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Wall Street & World News Wire


Find a series of 50 interesting videos here updated morning, noon and night. Videos cover Wall Street, politics, world news...

Thursday, July 31, 2008

Don't Diversify!

diversification don't diversify modern portfolio theory
By Ryan Delany - Personal Finance & Investing for Military and Marine Corps

"The average person can concentrate on a few good companies, while the fund manager is forced to diversify. By owning too many stocks, you lose this advantage of concentration. It only takes a handful of big winners to make a lifetime of investing worthwhile."

--Peter Lynch

Small investors need to exploit their strategic advantages if they are to beat the market. One often overlooked advantage is the option to put all our eggs in a few well chosen baskets.

For the individual investor 5 - 10 stocks is a good number; to own more stocks would require more time and expertise than most laymen have. Each stock investment should be viewed like purchasing a business. This means that you should be well-versed in the industry, familiar with the company and management, and very happy with the income statements and balance sheets. If you examine 20 different companies and only find one that meets your criteria, then only buy one! Don't settle for inferior companies in the name of "diversification."

To be fair, diversification has its benefits--specifically it can spread out your risk. If all of your investments were in tech stocks in the early part of the millennium you would have been in trouble, whereas if only a tenth of your investments had been in tech stocks you would have been better off. My point is not that you shouldn't spread out your risk, but rather that purchasing inferior stocks in different industries could also increase your risk. Spreading out your risk (diversifying, if you will) among several smart investments is a good idea.

Fund managers diversify for a few reasons: one is to spread risk; another is that with their additional resources they can cast a wider net to look for big fish; and finally because they have to spend huge amounts of money. When a manager spots a great stock, he or she can only buy enough of it for a tiny portion of the total fund (that is, without driving up the price). Since funds have so much money to spend, they have to purchase many, many stocks--sometimes hundreds. There are, however, only a finite number of companies to buy, so even with a fund's many resources, the pool of stocks to choose from becomes smaller with each pick. If a manager has to purchase 100 stocks, only 5% of those stocks will be his or her top five picks, while 50% of those will be his or her 50th - 100th pick. I would rather have my money concentrated in my top 5 or 10 picks, then to "diversify" capital among my top 100 picks. Unfortunately for them, fund managers do not have that luxury.

Most people have some level of expertise in one or a few industries. Invest in what you know; never invest in industries that you don't understand for the sake of "diversification." If you know the auto-industry and have worked in it for twenty years, please don't start investing in biotechnology (if you don't understand it) just to "diversify." Pick stocks from industries that you know and understand.

If you find that owning less than a dozen stocks constitutes an unacceptable amount of risk or volatility, then perhaps you should consider choosing more secure stocks. My point is that all of your investments should be intimately familiar to you. Having more than a dozen or so at a time can be too much for the casual investor. Always make your best choices for investing your money, this may mean investing some money in stocks and some money in other vehicles. More is not always better, and a "diversified" stock portfolio does not necessarily mean a safer or smarter one.

Article interests NYSE: NOC, NYSE: LMT, NYSE: RTN, NYSE: GD, NYSE: ATK, NYSE: COL, AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX. Please see our full disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website, and Ryan's disclosure on his bio page.

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Personal Finance & Investing for Military & Marine Corps, by Ryan Delany

personal finance for military marine corps investing
Senior Analyst - Personal Finance & Investing (Guiding U.S. Military Servicemen)

Ryan is a Marine (former infantry Sergeant), entrepreneur and financial blog author (Semper Finance) currently attending Harvard College.

Ryan lives by the saying "once a Marine, always a Marine," applying the discipline, work ethic and integrity he learned in the corps to all of his work. A veteran of Operations Enduring Freedom and Iraqi Freedom, Ryan, served as a designated marksman with the 4th MEB anti-terrorism unit in Afghanistan and as a corporal of the guard on ships in support of OIF. Ryan first started learning about stock market investing and buying stocks while still in the service.

After Ryan finished his contract with the Marines, he began his career in college attending Columbia's School of General Studies. While a student at Columbia, Ryan took time off to get his Series 7 and work at Morgan Stanley Dean Witter with a renowned financial adviser group. During his time at Morgan Stanley, Ryan refined his investment strategies and expanded his industry knowledge. Shortly after returning to Columbia, Ryan transferred to Harvard College to complete his degree.

Ryan studied at Harvard for a year when he took a leave of absence to found an Internet start-up, Pennyreel Inc. and to begin his financial writing. Ryan has served as CEO of Pennyreel for over a year, guiding the company through its formative stages. In addition to founding Pennyreel, Ryan began the blog Semper Finance to teach personal finance and stock investment to Marines and military servicemen. He is returning to Harvard in the Fall of 2008, to complete his degree.

"Wall Street Greek was founded by a patriot, and one proud to now enlist a U.S. Marine within our own ranks. Ryan strikes me as a driven, intelligent and well-composed individual, and I expect our readers will learn from him. I just hope he doesn't kick my butt."

The Greek


Ryan's Article Portfolio:

Full Disclosure: Ryan has agreed to Wall Street Greek policy to not write about securities he personally owns. In the event of a special case, Ryan will make full disclosure of ownership interest. The work of contributors to Wall Street Greek may not necessarily agree with the opinion of the site or its founder, and does not constitute financial advice. Please see our full disclosure at the site.

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Tuesday, July 29, 2008

India Equity Market Briefing

india stock market
By Guneet Singh Sahni - Indian Market

Indian markets rallied for the third consecutive week boosted by political stability and declining oil prices. The major market mover for the week was the survival of the Indian government in the trust vote. As a result, the BSE Sensex posted its biggest absolute gain in four months on Wednesday as the political instability hovering around for weeks came to an end. The market expects the current government to bring in reforms in the Indian Banking, Insurance and Pension sector by allowing more overseas investments. However, the last two days halted the week long gain, and investors booked profits once triggered by disappointing Reliance Industries (NSE: RELIANCE.NS) quarterly results, concerns over deficit rains in Western and Southern parts of the country and negative global cues. Even the below expected Inflation number of 11.89% failed to provide momentum on Friday.

India-US Nuclear deal to go through

The news of the ruling UPA Government winning the trust vote was welcomed by the White House and Indian market. The turn of events will help the survival of the Indo-US nuclear deal, which was signed way back in July 2005 between Manmohan Singh and George Bush. The deal will allow India to meet its energy requirement by purchasing nuclear fuel and technology without joining the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). However, the deal still needs the approval of several bodies, including the UN’s International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and 45 member Nuclear Supplier’s Group (NSG). It is expected to be ratified by the US Congress by the end of 2008. The potential of the deal is worth billions of dollars to US and European nuclear supplier companies, as the world nuclear association has forecast that India will add 20-30 new reactors by 2020. This will require an investment of more than $57 billion. Global majors like Areva (Paris: CEI.PA, NSE: AREVA.NS), Rolls Royce (OTC: RYCEY), Mitsubishi (Nasdaq: MITSY), Siemens (NYSE: SI), Alstom (EPA: ALO) and GE (NYSE:GE) have already made their first moves in India eying this future potential.

Indian stocks which gain from this deal include Larsen & Toubro (BOM: 500510), Bharat Heavy Electricals (BOM: 500103), National Thermal Power Corporation (BOM: 532555), Gammon India (BOM: 509550), Reliance Infrastructure (BOM: 500390), Hindustan Construction Company (BOM: 500185 ), Alstom Projects India Ltd (BOM: 532309), Tata Power Company (BOM: 500400), Areva T&D India (BOM: 522275) and ABB India (BOM:500002 ).

Inflation

WPI inflation for the week ended July 12 declined marginally to 11.89% Y/Y (11.91% the previous week), against the consensus estimate of 12%, on back of a high base effect in the previous year. Inflation was 4.76% a year back. Poor monsoon conditions in the southern parts of the country led to an increase in primary food article prices, which in effect increased primary articles prices by 10.15% Y/Y (9.92% last week). Manufacturing articles prices increased by 10.7% (10.8% last week). Fuel inflation continued to remain stagnant at 16.9%. Inflation continues to hover around 13-year high levels, but has moderated slightly from last week’s number of 11.91%. The lower-than-expected inflation figure, however, cannot be taken as a sign of inflation peaking. In the case of prices of primary articles and manufactured food products, monsoon conditions have a key role to play.

Markets Ahead

Monday

Quarterly results from HDFC Bank Ltd (NYSE: HDB), Sterlite Industries (NYSE: SLT), Bharat Petroleum Corp (BOM: 500547), Hindalco Industries Ltd (BOM: 500440), Larsen and Toubro Ltd (BOM: 500510), and Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd (BOM: 524715) will start the week.

Tuesday – All eyes on the RBI quarterly rate review

Market direction next week will be decided by the quarterly policy decision of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), due on Tuesday, through which a rate hike is expected. Inflation is already hovering at a 13-year high and had crossed RBI's comfort level of 5% way back in February 2008. The Street is expecting RBI to hike rates by 25-50 basis points on Tuesday. The government has already taken supply side measures including export bans and price controls that have not been effective in bringing inflation down. With limited fiscal options and elections looming large in 2009, the burden of fighting inflation will fall on monetary policy. In the current fiscal year, the CRR has been raised by 125 BPS, from 7.50% to 8.75%, while the repo rate has been raised by 75 BPS, from 7.75% to 8.5%.

We believe that lower incremental inflation will not lead the RBI to leave its rate unchanged, as the prevailing risks should drive more tightening measures; especially because the money supply growth at 20% continues to remain higher than the 17% target for FY08.

Cairn India Limited (BOM: 532792), Hero Honda Motors Ltd (BOM: 500182), NTPC Ltd (BOM: 532555) and Ranbaxy Laboratories (OTC: RBXLY) will announce their quarterly results.

Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor Y.V. Reddy will hold a press conference in connection with the annual policy for 2008-09 at 3:00 PM Indian Standard Time.

Wednesday


ITC Ltd (BOM: 500875), Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd (BOM: 500520), Power Grid Corp. of India Ltd (BOM: 532898), Punjab National Bank (BOM: 532461), Suzlon Energy Ltd (BOM: 532667), Tata Motors (NYSE: TTM) and Unitech Ltd (BOM: 507878) come out with their quarterly results.

Thursday

India’s biggest realtor DLF Ltd (BOM: 532868), Tata Steel Ltd (BOM: 500470) and Reliance Communications (BOM: 532712) will release their results.

Outlook

While crude prices have significantly declined from their peak levels, the absolute price level is still too high for comfort. We believe that volatility is going to persist this week on the back of the RBI policy decision and derivatives expiration. Quarterly results have been in line with expectations on an aggregate basis. We believe that the jump over the last two weeks can be viewed as just another strong bear market rally. This rally could sustain if the RBI delivers a benign policy decision, crude oil prices remain soft and global financial markets prove stable.

Article interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX, Nasdaq: ASIA, Nasdaq: PRASX, AMEX: PUA, AMEX: NWD, Nasdaq: MEAFX, Nasdaq: EBASX, Nasdaq: EVASX, Nasdaq: MACSX, Nasdaq: MATFX, AMEX: CZJ. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.
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Asian Stocks Outperform

stocks india china asia japan
By Guneet Singh Sahni - Asian Markets,

Volatility ruled the Asian markets last week... They rallied the most in two months, on the back of easing oil concerns and falling commodity prices, but ended up giving back most of their gains on the last day. Asia took its cue therein from disappointing existing home sales and job figures released in the US.

However, some of the key Asian indices still managed to post an impressive overall weekly gain of more than 4%. There was a short-term recovery in market sentiment in the beginning of the week that drove a surge in the stocks of financials across Asia. However, sales data on existing U.S. homes showed a drop to a 10-year low and dampened sentiment on Friday. This halted a four-day strong rally and revived worries about the US housing slump. The decline was further aided by the National Australia Bank (OTC: NABZY, Nasdaq: NAUBF.PK) announcement that its credit losses may surge, and by news that Samsung Electronic (Nasdaq: SSNLF, SEO: 005930) had missed its profit estimates.

The Nikkei 225 increased 4.1% or 531 points; the Hang Seng climbed 4 % or 867 points; the Strait Times went up 2.6% or 75 points; the CSI 300 index scaled up by 4.4% or 124 points; and the BSE Sensex made a gain of 4.7% or 639 points.

Japan's core consumer price index rose 1.5% Y/Y in May, its fastest pace in a decade on the back of a surge in food and energy prices. Japanese consumer prices, stripped of energy and fresh food, surged 0.1% Y/Y, the first increase since 1998 and a sign that Japan could be close to shaking off 10 years of deflation. In our article, "Asian Growth Engines Face Challenges and Stiff Inflation," we discussed how inflation is taking a toll on the Asian economies. Some of the other key developments for the week include Malaysia's central bank decision to keep its interest rates unchanged at 3.5%, putting economic growth ahead of fighting inflation. Inflation had earlier accelerated to 7.7%, the fastest pace in 26 years, owing to rising food and energy costs.

Outlook


The global cues continue to remain mixed. Light sweet crude for September delivery, the dropped more than $20 a barrel to $123.26 on worries among oil investors that high prices and a sluggish economy are reducing demand. Inflation is soaring across the whole of Asia, putting central banks into dilemma. We expect a mixed week, even as the U.S. data for strong new home sales continue to provide some positive cues.

Article interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: DOG, Nasdaq: QQQQ, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: ASIA, Nasdaq: PRASX, AMEX: PUA, AMEX: NWD, Nasdaq: MEAFX, Nasdaq: EBASX, Nasdaq: EVASX, Nasdaq: MACSX, Nasdaq: MATFX, AMEX: CZJ. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.
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This Week - A Bridge to Nowhere

bridge to nowhere economy

One has to wonder exactly where we are going... The stimulus package kept the economic engine running through the second quarter, but has it only put off the inevitable? GDP is due for reporting this week, and the consensus is looking for upward of 2% growth, compared to 1.0% in Q1. So what does it all mean? Where's the recession? Is there one? Or, has the government simply built us a bridge to nowhere, taking us deeper into the abyss where we'll eventually fall into nothingness...

When government stimulus is all but a faded memory, will housing stimulus be the right medicine to take the baton? And what of the Fed. For all their cutting of interest rates and capital flooding, have they saved us from the spin, or simply created an economic fishtail of their own making. In other words, as we stated in our now famous article with the same name, will the inflation hangover be more painful than the embarrassment of the excesses we enjoyed from leverage...

Geopolitical Bridge


The war to end all wars was in fact the one that creates the next. Post World War Two border mapping by the divine victors have in fact given birth to scores more conflicts than there are borders in fact! Also, as Iraq settles into a more comfortable state, isn't chaos about to break out in Iran or the broader Middle East... So it seems, the end (broader war) will define the means (nation building through war). And even if there was no Iran, as we withdraw troops from Iraq, the government speaks of increasing our presence in Afghanistan. Yours truly has been a proclaimant for amassing redemption in the form of U.S. Marine Corps in the mountainous region where Bin Laden lies, but didn't someone who was once somewhat well-known say, "he who lives by the sword, dies by the sword?" Pakistan tells President Bush yesterday, don't act unilaterally in our territory. "The Greek" says something he cannot write in answer to that.

Change

So "change" is the word then is it?; I ask my liberal critics, reminding you of my independence? Or, is Obama simply a cynic, since he advises Iran this week to NOT wait for his ascension before undoing its nuclear mess. At the same time he assured Israel of his sponsorship, pronouncing Jerusalem should be its capital. How do you like that radical Islam (a minority in a greater, hopefully more pious state of being), and you thought Obama was your savior...

Ah yes, we seem to be building a lot of bridges, but all of them leading to nowhere.

Monday

The first day of the business week often starts light on economic data, and this week fits the mold. There are no major reports to note for the day. However, in an interesting address, by one very interesting Fed Governor who is set to step down in August I believe, Fred Mishkin will speak to the topic of Fed communications.

"When you have a Fed Policy Statement that disagrees with some of the individual voices of the Fed, we feel you serve not market efficiency but rather market confusion."

You'll recall "The Greek" has often criticized the mixed messages that have originated from the mouths of Fed babes. We feel that, as is the case at most other professional organizations, there should be one, reliable voice conveying the important message the Fed wants received by the financial markets. When you have a Fed Policy Statement that disagrees with some of the individual voices of the Fed, we feel you serve not market efficiency but rather market confusion.

A few significant events on the international scene deserve note here. President Bush will meet with the Prime Minister of Pakistan, Yousuf Raza Gilani. This while India has stepped up its state of alertness after a series of bombs exploded in Ahmedabad and Bangalore over the weekend, killing at least 45 people. In Taiwan, markets are closed as the country buckles down for the arrival of Typhoon Fung-Wong.


