TUESDAY’S MARKET – It's About Buick & Bibi
Stocks are backing off to start the day Tuesday, perhaps solely because of the run to 5000 for the Nasdaq yesterday. Investors will need some time to get use to the new class and grow comfortable with new money. But stocks should be getting a boost today from the motor vehicle sales, which were mostly positive today given the poor weather for February. I recommend investors keep buying dips in the market for now, as the absence of Greece fear, a Ukraine peace of sorts, and the Fed’s delayed schedule all offer better reason for kept capital to get to work now in risky stocks. The Israeli Prime Minister’s speech to the U.S. Congress today is a bit distracting as we near midday, and it could refocus investors on scary geopolitical scenarios, but I expect the market will get back to track soon enough. Follow our investors’ blog for our regular commentary.
Yesterday’s economic data will carry over to today given the soft schedule. Yesterday we saw personal income was about in line, but personal spending was reported down 0.2%, versus a better expectation. Though, regarding consumers, Gallup’s consumer measure improved by a dollar. The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge, the Core PCE Price Index edged up 0.1%, which was inconsequential but should have helped the spending result higher.
Construction spending came in soft, but the weather finds the easy blame. The good news that seemed to carry the day and outweigh Friday’s Chicago PMI collapse and GDP revision came from manufacturing. Both the Markit and ISM data were reported strong enough to save us and cause some question about Friday’s bad news.
Today’s soft report schedule has already produced Redbook’s same-store sales check-up, which showed a 2.7% year-over-year gain for the period measured, versus last week’s 2.8% gain. Gallup’s economic confidence measure softened, but is not widely followed.
Motor vehicle sales are still rolling in, and this data will dictate the day for more than just Ford (NYSE: F), General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA). It will show some level of consumer activity and bank lending, and in recent history has been uplifting of the market. Today’s data for February has been mostly positive considering February’s weather, save for Ford. Ford reported its US sales fell 2%; FCA (Chrysler) said its sales were up 5.6% versus last year’s result; Nissan’s (Nasdaq: NSANY) US sales were up 2.7%; GM’s sales were up 4%. I see this as a positive that will prove supportive to market rise this month, though not this morning. Automaker shares were all lower on the day.
Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) reported its results this morning and the shares are up 1.5%. The results were good, but the company said it would be seeing some margin squeeze ahead on higher SG&A spending. Best Buy’s CEO, commenting on Apple Watch (Nasdaq: AAPL), said it’s too early and much depends on quality and consumer perception, but he’ll be wearing one. This should be a positive factor for stocks today.
In conclusion, the world over is watching the Israeli Prime Minister’s speech to the U.S. Congress, but investors will have the entire afternoon to focus on reasons to buy stocks again.
Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.
Sector Security
|
3-3-15
|
YTD
|
TTM
|
Vanguard S&P 500 (NYSE: VOO)
|
-0.5%
|
+3.2%
|
+17.0%
|
iShares Dow Jones (NYSE: IYY)
|
-0.5%
|
+3.5%
|
+15.9%
|
Fidelity NASDAQ ETF (Nasdaq: ONEQ)
|
-0.5%
|
+6.5%
|
+18.7%
|
ProShares Ultra Gold (NYSE: UGL)
|
+1.3%
|
+2.5%
|
-23.2%
|
ProShares Ultra Real Estate (NYSE: URE)
|
-0.7%
|
+3.8%
|
+43.4%
|
ProShares Ultra Oil (NYSE: UCO)
|
+1.3%
|
-17.4%
|
-77.5%
|
WisdomTree US$ Bullish (NYSE:
USDU)
|
-0.4%
|
+2.8%
|
+14.1%
|
iShares 20+ Yr. Treasury (NYSE: TLT)
|
+0.2%
|
NA
|
+19.7%
|
Economic & EPS Reports
TODAY’S ECONOMIC REPORT
SCHEDULE
|
|
||
Economic Data Point
|
Prior
|
Expected
|
Actual
|
MONDAY
|
|
|
|
+0.3%
|
+0.4%
|
+0.3%
|
|
-Spending
|
-0.3%
|
+0.0%
|
-0.2%
|
-Core PCE Price Index
|
+0.0%
|
+0.1%
|
+0.1%
|
53.9
|
54.0
|
55.1
|
|
53.5
|
53.0
|
52.9
|
|
+0.4%
|
+0.3%
|
-1.1%
|
|
$81
|
|
$82
|
|
TUESDAY
|
|
|
|
16.7M
|
16.7M
|
|
|
-Domestic Sales Only
|
13.5M
|
13.4M
|
|
2.8%
|
|
2.7%
|
|
3
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
Yesterday’s economic data will carry over to today given the soft schedule. Yesterday we saw personal income was about in line, but personal spending was reported down 0.2%, versus a better expectation. Though, regarding consumers, Gallup’s consumer measure improved by a dollar. The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge, the Core PCE Price Index edged up 0.1%, which was inconsequential but should have helped the spending result higher.
