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The Wall Street Greek blog is the sexy & syndicated financial securities markets publication of former Senior Equity Analyst Markos N. Kaminis. Our stock market blog reaches reputable publishers & private networks and is an unbiased, independent Wall Street research resource on the economy, stocks, gold & currency, energy & oil, real estate and more. Wall Street & Greece should be as honest, dependable and passionate as The Greek.


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Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Who Would Downgrade Grandpa - Berkshire Hathaway News (NYSE: BRK-A, NYSE: BRK-B)

warren buffet greatest investor of all time
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(Relative Stocks: BRK-A, BRK-B, MCO, MHP)

Who Would Downgrade Grandpa?!

wall street the greek philosopher markosOne rating agency already has, and Standard & Poor's said Wednesday that it would have to as well if things got any worse. So if the greatest investor of all-time took such a hit through this bloody mess of a bear, does it make your losses more bearable? We're sure his annual letter would serve that purpose, as Buffet warmly reminds us that America has faced greater challenges than this, and overcome them... those being the Great Depression and World War II.

Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A, NYSE: BRK-B)

Who would dare downgrade Warren Buffet, or his operating vehicle, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B, NYSE: BRK.A)? How about that same brazen bunch of rating agencies now actively cutting the sovereign ratings of tough ex-Soviet states like Lithuania OR EU kingpins like Greece! How about that wildly unpopular trio.

Late Tuesday evening, Standard & Poor's, a subsidiary of McGraw-Hill (NYSE: MHP), warned that Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway could lose its "AAA" credit rating within a year if its capital levels or equity share value decline much further. S&P lowered its "outlook" on Berkshire to "negative" from "stable." S&P didn't break ground on this Buffet busting change though, as it followed Fitch's more aggressive March 12 rating cut to "AA-plus" from "AAA." Moody's (NYSE: MCO) still holds a "Aaa" rating with a "stable" outlook. God bless their soul.

We're guessing Warren gets the benefit of the doubt where regular folks might get cut down by the knees. He deserves it though doesn't he? After all, he is the greatest investor of all-time for Graham's sake! Either mercy or guilt seemed evident by the words of the Fitch analyst as he justified his cut, noting the "inconsistency" of Berkshire's capital levels with the normal stability seen at the standard "AAA" rated firm. The S&P analyst also seemed apologetic for the move.

You know what I say, judge not lest you be judged. We're still waiting to see if the rating agencies ever get any real punishment for their failing to properly measure risk, and playing such a significant role in wealth destruction on the grandest of scales.

Of course, Berkshire just posted a horrible year, but it still feels like taking the man's cane and whacking him behind the knees with it. I mean look at his picture. Here you have a nice guy who worked his tail off his entire life and did a great job at it. Do you know how many people lose their humanity as their wallets expand? I've seen a few in my time, and that's for sure. But NOT Warren though.

You can't downgrade America's grandpa!!! Come on man!!! That's just not right...

But What Had Happened Was...
Berkshire (BRK), heavily tied to the housing market, posted 96% lower profits in Q4. The results were significantly impacted by unrealized losses in derivative securities, necessarily marked-to-market. Buffet is not throwing in the towel on those securities though. Still, he felt so responsible to his shareholders for this latest report and year that he dedicated five pages of his annual letter explaining the investments and his decisions. The full-year was reportedly his worst on record, not hard to believe. We've broken many record lows over the past few months.

In Conclusion

We just want to say that as long as "The Greek" is running the show here, if we think Grandpa isn't up to repaying a debt, we still won't downgrade him. As a matter of fact, if there ever was a bet worth doubling down on, it's Warren. What I would do is... I would buy him a stogie, pat him on the back and say don't sweat it buddy. We would head over to the racetrack or baseball field and talk about the Brooklyn Dodgers all afternoon. Gosh, that would be a priceless day wouldn't it... God bless you grandpa, you're still an inspiration to me.

Thursday's EPS Schedule

Thursday's earnings schedule includes Best Buy (NYSE: BBY), ConAgra Foods (NYSE: CAG), Dr. Pepper Snapple Group (NYSE: DPS), Gamestop (NYSE: GME), Lululemon (Nasdaq: LULU), Scholastic (Nasdaq: SCHL), Texas Industries (NYSE: TXI), The Wet Seal (Nasdaq: WTSLA), Accenture (NYSE: ACN), ARYxTherapeutics (Nasdaq: ARYX), Atrinsic (Nasdaq: NWMO), Birner Dental (Nasdaq: BDMS), China Housing and Land Development (Nasdaq: CHLN), China Life Insurance (NYSE: LFC), China TransInfo Tech (Nasdaq: CTFO), Companhia de Saneamiento (NYSE: SBS), Conn's Inc. (Nasdaq: CONN), Cornerstone Therapeutics (Nasdaq: CRTX), Dr. Pepper Snapple (NYSE: DPS), Embraer-Empresa Brasileira de A (NYSE: ERJ), Energy Focus (Nasdaq: EFOI), Flexible Solutions (AMEX: FSI), Fred's (Nasdaq: FRED), FreeSeas (Nasdaq: FREE), GameStop (NYSE: GME), Global Crossing (Nasdaq: GLBC), HearUSA (AMEX: EAR), Intelli-Check (AMEX: IDN), InTEST (Nasdaq: INTT), Lululemon (Nasdaq: LULU), Nanophase Technology (Nasdaq: NANX), New York Mortgage Trust (Nasdaq: NYMT), P&F Industries (Nasdaq: PFIN), Response Genetics (Nasdaq: RGDX), Rosetta Genomics (Nasdaq: ROSG), Scholastic (Nasdaq: SCHL), Smart Modular Technologies (Nasdaq: SMOD), Spectrum Control (Nasdaq: SPEC), Synnex (NYSE: SNX), Synta Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: SNTA), Texas Industries (NYSE: TXI), The Wet Seal (Nasdaq: WTSLA), TIBCO Software (Nasdaq: TIBX), UTI Worldwide (Nasdaq: UTIW) and Xyratex (Nasdaq: XRTX).

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Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. (Article interests: AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: QLD, AMEX: XLF, AMEX: IWM, AMEX: TWM, AMEX: IWD, AMEX: SDK).

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1 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Grandpa" was the guy that priced he deal between AIG and General Re and then let the four people do the dirty work and ultimately go to prison for the deal he approved, then he donated some $37 billion to charity (in BRK Stock), so they would leave him out of it; or risk tanking the stock and hurt the charity. He's brilliant all right!

8:30 AM  

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