EPS Reports for
Monday, July 28
CompanySymbolTime
ADANI EXPORTS LTDNasdaq: ANIEF.PKTime Not Supplied
ADVANCED ANALOG TECH INCNasdaq: AAAYF.PKTime Not Supplied
Advanced Analogic TechnologiesNasdaq: AATIAfter Market Close
Alberto-Culver Co.NYSE: ACVTime Not Supplied
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.Nasdaq: ARLPBefore Market Open
American Dental PartnersNasdaq: ADPIAfter Market Close
American Safety InsuranceNYSE: ASIBefore Market Open
AMERIGO RESOURCES LTDARG.TOBefore Market Open
AmgenNasdaq: AMGNAfter Market Close
Analysts InternationalNasdaq: ANLYBefore Market Open
ANANT RAJ INDS LTDARJIF.PKTime Not Supplied
Angiotech PharmaceuticalsNasdaq: ANPIBefore Market Open
Anglo Platinum LimitedAGPPY.PKBefore Market Open
Atheros Communications, Inc.Nasdaq: ATHRAfter Market Close
Australand Property GroupALZ.AXTime Not Supplied
AUTHENTEC INCNasdaq: AUTHAfter Market Close
B&G Foods, Inc.NYSE: BGFAfter Market Close
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA)NYSE: BBVTime Not Supplied
Banco Latinoamericano de ExportacionesNYSE: BLXBefore Market Open
BANK NIAGA TBKBNGA.JKTime Not Supplied
Bank of Hawaii CorporationNYSE: BOHTime Not Supplied
Banner CorporationNasdaq: BANRAfter Market Close
BARON DE LEYBDL.MCTime Not Supplied
BLUE STAR LTDBUSRF.PKTime Not Supplied
BluegreenNYSE: BXGAfter Market Close
Boardwalk Pipeline Partners LPNYSE: BWPBefore Market Open
Cal-Maine FoodsNasdaq: CALMBefore Market Open
CARDICA INCNasdaq: CRDCTime Not Supplied
CF IndustriesNYSE: CFAfter Market Close
CH Energy GroupNYSE: CHGBefore Market Open
Chemed CorporationNYSE: CHEAfter Market Close
Chemical FinancialNasdaq: CHFCTime Not Supplied
CHINA BAK BATTERY INCNasdaq: CBAKAfter Market Close
CHINA COAL ENERGY CO LTDCCOZF.PKTime Not Supplied
Choice Hotels International, Inc.NYSE: CHHAfter Market Close
CNA Financial CorporationNYSE: CNABefore Market Open
CognexNasdaq: CGNXAfter Market Close
Community Health Systems, Inc.NYSE: CYHAfter Market Close
Compass MineralsNYSE: CMPAfter Market Close
CraneNYSE: CRAfter Market Close
DONG WHA PHARM INDS CO LTDDVVIF.PKAfter Market Close
DucommunNYSE: DCOBefore Market Open
E I D PARRY INDIA LTDEDPRF.PKTime Not Supplied
EDUCATION REALTY TRUST INCNYSE: EDRAfter Market Close
Empresas ICA S.A.B. de C.V.NYSE: ICATime Not Supplied
Enbridge Energy ManagementNYSE: EEQAfter Market Close
Endesa, S.A.ELEZF.PKBefore Market Open
Euler HermesELE.PATime Not Supplied
ev3 Inc.Nasdaq: EVVVAfter Market Close
FEMSANYSE: FMXBefore Market Open
Filtronic plcFTC.LTime Not Supplied
Financiera Independencia SAFINDEP.MXTime Not Supplied
First Advantage CorporationNasdaq: FADVAfter Market Close
First Citizens BancSharesNasdaq: FCNCATime Not Supplied
Franklin ElectricNasdaq: FELE4:05 pm ET
GehlNasdaq: GEHLTime Not Supplied
General Employment EnterprisesNYSE: JOBTime Not Supplied
Grenke Leasing AGGLJ.FTime Not Supplied
GRUPO AEROPORTUARIO DEL PACIFICO SANYSE: PACTime Not Supplied
Grupo Casa Saba, S.A. de C.V.NYSE: SABTime Not Supplied
GRUPO MEXICO SA DE CVGMBXF.PKTime Not Supplied
Grupo TMM, S.ANYSE: TMMAfter Market Close
HarmonicNasdaq: HLITAfter Market Close
Hartford Financial ServicesNYSE: HIGAfter Market Close
Hdfc Bank LimitedNYSE: HDBTime Not Supplied
Heartland Financial USA, Inc.Nasdaq: HTLFBefore Market Open
HickoryTechNasdaq: HTCOAfter Market Close
Interactive IntelligenceNasdaq: ININAfter Market Close
Intevac, Inc.Nasdaq: IVAC4:00 pm ET
IRIS International, Inc.Nasdaq: IRISAfter Market Close
ITM POWERITM.LTime Not Supplied
JDA SoftwareNasdaq: JDAS4:00 pm ET
Klepierre S.A.LI.PAAfter Market Close
Kontron AGKBC.FTime Not Supplied
Kookmin BankNYSE: KBTime Not Supplied
Kraft FoodsNYSE: KFTBefore Market Open
LadishNasdaq: LDSHAfter Market Close
LINK SOLUTIONS FOR INDUSTRYFII.PAAfter Market Close
Loews Corp.NYSE: LBefore Market Open
Lorillard, Inc.NYSE: LOBefore Market Open
LOTTE SHOPPING CO LTDLOSPF.PKTime Not Supplied
Maguire Properties, Inc.NYSE: MPGAfter Market Close
ManitowocNYSE: MTWAfter Market Close
Meadowbrook InsuranceNYSE: MIGAfter Market Close
Meritage Homes CorporationNYSE: MTHAfter Market Close
METAVANTE TECHNOLOGIES INCNYSE: MVBefore Market Open
Microtune, Inc.Nasdaq: TUNEAfter Market Close
Mine Safety AppliancesNYSE: MSABefore Market Open
MittelMIT.MITime Not Supplied
MTI WIRELESS EDGEMWE.LTime Not Supplied
NBT BancorpNasdaq: NBTBAfter Market Close
Network Equipment TechnologiesNYSE: NWKAfter Market Close
NicOxCOX.PABefore Market Open
NUEVO GRUPO IUSACELL SA DE CVNUGPF.PKTime Not Supplied
OIL & NATURAL GAS CORP LTDONGCF.PKTime Not Supplied
Old National BancorpNYSE: ONBBefore Market Open
Owens & MinorNYSE: OMIAfter Market Close
Pace plcPCMXF.PKBefore Market Open
Par TechnologyNYSE: PTCBefore Market Open
PartnerRe Ltd.NYSE: PREAfter Market Close
Pearson plcPSORF.PKBefore Market Open
Phase Forward IncorporatedNasdaq: PFWDAfter Market Close
Plum Creek TimberNYSE: PCLAfter Market Close
PLX TechnologyNasdaq: PLXTAfter Market Close
Power Corp of CanadaPOW.TOTime Not Supplied
PrePaid LegalNYSE: PPDTime Not Supplied
PRG-Schultz International, Inc.Nasdaq: PRGXAfter Market Close
Provident BancorpNasdaq: PBNYBefore Market Open
Provident Financial HoldingsNasdaq: PROVBefore Market Open
PT BANK MANDIRI PERSERO TBKBMRI.JKTime Not Supplied
Questar Corp.NYSE: STRAfter Market Close
Ralcorp Holdings, Inc.NYSE: RAHBefore Market Open
Rent-A-CenterNasdaq: RCIIAfter Market Close
RIOCAN REITREI-UN.TOTime Not Supplied
Rock-Tenn CompanyNYSE: RKTAfter Market Close
Scopus Video Networks LtdNasdaq: SCOPTime Not Supplied
Secure Computing CorporationNasdaq: SCURTime Not Supplied
SHANDONG XINHUA PHARMACEUTICAL COXIN.FTime Not Supplied
Simon Property Group, Inc.NYSE: SPGBefore Market Open
SIMTEK CORPNasdaq: SMTKTime Not Supplied
Singapore AirlinesSINGF.PKTime Not Supplied
SL Green RealtyNYSE: SLGAfter Market Close
Smurfit-Stone Container CorporationNasdaq: SSCCAfter Market Close
SODIFF ADVANCED MATERIALS COSDFAF.PKAfter Market Close
SOHU.comNasdaq: SOHUBefore Market Open
Solutia Inc.NYSE: SOAAfter Market Close
Spherion CorporationNYSE: SFNAfter Market Close
Superior BancorpNasdaq: SUPRBefore Market Open
TATA COMMUNICATIONS LTDNYSE: TCLTime Not Supplied
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.Nasdaq: TXRHTime Not Supplied
TGCNYSE: TGEBefore Market Open
The Mosaic CompanyNYSE: MOSAfter Market Close
The Navigators Group, Inc.Nasdaq: NAVGAfter Market Close
TNT NVTNTTY.PKBefore Market Open
Trident MicrosystemsNasdaq: TRIDAfter Market Close
Tyson FoodsNYSE: TSNBefore Market Open
ULTRA CLEAN HLDGS INCNasdaq: UCTTAfter Market Close
United America Indemnity, Ltd.Nasdaq: INDMAfter Market Close
United FireNasdaq: UFCSBefore Market Open
Universal Health ServicesNYSE: UHSAfter Market Close
URBIURBI.MXTime Not Supplied
Veeco Instruments Inc.Nasdaq: VECOAfter Market Close
VerizonNYSE: VZBefore Market Open
VIMICRO INTERNATIONAL CO-ADSNasdaq: VIMCAfter Market Close
Wausau Paper Corp.NYSE: WPPAfter Market Close
WebsenseNasdaq: WBSNAfter Market Close
Wm. Wrigley Jr. Co.NYSE: WWYBefore Market Open
Wright Medical Group, Inc.Nasdaq: WMGI4:00 pm ET
WSP Group PLCWWSPF.PKBefore Market Open
XL Capital LtdNYSE: XLAfter Market Close
ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO LTDZIJMF.PKTime Not Supplied
Zoran CorporationNasdaq: ZRANAfter Market Close



Tuesday

The regular ICSC-UBS Weekly Same-Store Sales Reports intrigues us as funds delivered by the economic stimulus package dissipate. Still, last week resulted in a very strong reading of 2.5% sales growth year-to-year. The Johnson Redbook Survey concurred, as it posted a 2.6% rate of growth. Still, we've been regularly predicting a return to February's soft spending characteristics as consumers continue to contend with the troubling price increases and economic softness that inspired the stimulus package in the first place.

At 10:00 AM on Tuesday, look for the Conference Board's Consumer Sentiment Index. Bloomberg pegs the July consensus at 50.0, down from June's measure of 50.4. Last week saw the Michigan figure post a surprising surge to 61.2, which was up from 56.4 the month before. One Barron's columnist speculated that it was stimulus aided, but we expect it was just as likely a case of heat exhaustion among a majority of survey participants after they got too much sun. Or perhaps, the collective consciousness senses the same thing Kudlow, Cramer and Douville have declared, the bottom of housing... We'll receive a bit of housing data on Tuesday, as the S&P Case Shiller Index is released for May.

Pharmaceuticals will headline the day on the corporate front, as Wyeth (NYSE: WYE) is expected to present data on its Alzheimer's treatment and an FDA panel could make an announcement regarding Roche Holdings' rheumatoid arthritis drug Actemra. Overseas, the Indian Central Bank is expected to raise its key rate by a quarter point.


