trading profits from this recent rally to avoid the coming “stock-apocalypse.”
This article should interest investors in SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE: DIA), SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY), PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQ), PowerShares Short Dow 30 (NYSE: DOG), ProShares Ultra Short QQQ (NYSE: QLD), ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 (NYSE: SDS), iShares Russell 2000 (NYSE: IWM).
Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.
Figure 1 below divides intermediate Elliot Waves into sub-waves in order to illustrate further the maturity of the current rally:
- Intermediate Wave 1 down, shown with black dotted line, consisted of five sub-waves (i) through (v), each of which is depicted with a red dotted line
- Note that sub-wave (iii) down was the largest in magnitude
- Countertrend rallies consist of three-wave movements, in this case shown
as A through C, and depicted with blue dotted lines - Sub-wave C can be further subdivided into 5 smaller waves (not shown)
It would appear that the S&P is completing the fifth of five sub-waves within wave C of intermediate Wave 2. Note that daily stochastics are overbought at 94% and that S&P prices closed right at key resistance of 1292.
Once this move is complete, Intermediate Wave 3 down should begin. According to Elliot Wave theory, the magnitude of this wave will exceed that of Wave 1 down, which featured a 300 point drop.
I believe investors should consider taking trading profits from this recent rally to avoid the coming “stock-apocalypse.”
This article should interest investors in SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE: DIA), SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY), PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQ), PowerShares Short Dow 30 (NYSE: DOG), ProShares Ultra Short QQQ (NYSE: QLD), ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 (NYSE: SDS), iShares Russell 2000 (NYSE: IWM).
Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.
Labels: Ferguson, Market-Outlook, Technical_Analysis, Technical-Analysis-2012
1 Comments:
i do not understand the elliot wave, but how accurate is it really?? how can something be predicted like that if stocks and DOW only respond to positive/negative news?
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