Construction spending came in soft, but the weather finds the easy blame. The good news that seemed to carry the day and outweigh Friday’s Chicago PMI collapse and GDP revision came from manufacturing. Both the Markit and ISM data were reported strong enough to save us and cause some question about Friday’s bad news.
Today’s soft report schedule has already produced Redbook’s same-store sales check-up, which showed a 2.7% year-over-year gain for the period measured, versus last week’s 2.8% gain. Gallup’s economic confidence measure softened, but is not widely followed.
Motor vehicle sales are still rolling in, and this data will dictate the day for more than just Ford (NYSE: F), General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA). It will show some level of consumer activity and bank lending, and in recent history has been uplifting of the market. Today’s data for February has been mostly positive considering February’s weather, save for Ford. Ford reported its US sales fell 2%; FCA (Chrysler) said its sales were up 5.6% versus last year’s result; Nissan’s (Nasdaq: NSANY) US sales were up 2.7%; GM’s sales were up 4%. I see this as a positive that will prove supportive to market rise this month, though not this morning. Automaker shares were all lower on the day.
Earnings Reports
Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) reported its results this morning and the shares are up 1.5%. The results were good, but the company said it would be seeing some margin squeeze ahead on higher SG&A spending. Best Buy’s CEO, commenting on Apple Watch (Nasdaq: AAPL), said it’s too early and much depends on quality and consumer perception, but he’ll be wearing one. This should be a positive factor for stocks today.
HIGHLIGHTED EPS REPORTS
|
|
Company
|
Ticker
|
TUESDAY
|
|
ABM Industries
|
NYSE: ABM
|
Accuride
|
NYSE: ACW
|
AeroVironment
|
Nasdaq: AVAV
|
Agenus
|
Nasdaq: AGEN
|
Amarin
|
Nasdaq: AMRN
|
Ambarella
|
Nasdaq: AMBA
|
Amicus Therapeutics
|
Nasdaq: FOLD
|
Ascena Retail
|
Nasdaq: ASNA
|
Autozone
|
NYSE: AZO
|
Avolon
|
Nasdaq: AVOL
|
Bazaarvoice
|
NYSE: BV
|
Best Buy
|
NYSE: BBY
|
Bob Evans Farms
|
Nasdaq: BOBE
|
Bona Film Group
|
Nasdaq: BONA
|
BreitBurn Energy Partners
|
Nasdaq: BBEP
|
Career Education
|
Nasdaq: CECO
|
CDI
|
NYSE: CDI
|
Codexis
|
Nasdaq: CDXS
|
Ctrip.com
|
Nasdaq: CTRP
|
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals
|
Nasdaq: CPIX
|
DARA BioSciences
|
Nasdaq: DARA
|
Dick’s Sporting Goods
|
NYSE: DKS
|
eFuture Information Tech
|
Nasdaq: EFUT
|
Engility
|
NYSE: EGL
|
Esperion Therapeutics
|
Nasdaq: ESPR
|
Geron
|
Nasdaq: GERN
|
Insys Therapeutics
|
Nasdaq: INSY
|
JD.Com
|
NYSE: JD
|
Kate Spade & Co.
|
Nasdaq: KATE
|
L.B. Foster
|
Nasdaq: FSTR
|
LRR Energy
|
NYSE: LRE
|
MCG Capital
|
Nasdaq: MCGC
|
Midstates Petroleum
|
NYSE: MPO
|
Navistar Int’l
|
NYSE: NAV
|
NeoPhotonics
|
Nasdaq: NPTN
|
PDI Inc.
|
Nasdaq: PDII
|
Phoenix New Media
|
Nasdaq: FENG
|
PRGX Global
|
Nasdaq: PRGX
|
Primoris Services
|
Nasdaq: PRIM
|
Quanex Building Products
|
NYSE: NX
|
Receptos
|
Nasdaq: RCPT
|
Revlon
|
NYSE: REV
|
Sanchez Energy
|
NYSE: SN
|
SINA
|
Nasdaq: SINA
|
Smith & Wesson
|
Nasdaq: SWHC
|
SpartanNash
|
Nasdaq: SPTN
|
Stage Stores
|
NYSE: SSI
|
Tarena Int’l
|
Nasdaq: TEDU
|
TiVo
|
Nasdaq: TIVO
|
TRI Pointe Homes
|
NYSE: TPH
|
TriNet Group
|
Nasdaq: TNET
|
Trinity Biotech
|
Nasdaq: TRIB
|
Trivascular Technologies
|
Nasdaq: TRIV
|
Veeva Systems
|
Nasdaq: VEEV
|
WhiteHorse Finance
|
NYSE: WHF
|
Xerium Technologies
|
NYSE: XRM
|
ZELTIQ Aesthetics
|
Nasdaq: ZLTQ
|
In conclusion, the world over is watching the Israeli Prime Minister’s speech to the U.S. Congress, but investors will have the entire afternoon to focus on reasons to buy stocks again.
Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.
Labels: Market-Outlook, Market-Outlook-2015-Q1
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