EPS Reports for
Tuesday, July 29

CompanySymbol

Time

ACE LimitedNYSE: ACE
After Market Close

ActelNasdaq: ACTL
After Market Close

Advanta CorporationNasdaq: ADVNA
Before Market Open

Advent SoftwareNasdaq: ADVS
After Market Close

AGCONYSE: AG
Time Not Supplied

AirTran Holdings, Inc.NYSE: AAI
Time Not Supplied

Akzo Nobel N.V.Nasdaq: AKZOF.PK
01:00 am ET

Alcatel-LucentNYSE: ALU
Time Not Supplied

ALESCO CORPORATION LIMITED (ALS)ALS.AX
Time Not Supplied

Alexion PharmaceuticalsNasdaq: ALXN
Before Market Open

Align TechnologyNasdaq: ALGN
After Market Close

Alpha Natural Resources, Inc.NYSE: ANR
Before Market Open

AMAG Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Nasdaq: AMAG
Before Market Open

Amedisys, Inc.Nasdaq: AMED
Before Market Open

America Service Group Inc.Nasdaq: ASGR
After Market Close

AMERICAN CAPITAL AGENCY CORPNasdaq: AGNC
After Market Close

American Commercial Lines IncNasdaq: ACLI
After Market Close

American Dental PartnersNasdaq: ADPI
Time Not Supplied

American Medical SystemsNasdaq: AMMD
After Market Close

American Shared Hospital ServicesNYSE: AMS
Time Not Supplied

AMTRUST FINANCIAL SERVICES INCNasdaq: AFSI
After Market Close

Answers CorporationNasdaq: ANSW
Time Not Supplied

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.NYSE: AJG
After Market Close

ArvinMeritor, Inc.NYSE: ARM
Before Market Open

Associated Estates RealtyNYSE: AEC
Before Market Open

ATC Technology CorporationNasdaq: ATAC
Time Not Supplied

AudioCodes Ltd.Nasdaq: AUDC
After Market Close

AVX CorporationNYSE: AVX
Before Market Open

Ballard Power SystemsNasdaq: BLDP
Time Not Supplied

Barrett Business ServicesNasdaq: BBSI
After Market Close

BE AerospaceNasdaq: BEAV
Before Market Open

Bemis Company, Inc.NYSE: BMS
Before Market Open

Black Box Network ServicesNasdaq: BBOX
After Market Close

Bodycote International plcLSE: BOY.L
Before Market Open

BP plcNYSE: BP
Before Market Open

BRE Properties, Inc.NYSE: BRE
After Market Close

BRIGHAM EXPLORATION CONasdaq: BEXP
After Market Close

BUCKEYE GP HOLDINGS LPNYSE: BGH
Time Not Supplied

BUCKEYE GP HOLDINGS LPNYSE: BGH
Time Not Supplied

Buffalo Wild Wings, Inc.Nasdaq: BWLD
After Market Close

C4 TECHNOLOGY INC TOKYONasdaq: CFTKF.PK
02:00 am ET

Callidus Software Inc.Nasdaq: CALD
After Market Close

CANADIAN OIL SANDS TR NEWCOS-UN.TO
After Market Close

Canadian UtilitiesCU.TO
Time Not Supplied

CAPITAL TRUST INC MDNYSE: CT
After Market Close

Cardiac ScienceNasdaq: CSCX
After Market Close

Cascade Microtech, Inc.Nasdaq: CSCD
After Market Close

Catalyst Paper CorporationCTL.TO
Time Not Supplied

CB Richard Ellis Group, Inc.NYSE: CBG
After Market Close

Centex CorporationNYSE: CTX
After Market Close

Cephalon, Inc.Nasdaq: CEPH
After Market Close

CGI GroupNYSE: GIB
Before Market Open

Chicago Bridge & IronNYSE: CBI
Time Not Supplied

CHINA WATER AFFAIRS GROUP LTDNasdaq: CWAFF.PK
Time Not Supplied

Christian DiorParis: CDI.PA
Time Not Supplied

Claimsnet.comCLAI.OB
Time Not Supplied

Coach, Inc.NYSE: COH
Time Not Supplied

COFINIMMO SACOFB.BR
11:40 am ET

Colgate-PalmoliveNYSE: CL
Time Not Supplied

CommScopeNYSE: CTV
After Market Close

CompugenNasdaq: CGEN
Time Not Supplied

Continental Resources, Inc.NYSE: CLR
Before Market Open

Corporate Office Properties TrustNYSE: OFC
After Market Close

Covanta Holding CorporationNYSE: CVA
After Market Close

Croda International plcCRDA.L
Before Market Open

CSR plcCSR.L
Before Market Open

CTC MEDIA INCNasdaq: CTCM
Before Market Open

CTS CorporationNYSE: CTS
After Market Close

Cynosure, Inc.Nasdaq: CYNO
Before Market Open

DAB Bank AGDRN.F
01:30 am ET

Denny's CorporationNasdaq: DENN
After Market Close

DENTSPLY International Inc.Nasdaq: XRAY
After Market Close

Dialight plcDIA.L
Time Not Supplied

DineEquityNYSE: DIN
Before Market Open

DOCDATA NVDOCD.AS
01:30 am ET

Double-Take Software, Inc.Nasdaq: DBTK
After Market Close

DreamWorks Animation SKG, Inc.NYSE: DWA
After Market Close

EAGLE TEST SYSTEMS INCNasdaq: EGLT
After Market Close

EarthLinkNasdaq: ELNK
Before Market Open

Ebro Puleva SA (formerly Azucarera Ebro Agricolas)EVA.MC
Time Not Supplied

Edgar OnlineNasdaq: EDGR
After Market Close

Electronic ArtsNasdaq: ERTS
After Market Close

Electronics for ImagingNasdaq: EFII
After Market Close

Embarq CorporationNYSE: EQ
After Market Close

EMCOR Group, Inc.NYSE: EME
Time Not Supplied

EnagasENG.MC
Before Market Open

ENBRIDGE INCOME FDENF-UN.TO
Time Not Supplied

Endurance Specialty HoldingsNYSE: ENH
After Market Close

ENERGIAS DO BRASIL SAENBR3.SA
After Market Close

Entegris, Inc.Nasdaq: ENTG
Before Market Open

EntergyNYSE: ETR
Time Not Supplied

Entrust, Inc.Nasdaq: ENTU
After Market Close

EOG Resources, Inc.NYSE: EOG
After Market Close

Equity OneNYSE: EQY
After Market Close

EXTRA SPACE STORAGE INCNYSE: EXR
After Market Close

FARO TechnologiesNasdaq: FARO
After Market Close

FEI CompanyNasdaq: FEIC
After Market Close

FGX InternationalNasdaq: FGXI
After Market Close

First Financial Bancorp OhioNasdaq: FFBC
After Market Close

FirstServiceNasdaq: FSRV
Before Market Open

FiservNasdaq: FISV
After Market Close

FMC CorporationNYSE: FMC
After Market Close

FORTUNE REAL ESTATE INV TRUSTF25U.SI
Time Not Supplied

Franklin Street PropertiesNYSE: FSP
After Market Close

Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc.NYSE: FDP
Before Market Open

Gamesa Corporación TecnológicaGCTAF.PK
Time Not Supplied

Gas Natural SDG S.A.GAS.MC
Before Market Open

General Cable CorporationNYSE: BGC
After Market Close

Genworth Financial, Inc.NYSE: GNW
After Market Close

George Weston LimitedWN.TO
Time Not Supplied

GEOX SPA BIADENE DI MONTEBELLUGXSBF.PK
Time Not Supplied

Getty RealtyNYSE: GTY
After Market Close

GevityNasdaq: GVHR
Time Not Supplied

GMARKET INCNasdaq: GMKT
Time Not Supplied

GrafTech International LtdNYSE: GTI
Time Not Supplied

Granite City Food & Brewery Ltd.Nasdaq: GCFB
After Market Close

Group 1 AutomotiveNYSE: GPI
Before Market Open

GUJARAT HEAVY CHEMICALS LTDGJHVF.PK
Time Not Supplied

GulfMark OffshoreNYSE: GLF
Before Market Open

HanesbrandsNYSE: HBI
After Market Close

Hanger Orthopedic GroupNYSE: HGR
After Market Close

Hanmi Financial CorporationNasdaq: HAFC
After Market Close

Harrington West Financial Group, Inc.Nasdaq: HWFG
After Market Close

Harsco CorporationNYSE: HSC
Before Market Open

HAULOTTE GROUPPIG.PA
Time Not Supplied

Headwaters Inc.NYSE: HW
Before Market Open

HealthSpring, Inc.NYSE: HS
After Market Close

Hemisphere GPS Inc.HEM.TO
Before Market Open

Hercules OffshoreNasdaq: HERO
Before Market Open

Highwoods PropertiesNYSE: HIW
After Market Close

HOLLY ENERGY PARTNERS LPNYSE: HEP
Before Market Open

Hutchinson Technology, Inc.Nasdaq: HTCH
After Market Close

Idearc, Inc.NYSE: IAR
Time Not Supplied

Idenix Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Nasdaq: IDIX
Before Market Open

IDS Scheer AGIDS.F
Time Not Supplied

Inchcape PLCINCH.L
04:15 am ET

Industrial-Alliance Life Insurance CoIAG.TO
Time Not Supplied

InFocus® CorporationNasdaq: INFS
Before Market Open

InfoVistaIFV.PA
Time Not Supplied

Inmet Mining Corp.IMN.TO
Time Not Supplied

Integrated Device TechnologyNasdaq: IDTI
After Market Close

Integrated Management Information, Inc.INMG.OB
Before Market Open

Inverness Medical InnovationsNYSE: IMA
Before Market Open

Iteris, Inc.NYSE: ITI
Time Not Supplied

Jarden CorporationNYSE: JAH
Before Market Open

Jazz Technologies IncNYSE: JAZ
Time Not Supplied

JET AIRWAYS INDIA LTDJTAIF.PK
Time Not Supplied

Jones Lang LaSalleNYSE: JLL
After Market Close

KaydonNYSE: KDN
07:00 am ET

Keynote Systems, Inc.Nasdaq: KEYN
After Market Close

Kforce, Inc.Nasdaq: KFRC
After Market Close

KONA GRILL INCNasdaq: KONA
After Market Close

Lam ResearchNasdaq: LRCX
Time Not Supplied

LAN AirlinesNYSE: LFL
Time Not Supplied

LandAmerica Financial Group, Inc.NYSE: LFG
After Market Close

LandauerNYSE: LDR
Before Market Open

LCA-VisionNasdaq: LCAV
Before Market Open

Lear Corp.NYSE: LEA
Before Market Open

LECG CorpNasdaq: XPRT
After Market Close

LECTRALSS.PA
Time Not Supplied

LeMaitre Vascular, Inc.Nasdaq: LMAT
After Market Close

Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc.Nasdaq: LXRX
Before Market Open

Lincoln NationalNYSE: LNC
After Market Close

Lithia Motors, Inc.NYSE: LAD
After Market Close

LodgeNet Interactive CorporationNasdaq: LNET
After Market Close

Louisiana-Pacific CorpNYSE: LPX
Before Market Open

LVMH Moet-Hennessy Louis VuittonLVMHF.PK
Time Not Supplied

Martha Stewart Living OmnimediaNYSE: MSO
Before Market Open

MascoNYSE: MAS
Time Not Supplied

Matsushita Electric Industrial Co. Ltd.NYSE: MC
02:30 am ET

MetLife, Inc.NYSE: MET
After Market Close

Modine Manufacturing CompanyNYSE: MOD
Time Not Supplied

Monogram Biosciences IncNasdaq: MGRM
After Market Close

MoSys, Inc.Nasdaq: MOSY
After Market Close

Mothers WorkNasdaq: MWRK
Time Not Supplied

MRV CommunicationsNasdaq: MRVC
After Market Close

Nalco Holding CompanyNYSE: NLC
After Market Close

National InstrumentsNasdaq: NATI
After Market Close

National Oilwell VarcoNYSE: NOV
Before Market Open

NATIONAL THERMAL POWER CORPNasdaq: NTHPF.PK
Time Not Supplied

NCI, Inc.Nasdaq: NCIT
After Market Close

NCR CorporationNYSE: NCR
Before Market Open

Ness Technologies IncNasdaq: NSTC
Before Market Open

NewAlliance BancsharesNYSE: NAL
After Market Close

NidecNYSE: NJ
02:30 am ET

NIPPON CHUTETSUKAN KKNasdaq: NIPHF.PK
01:00 am ET

Nomura Holdings, Inc.Nasdaq: NRSCF.PK
02:00 am ET

Northrop GrummanNYSE: NOC
Time Not Supplied

NOVATEK MICROELECTRONICS3034.TW
Time Not Supplied

NRG EnergyNYSE: NRG
Time Not Supplied

OfficeMaxNYSE: OMX
After Market Close

Online Resources CorporationNasdaq: ORCC
After Market Close

OSGNYSE: OSG
After Market Close

OSG America L.P.NYSE: OSP
After Market Close

PAB BanksharesNasdaq: PABK
After Market Close

Papeles & Cartones Europa SAPAC.MC
Time Not Supplied

Patriot Coal CorporationNYSE: PCX
Time Not Supplied

PC MALL, Inc.Nasdaq: MALL
After Market Close

Peoples BancorpNasdaq: PEBO
Before Market Open

Perot SystemsNYSE: PER
Before Market Open

Pfeiffer Vacuum TechnologyNasdaq: PVTCY.PK
02:00 am ET

Pilgrim's PrideNYSE: PPC
Time Not Supplied

PokerTek, Inc.Nasdaq: PTEK
After Market Close

Portfolio Recovery Associates, Inc.Nasdaq: PRAA
After Market Close

POZEN Inc.Nasdaq: POZN
Before Market Open

PrivateBancorp, Inc.Nasdaq: PVTB
Before Market Open

PROEX ENERGY LTDPXE.TO
After Market Close

PULEVA BIOTECH SABIO.MC
Time Not Supplied

PUNJ LLOYD LTDPNJLF.PK
Time Not Supplied

PZ Cussons plcPZC.L
02:00 am ET

QLT Inc.Nasdaq: QLTI
Before Market Open

Quantum CorporationNYSE: QTM
After Market Close

RadiSys CorporationNasdaq: RSYS
After Market Close

Ramco-Gershenson Properties TrustNYSE: RPT
After Market Close

Regal-Beloit CorporationNYSE: RBC
Before Market Open

RENAISSANCE CORPORATION LTDRNS.NZ
Time Not Supplied

RenaissanceRe HoldingsNYSE: RNR
After Market Close

RF Micro Devices, Inc.Nasdaq: RFMD
After Market Close

Rogers Communications Inc.NYSE: RCI
Before Market Open

RTI International MetalsNYSE: RTI
Before Market Open

SaipemSPM.MI
Time Not Supplied

Santander Central HispanoNYSE: STD
Time Not Supplied

SAP AGNYSE: SAP
Time Not Supplied

Sartorius AGSRT.F
Time Not Supplied

SAVVIS, Inc.Nasdaq: SVVS
After Market Close

SciClone Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Nasdaq: SCLN
Time Not Supplied

SECURITY BANK CORPNasdaq: SBKC
After Market Close

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp. (SMIC)NYSE: SMI
Time Not Supplied

SepracorNasdaq: SEPR
Before Market Open

SI InternationalNasdaq: SINT
Before Market Open

SILICSIL.PA
Time Not Supplied

Silicon Motion Technology CorporationNasdaq: SIMO
After Market Close

Silicon Storage Technology, Inc.Nasdaq: SSTI
After Market Close

SILVER WHEATON CORPNYSE: SLW
After Market Close

Simpson ManufacturingNYSE: SSD
After Market Close

SINGAPORE POST LTDSPSTF.PK
After Market Close

Snam Rete Gas S.p.A.SRG.MI
Before Market Open

So-net Entertainment CorporationSYCMF.PK
After Market Close

Sonic AutomotiveNYSE: SAH
Time Not Supplied

SonicWALLNasdaq: SNWL
After Market Close

Sony CorporationNYSE: SNE
Time Not Supplied

SpectraneticsNasdaq: SPNC
Before Market Open

SPSSNasdaq: SPSS
After Market Close

St. James's Place plcSTJ.L
Before Market Open

Starent Networks CorporationNasdaq: STAR
After Market Close

StellarOne CorporationNasdaq: STEL
Before Market Open

Stepan Co.NYSE: SCL
Before Market Open

Strattec Security Corp.Nasdaq: STRT
Time Not Supplied

SumTotal Systems, Inc.Nasdaq: SUMT
After Market Close

Switch and DataNasdaq: SDXC
After Market Close

Talisman EnergyTLM.TO
Before Market Open

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers, Inc.NYSE: SKT
After Market Close

Teleflex IncorporatedNYSE: TFX
Before Market Open

Tennant Co.NYSE: TNC
Before Market Open

TeppcoNYSE: TPP
Before Market Open

Teva PharmaceuticalNasdaq: TEVA
Time Not Supplied

Thales SAHO.PA
After Market Close

The McGraw Hill CompaniesNYSE: MHP
Before Market Open

TRANSFORCE INC NEWTFI.TO
Time Not Supplied

TranSwitchNasdaq: TXCC
After Market Close

TTM TechnologiesNasdaq: TTMI
After Market Close

Twin DiscNasdaq: TWIN
Before Market Open

UCAL FUEL SYSTEMS LTDUCLFF.PK
Time Not Supplied

Ultimate SoftwareNasdaq: ULTI
After Market Close

Under Armour, IncNYSE: UA
07:00 am ET

United RentalsNYSE: URI
After Market Close

United States Steel Corp.NYSE: X
Time Not Supplied

UNITED TRACTORSUNTR.JK
Time Not Supplied

Valero Energy Corp.NYSE: VLO
Before Market Open

ViacomNYSE: VIA
Time Not Supplied

Villeroy & BochVIB3.F
Time Not Supplied

Vishay Intertechnology, Inc.NYSE: VSH
Before Market Open

VNUS Medical TechnologiesNasdaq: VNUS
After Market Close

VUELING AIRLINES SAVLG.MC
Before Market Open

Waddell & Reed Financial, Inc.NYSE: WDR
Before Market Open

Walter IndustriesNYSE: WLT
Time Not Supplied

Waste ManagementNYSE: WMI
Before Market Open

Watts Water TechnologiesNYSE: WTS
After Market Close

Wolfson Microelectronics PLCWLF.L
Before Market Open

World Acceptance CorporationNasdaq: WRLD
Time Not Supplied

WPCS International IncNasdaq: WPCS
4:00 pm ET

XANTREX TECHNOLOGY INCXTX.TO
After Market Close

Zix CorporationNasdaq: ZIXI
After Market Close




Wednesday

Interest rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages climbed some 37 basis points or so last week, and so the adjusted Market Composite Index of mortgage activity, produced by the Mortgage Bankers Association, declined 6.1% week-to-week. This regular Wednesday morning report will be followed up by the ADP Private Employment Report for July this week at 8:15 AM ET. We do not have a consensus figure for ADP, but look for our commentary on Wednesday in the pre-market. June's ADP data showed a private labor market loss of 79K jobs (May +40K).

The SEC will review a plan to issue guidance to mutual funds on "soft dollar" deals. At 10:30, all eyes will be on the EIA Petroleum Status Report release. Last week, oil prices fell another 4.8%, to $123 per barrel; this occurred despite an inventory draw of 1.6 million barrels of oil, as reported by the EIA.


EPS Reports for
Wednesday, July 30
Company
Symbol
Time
Acadia Realty Trust
NYSE: AKR
After Market Close
Acciona, S.A.
ANA.MC
Before Market Open
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A.
ACS.MC
Time Not Supplied
Acxiom
Nasdaq: ACXM
After Market Close
Admiral Group plc
ADM.L
Before Market Open
Agfa-Gevaert
AGFB.BR
Time Not Supplied
Aguas de Barcelona
AGS.MC
After Market Close
AICHI TOKEI DENKI CO LTD
AITDF.PK
01:00 am ET
Akamai Technologies Inc.
Nasdaq: AKAM
After Market Close
Alleanza Assicurazioni S.p.A.
AL.MI
Time Not Supplied
Allegheny Energy, Inc.
NYSE: AYE
After Market Close
Allergan
NYSE: AGN
Time Not Supplied
Allied Irish Banks p.l.c
NYSE: AIB
Time Not Supplied
Allied Waste Industries, Inc.
NYSE: AW
After Market Close
Alphameric plc
ALM.L
Time Not Supplied
Alpharma
NYSE: ALO
Before Market Open
Alvarion
Nasdaq: ALVR
Before Market Open
Ambassadors International, Inc.
Nasdaq: AMIE
Before Market Open
American Equity Investment Life Holding Co.
NYSE: AEL
After Market Close
American Tower Corp.
NYSE: AMT
Before Market Open
Anadys Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Nasdaq: ANDS
After Market Close
Applied Micro Circuits Corporation
Nasdaq: AMCC
After Market Close
Apria Healthcare Group
NYSE: AHG
Time Not Supplied
ArcelorMittal
NYSE: MT
Time Not Supplied
ARM Holdings plc
ARM.L
02:00 am ET
Armstrong World Industries Inc.
NYSE: AWI
Time Not Supplied
ARRIS Group, Inc.
Nasdaq: ARRS
After Market Close
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.
NYSE: ABG
Before Market Open
Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited
NYSE: AHL
After Market Close
Asyst Technologies
Nasdaq: ASYT
After Market Close
Atmel Corporation
Nasdaq: ATML
Time Not Supplied
AUSTAR UNITED COMMUNICATNS LTD
AUN.AX
Time Not Supplied
Avalonbay Communities
NYSE: AVB
After Market Close
Avigen
Nasdaq: AVGN
Before Market Open
Avista Corporation
NYSE: AVA
Before Market Open
Aviva plc
AV.L
Time Not Supplied
Avon Products Inc.
NYSE: AVP
Time Not Supplied
AXT Inc
Nasdaq: AXTI
After Market Close
BAINS MER MONACO
BAIN.PA
Time Not Supplied
BANCA GENERALI
BGN.MI
04:00 am ET
Banco Santander-Chile
NYSE: SAN
Time Not Supplied
Bare Escentuals, Inc.
Nasdaq: BARE
After Market Close
Bayer
BAYRY.PK
01:30 am ET
Bel Fuse Inc.
Nasdaq: BELFB
Before Market Open
Bio-Imaging Technologies
Nasdaq: BITI
Time Not Supplied
BioMed Realty Trust, Inc.
NYSE: BMR
After Market Close
BlueLinx Holdings Inc
NYSE: BXC
Before Market Open
Brandywine Realty Trust
NYSE: BDN
After Market Close
BTU International
Nasdaq: BTUI
After Market Close
Cadbury plc
NYSE: CBY
Before Market Open
CAI INTERNATIONAL INC
NYSE: CAP
After Market Close
Cal Dive International
NYSE: DVR
After Market Close
California Water Service Group
NYSE: CWT
After Market Close
Callaway Golf
NYSE: ELY
After Market Close
Cameron
NYSE: CAM
Time Not Supplied
Canfor Corporation
CFP.TO
Time Not Supplied
CAPITARETAIL CHINA TRUST
CPITF.PK
Time Not Supplied
CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
J85.SI
Time Not Supplied
Cedar Shopping Centers
NYSE: CDR
After Market Close
Cementir
CEM.MI
Time Not Supplied
Centennial Communications
Nasdaq: CYCL
Before Market Open
Central European Media Enterprises
Nasdaq: CETV
Before Market Open
Circor International
NYSE: CIR
After Market Close
Cleveland-Cliffs
NYSE: CLF
After Market Close
CNX Gas Corp.
NYSE: CXG
Before Market Open
Cogdell Spencer, Inc.
NYSE: CSA
After Market Close
Coherent
Nasdaq: COHR
Time Not Supplied
Comcast Corporation
Nasdaq: CMCSA
Time Not Supplied
Concur Technologies
Nasdaq: CNQR
After Market Close
Corning
NYSE: GLW
Before Market Open
COSAN S A INDUSTRIA E COMERICO
CSAN3.SA
After Market Close
Covance
NYSE: CVD
After Market Close
Cox Radio Inc.
NYSE: CXR
Before Market Open
Cummins Inc.
NYSE: CMI
Before Market Open
Curis
Nasdaq: CRIS
Before Market Open
Deutsche Postbank AG
DPB.F
Time Not Supplied
Digital River, Inc.
Nasdaq: DRIV
After Market Close
Drew Industries Incorporated
NYSE: DW
After Market Close
DTE Energy Company
NYSE: DTE
After Market Close
Duke Realty Corporation
NYSE: DRE
After Market Close
DXP Enterprises
Nasdaq: DXPE
Time Not Supplied
Echelon Corporation
Nasdaq: ELON
Before Market Open
Eclipsys
Nasdaq: ECLP
After Market Close
Edgewater Technology
Nasdaq: EDGW
Before Market Open
EFG Eurobank Ergasias SA
EGFEF.PK
After Market Close
EFJohnson Technologies, Inc.
Nasdaq: EFJI
Time Not Supplied
eHealth, Inc.
Nasdaq: EHTH
Time Not Supplied
Empresa Nacional de Electricidad SA - Endesa Chile
NYSE: EOC
Time Not Supplied
EMS Technologies
Nasdaq: ELMG
Before Market Open
Energias de Portugal, S.A.
EDPFY.PK
After Market Close
Energizer, Inc.
NYSE: ENR
Time Not Supplied
Entertainment Properties Trust
NYSE: EPR
Time Not Supplied
Equity Residential
NYSE: EQR
After Market Close
Erie Indemnity
Nasdaq: ERIE
After Market Close
Erste Bank Der Osterreichischen
EBS.VI
Time Not Supplied
Essex Property Trust
NYSE: ESS
After Market Close
Euronet Services
Nasdaq: EEFT
Before Market Open
European Aeronautic Defence and Space Company EADS N.V.
EAD.PA
01:00 am ET
Evans Bancorp, Inc.
Nasdaq: EVBN
Time Not Supplied
Exactech
Nasdaq: EXAC
After Market Close
EXCO TECHNOLOGIES LTD
XTC.TO
Time Not Supplied
Express Scripts, Inc.
Nasdaq: ESRX
After Market Close
Famous Dave's of America
Nasdaq: DAVE
After Market Close
Federal Realty Investment Trust
NYSE: FRT
Time Not Supplied
Finmeccanica
FINMF.PK
Time Not Supplied
First Mercury Financial Corporation
NYSE: FMR
After Market Close
First Potomac Realty Trust
NYSE: FPO
After Market Close
First Solar, Inc.
Nasdaq: FSLR
After Market Close
Flowserve Corporation
NYSE: FLS
After Market Close
Foreign & Colonial Investment Trust PLC
FRCL.L
Time Not Supplied
FormFactor, Inc.
Nasdaq: FORM
After Market Close
FPIC Insurance Group, Inc.
Nasdaq: FPIC
After Market Close
Fresenius Medical Care
NYSE: FMS
Time Not Supplied
FRESENIUS SE
FSNPF.PK
Time Not Supplied
FUJIFILM HOLDINGS CORPORATION
Nasdaq: FUJI
02:00 am ET
Garmin Ltd.
Nasdaq: GRMN
Before Market Open
Gartner
NYSE: IT
Before Market Open
General Communication
Nasdaq: GNCMA
After Market Close
General Growth Properties Inc
NYSE: GGP
After Market Close
General Maritime Corporation
NYSE: GMR
After Market Close
Geron
Nasdaq: GERN
Before Market Open
Granite Construction
NYSE: GVA
After Market Close
GREAT WEST LIFECO INC
GWO.TO
Time Not Supplied
GUJARAT ALKALIES & CHEM LTD
GJAKF.PK
Time Not Supplied
Hawaiian Holdings, Inc.
NYSE: HA
After Market Close
Health Grades
Nasdaq: HGRD
Before Market Open
Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.
NYSE: HLX
After Market Close
Hess Corporation
NYSE: HES
Before Market Open
Hilb Rogal & Hobbs Company
NYSE: HRH
After Market Close
Hologic
Nasdaq: HOLX
After Market Close
Horace Mann Educators Corp.
NYSE: HMN
After Market Close
Hudson Highland Group Inc
Nasdaq: HHGP
After Market Close
Human Genome Sciences
Nasdaq: HGSI
After Market Close
Huntsman Corporation
NYSE: HUN
Before Market Open
Huttig Building Products, Inc
NYSE: HBP
After Market Close
I-many, Inc.
Nasdaq: IMNY
After Market Close
IAC
Nasdaq: IACI
Before Market Open
Imperial Sugar
Nasdaq: IPSU
Before Market Open
Indesit Company
IND.MI
Time Not Supplied
Indigo Books & Music Inc.
IDG.TO
After Market Close
Innospec Inc.
Nasdaq: IOSP
After Market Close
Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc.
Nasdaq: ISSC
After Market Close
Insure,com, Inc.
Nasdaq: NSUR
Time Not Supplied
itelligence AG
ILH.F
Time Not Supplied
Itron, Inc.
Nasdaq: ITRI
After Market Close
JAPAN STEEL TOWER CO LTD
JPTEF.PK
03:00 am ET
JAVO BEVERAGE COMPANY INC
JAVO.OB
Time Not Supplied
Jones Apparel Group Inc.
NYSE: JNY
Before Market Open
Kemet
NYSE: KEM
Before Market Open
KEPPEL LAND LTD
KPPLF.PK
Time Not Supplied
Kimco Realty Corporation
NYSE: KIM
Before Market Open
KURITA WATER INDUSTRIES
KTWIF.PK
01:00 am ET
Kyocera Corporation
NYSE: KYO
03:00 am ET
L-1 Identity Solutions, Inc.
NYSE: ID
Before Market Open
Lazard Ltd.
NYSE: LAZ
Before Market Open
LHC GROUP INC
Nasdaq: LHCG
After Market Close
LITTELFUSE INC
Nasdaq: LFUS
Before Market Open
Lloyds TSB Group
LLDTF.PK
Before Market Open
LoopNet, Inc.
Nasdaq: LOOP
After Market Close
MacDonald, Dettwiler and Associates Ltd.
MDA.TO
5:00 pm ET
Magal Security Systems
Nasdaq: MAGS
Time Not Supplied
MAGIX AG
MGX.F
Time Not Supplied
MAN AG
MAN.F
Time Not Supplied
ManTech International Corporation
Nasdaq: MANT
After Market Close
MarketAxess Holdings Inc.
Nasdaq: MKTX
Before Market Open
MARSULEX INC
MLX.TO
After Market Close
MasTec
NYSE: MTZ
After Market Close
MDC Partners Inc.
Nasdaq: MDCA
After Market Close
MEDIATEK INC
2454.TW
Time Not Supplied
MELCOR DEVS LTD
MRD.TO
Time Not Supplied
Mercer International
Nasdaq: MERC
After Market Close
Mercury Computer Systems
Nasdaq: MRCY
Time Not Supplied
Meredith Corporation
NYSE: MDP
Before Market Open
Merix
Nasdaq: MERX
Before Market Open
Michelin
ML.PA
02:00 am ET
MILTON CORP
MLT.AX
Time Not Supplied
MIRANDA TECHNOLOGIES INC
MT.TO
Time Not Supplied
Monaco Coach
NYSE: MNC
Time Not Supplied
Mondadori (Arnoldo) Editore SP
MN.MI
Time Not Supplied
MONDI PLC
MONDY.PK
Before Market Open
Moody's Corporation
NYSE: MCO
Before Market Open
Morton's Restaurant Group, Inc.
NYSE: MRT
After Market Close
MPS Group
NYSE: MPS
Before Market Open
MTR Gaming Group
Nasdaq: MNTG
Before Market Open
Murphy Oil Corporation
NYSE: MUR
After Market Close
NAGAHORI CORP
NAAHF.PK
12:00 am ET
Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc.
Nasdaq: NBIX
After Market Close
New Jersey Resources
NYSE: NJR
Time Not Supplied
Newport Corporation
Nasdaq: NEWP
After Market Close
NIC
Nasdaq: EGOV
After Market Close
NightHawk Radiology Holdings, Inc.
Nasdaq: NHWK
Time Not Supplied
NIPPON MINING HOLDINGS INC.
NMHDY.PK
02:00 am ET
Noble Energy, Inc.
NYSE: NBL
Time Not Supplied
NTT DoCoMo
NYSE: DCM
02:00 am ET
O-I
NYSE: OI
After Market Close
O2 Micro
Nasdaq: OIIM
After Market Close
Oceaneering International, Inc.
NYSE: OII
After Market Close
Office Depot Inc.
NYSE: ODP
Before Market Open
Oppenheimer Holdings Inc.
NYSE: OPY
Before Market Open
Owens Corning
NYSE: OC
Before Market Open
Panacos Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Nasdaq: PANC
After Market Close
Parmalat SPA
PRF.MI
Time Not Supplied
PDF Solutions
Nasdaq: PDFS
Time Not Supplied
Penske Automotive Group
NYSE: PAG
Before Market Open
Pfizer Ltd.
PZRLF.PK
Time Not Supplied
PGT, Inc.
Nasdaq: PGTI
After Market Close
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation
NYSE: PNW
Time Not Supplied
Poligrafici Editoriale
POL.MI
Time Not Supplied
POLYPORE INTL INC
NYSE: PPO
After Market Close
Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad S.A.
PSG.MC
Time Not Supplied
Provident Financial plc
PFG.L
02:00 am ET
Prudential Financial, Inc.
NYSE: PRU
After Market Close
Psychiatric Solutions, Inc.
Nasdaq: PSYS
After Market Close
PZENA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC
NYSE: PZN
Time Not Supplied
Quaker Chemical Corporation
NYSE: KWR
After Market Close
R.H. Donnelley Corporation
NYSE: RHD
Before Market Open
RAB CAPITAL PLC
RBCPF.PK
Before Market Open
RC2 CORP
Nasdaq: RCRC
After Market Close
Realty Income Corporation
NYSE: O
Time Not Supplied
Red Eléctrica de España (REE)
REE.MC
Time Not Supplied
RehabCare Group, Inc.
NYSE: RHB
Before Market Open
Reliv International
Nasdaq: RELV
Before Market Open
Reynolds American, Inc.
NYSE: RAI
Before Market Open
Rhodia S.A.
RHADF.PK
01:30 am ET
Richardson Electronics
Nasdaq: RELL
After Market Close
RightNow Technologies, Inc.
Nasdaq: RNOW
After Market Close
Rockwood Holdings, Inc.
NYSE: ROC
Time Not Supplied
Rogers Corporation
NYSE: ROG
After Market Close
RUBICON TECHNOLOGY INC
Nasdaq: RBCN
Time Not Supplied
Sadia S.A.
NYSE: SDA
After Market Close
Safilo Group SpA
SFL.MI
Time Not Supplied
SAMUEL MANU TECH INC
SMT.TO
Time Not Supplied
SANJO MACHINE WORKS LTD
SNJOF.PK
01:00 am ET
Sauer-Danfoss
NYSE: SHS
After Market Close
Sciele Pharma, Inc.
Nasdaq: SCRX
After Market Close
Scientific Learning
Nasdaq: SCIL
Time Not Supplied
Sealed Air
NYSE: SEE
Time Not Supplied
SEASPAN CORPORATION
NYSE: SSW
After Market Close
SELOGER.COM
SLG.PA
After Market Close
Sequenom
Nasdaq: SQNM
After Market Close
Shinhan Financial Group Co. Ltd.
NYSE: SHG
Time Not Supplied
SHUTTERFLY INC
Nasdaq: SFLY
Time Not Supplied
Siemens AG
NYSE: SI
Time Not Supplied
Silicon Laboratories Inc.
Nasdaq: SLAB
Before Market Open
SNC-Lavalin Group
SNC.TO
Time Not Supplied
Southern Company
NYSE: SO
Before Market Open
Southwestern Energy
NYSE: SWN
After Market Close
Span-America Medical Systems
Nasdaq: SPAN
Time Not Supplied
Spartan Stores, Inc.
Nasdaq: SPTN
After Market Close
Sport Chalet
Nasdaq: SPCHB
After Market Close
SPX
NYSE: SPW
Time Not Supplied
STAAR Surgical
Nasdaq: STAA
After Market Close
Standard Pacific Corp.
NYSE: SPF
After Market Close
Starbucks
Nasdaq: SBUX
After Market Close
State Bancorp, Inc.
Nasdaq: STBC
Time Not Supplied
Steiner Leisure
Nasdaq: STNR
After Market Close
STERIS
NYSE: STE
Before Market Open
Stewart Information Services
NYSE: STC
Before Market Open
SUNTEC REAL ESTATE INVT TRUST
F3G.SI
Time Not Supplied
Superior Energy Services
NYSE: SPN
After Market Close
Symantec
Nasdaq: SYMC
After Market Close
Symyx Technologies, Inc.
Nasdaq: SMMX
Time Not Supplied
Synthes, Inc.
SYST.VX
01:00 am ET
Sypris Solutions Inc.
Nasdaq: SYPR
Time Not Supplied
TECHWELL INC
Nasdaq: TWLL
After Market Close
TECO Energy Inc.
NYSE: TE
After Market Close
Tele Norte Celular Participações S.A. (Amazonia)
NYSE: TCN
Before Market Open
TeleCity PLC
3TH.F
Before Market Open
Telular Corporation
Nasdaq: WRLS
After Market Close
TEMENOS GROUP AG
TMNSF.PK
Time Not Supplied
Temple-Inland Inc.
NYSE: TIN
Before Market Open
Tesoro Corporation
NYSE: TSO
After Market Close
Tetra Tech
Nasdaq: TTEK
After Market Close
The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc.
NYSE: IPG
Before Market Open
The Timberland Company
NYSE: TBL
Before Market Open
The Timken Company
NYSE: TKR
Time Not Supplied
Thomas Weisel Partners
Nasdaq: TWPG
Time Not Supplied
THQ Inc
Nasdaq: THQI
After Market Close
Titan International
NYSE: TWI
Time Not Supplied
Travis Perkins plc
TPK.L
Before Market Open
Trex Company, Inc.
NYSE: TWP
Before Market Open
Trican Well Service Ltd.
TCW.TO
After Market Close
Trinity Industries
NYSE: TRN
After Market Close
Tronox Incorporated
NYSE: TRX
Before Market Open
TSYS
NYSE: TSS
After Market Close
Tyco Electronics
NYSE: TEL
Before Market Open
UGI
NYSE: UGI
Time Not Supplied
United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC)
NYSE: UMC
Time Not Supplied
Unum Group
NYSE: UNM
After Market Close
USJ CO LTD OSAKA
USJCF.PK
02:00 am ET
Vidrala SA
VID.MC
Time Not Supplied
Virage Logic Corporation
Nasdaq: VIRL
Time Not Supplied
ViroPharma
Nasdaq: VPHM
Before Market Open
Virtusa Corporation
Nasdaq: VRTU
After Market Close
Visa Inc.
NYSE: V
After Market Close
Visteon Corporation
NYSE: VC
Before Market Open
VIVO PARTICIPACOES S A
VIVO4.SA
Before Market Open
Voltaire
Nasdaq: VOLT
Before Market Open
Vossloh AG
VOS.F
Time Not Supplied
Wabash National
NYSE: WNC
After Market Close
WABCO Holdings Inc.
NYSE: WBC
Time Not Supplied
Walt Disney
NYSE: DIS
After Market Close
West Fraser Timber Co.
WFT.TO
Time Not Supplied
WEST JAPAN RAILWAY CO
WJRYY.PK
02:00 am ET
WestJet Airlines
WJA.TO
Time Not Supplied
Whiting Petroleum Corp.
NYSE: WLL
After Market Close
Willis Group Holdings Limited
NYSE: WSH
After Market Close
Wright Express Corporation
NYSE: WXS
Before Market Open
Zoom Technologies Inc.
Nasdaq: ZOOM
Before Market Open
Zucchi S.p.A
ZUC.MI
Time Not Supplied



Thursday

Thursday and Friday should more than make up for the quiet start to the week, with a ton of data reaching the wire. The Monster Employment Index (Nasdaq: MNST) kicks off the festivities with its 6:00 AM release. The index fell three points last month to 163, but had been as low as 160 in January.

At 8:30, the Advance Report for Q2 GDP is expected to show economic stimulus and export driven real growth of 2.4% quarter-to-quarter. First quarter GDP rose just 1.0% by the time the final tally was taken. So, you must be thinking, "wow, what recession?" Stimulus will disappear in Q3 though, but the government hopes its done enough to stabilizing housing and the financial sector to drive economic recovery. Those concerned with the global economic situation, and that should be all of you, will note Japan's indusrial output release for June, set for Thursday.

Initial weekly jobless claims picked up last week, reaching 406K. The consensus forecast seems to track closely to the prior week result, and so this coming week's expert view is for another 398K of new filings. In any event, it looks like unemployment is trending higher moving into the second half. We think there's good reason for this, since stimulus will dissipate, leading consumers to spend even less on restaurant and retail outings. As a result, we expect store closings and layoffs to intensify in the very saturated consumer sector. Also, as global growth slows and slips into recession in some markets, American exports should suffer and manufacturing capacity could stand alone in the cold of excess. Also at 8:30, the Employment Cost Index is expected to post a 0.7% increase, as compared to the same rise in Q1.

The monthly tally on Chicagoland manufacturing is set for Thursday at 9:45. NAPM-Chicago is seen measuring at 49.0, as the Midwest remains in economic contraction. The Midwestern measure showed tough times in June as well, when it measured 49.6. Still, we've been as low as 44.5 in February, so the struggle is not so bad relatively speaking.

Treasury Secretary Paulson is set to speak on Thursday, so mark your schedule for 1 p.m. ET to catch it. Keeping with regulators, the SEC has scheduled a telephone conference on the topic of financial reporting. Also, Donald Marron, White House economic advisor, will also speak on Thursday and might catch some media attention.

At 10:30, look for the EIA's Natural Gas Report. It has regularly offered data showing builds in gas stocks. Oil giant ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) posts results on Thursday as well. Closing out the day in the late afternoon, at 3:00, look for Farm Prices news. Interesting how this report has become interesting in such a short time.


EPS Reports for
Thursday, July 31
CompanySymbolTime
3PAR inc.NYSE: PARBefore Market Open
8x8, Inc.Nasdaq: EGHTTime Not Supplied
ABINGTON BANCORP INCNasdaq: ABBCTime Not Supplied
Activision Blizzard, Inc.Nasdaq: ATVIDAfter Market Close
Adaptec, Inc.Nasdaq: ADPTTime Not Supplied
Aetna Inc.NYSE: AETBefore Market Open
AGL ResourcesNYSE: ATGBefore Market Open
Aker SolutionsAKSO.OL02:30 am ET
Akorn, Inc.Nasdaq: AKRXAfter Market Close
All Nippon AirwaysALNPY.PK02:00 am ET
ALLGREEN PROPERTIES LTDA16.SITime Not Supplied
Alliance Imaging, Inc.NYSE: AIQAfter Market Close
Altria Group, Inc.NYSE: MOBefore Market Open
ALUMINA LTDNYSE: AWCTime Not Supplied
American EcologyNasdaq: ECOLBefore Market Open
American Electric PowerNYSE: AEPTime Not Supplied
American Financial GroupNYSE: AFGAfter Market Close
Anglogold Ashanti LimitedNYSE: AUBefore Market Open
ANTENA 3 DE TELEVISION SAA3TV.MCTime Not Supplied
Antigenics Inc.Nasdaq: AGENBefore Market Open
Aon CorporationNYSE: AOCAfter Market Close
Apache CorporationNYSE: APABefore Market Open
APCapital, Inc.Nasdaq: ACAPAfter Market Close
APP Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Nasdaq: APPXAfter Market Close
Arch Chemicals, Inc.NYSE: ARJBefore Market Open
ASAT Holdings LimitedASTTY.OBTime Not Supplied
ASM International N.V.Nasdaq: ASMITime Not Supplied
Assurant, Inc.NYSE: AIZBefore Market Open
ASTRA OTOPARTS TBKAUTO.JKTime Not Supplied
AstraZeneca PLCNYSE: AZNBefore Market Open
Atlantic Tele-NetworkNasdaq: ATNIAfter Market Close
Atlas Pipeline Holdings, LPNYSE: AHDAfter Market Close
Automatic Data ProcessingNYSE: ADPBefore Market Open
Auxilium Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Nasdaq: AUXLBefore Market Open
AVANQUEST SOFTWARE SAAVQ.PATime Not Supplied
Aventine Renewable Energy, Inc.NYSE: AVRAfter Market Close
BalchemNasdaq: BCPC09:30 am ET
Baldwin&Lyons ANasdaq: BWINABefore Market Open
Ballantyne OmahaNYSE: BTNAfter Market Close
BANCO PASTOR SA LA CORUNAPAS.MC02:15 am ET
BANK PAN INDONESIAPNBN.JKTime Not Supplied
Barrick GoldNYSE: ABXBefore Market Open
BASFBASFY.PKTime Not Supplied
BE Semiconductor IndustriesBESIY.PK02:30 am ET
Beasley Broadcast Group, IncNasdaq: BBGIBefore Market Open
BEIJING NORTH STAR CO LTDBEIJF.PKTime Not Supplied
Big 5 Sporting Goods CorporationNasdaq: BGFVAfter Market Close
BigBand NetworksNasdaq: BBNDAfter Market Close
BioScripNasdaq: BIOSBefore Market Open
BorgWarner, Inc.NYSE: BWATime Not Supplied
Breakwater Resources Ltd.BWR.TOAfter Market Close
Brembo SPABRE.MITime Not Supplied
British American TobaccoNYSE: BTIBefore Market Open
British Sky Broadcasting Group plcBSY.LTime Not Supplied
British Sky Broadcasting Group plcBSY.LTime Not Supplied
Brookfield Properties CorpNYSE: BPOBefore Market Open
BT Group PLCBTGOF.PKTime Not Supplied
Builders FirstSource, Inc.Nasdaq: BLDRAfter Market Close
CANYSE: CAAfter Market Close
Cabela's Inc.NYSE: CABAfter Market Close
Cablevision Systems Corp.NYSE: CVCBefore Market Open
Calgon Carbon CorporationNYSE: CCCBefore Market Open
Camden Property TrustNYSE: CPTAfter Market Close
Cap Gemini SACAP.PA01:00 am ET
Capella Education CompanyNasdaq: CPLABefore Market Open
CARBO CeramicsNYSE: CRRTime Not Supplied
Carpenter TechnologyNYSE: CRSBefore Market Open
Cbeyond Inc.Nasdaq: CBEYAfter Market Close
CBIZ, IncNYSE: CBZBefore Market Open
CBS CorporationNYSE: CBSBefore Market Open
CDI Corp.NYSE: CDIBefore Market Open
CENTERRA GOLD INCCG.TOBefore Market Open
Central Pacific Financial Corp.NYSE: CPFBefore Market Open
Centrica plcCNA.LTime Not Supplied
CenturyTel, Inc.NYSE: CTLBefore Market Open
CerusNasdaq: CERSTime Not Supplied
CGGVeritasNYSE: CGV02:00 am ET
Chart Industries Inc.Nasdaq: GTLSTime Not Supplied
Chemtura Corp.NYSE: CEMAfter Market Close
Chesapeake Energy CorporationNYSE: CHKAfter Market Close
CHI MEI OPTOELECTRONICS CORPCMEOF.PKTime Not Supplied
Chiquita Brands International, Inc.NYSE: CQBAfter Market Close
Chordiant SoftwareNasdaq: CHRDAfter Market Close
Cincinnati Bell Inc.NYSE: CBBBefore Market Open
CIR S.p.A.CIR.MI04:30 am ET
CITRA MARGA NUSAPHALA PERSADACMNP.JKTime Not Supplied
CofideCOF.MITime Not Supplied
Cognizant Technology SolutionsNasdaq: CTSHAfter Market Close
Coinstar, Inc.Nasdaq: CSTRAfter Market Close
Comfort Systems USANYSE: FIXAfter Market Close
COMSCORE INCNasdaq: SCORAfter Market Close
COMSYS IT Partners, Inc.Nasdaq: CITPBefore Market Open
CONSOL EnergyNYSE: CNXTime Not Supplied
Constellation Energy Group, Inc.NYSE: CEGBefore Market Open
CORDERO ENERGY INCCOR.TOTime Not Supplied
Cott CorporationNYSE: COTBefore Market Open
Credit AgricoleACA.PA11:00 am ET
CryoLife, Inc.NYSE: CRYBefore Market Open
CV TherapeuticsNasdaq: CVTXAfter Market Close
CVS Caremark CorporationNYSE: CVSBefore Market Open
Cytokinetics, Inc.Nasdaq: CYTKAfter Market Close
D&BNYSE: DNBTime Not Supplied
DAEKYO CO LTDDAEKF.PKTime Not Supplied
DAIICHI SANKYO CO LTDDSKYF.PK12:00 am ET
Dairy Farm International Holdings Ltd.DFILF.PKTime Not Supplied
Dalsa CorpDSA.TOAfter Market Close
Dassault SystemesNasdaq: DASTYTime Not Supplied
Dawson GeophysicalNasdaq: DWSNBefore Market Open
DELPHI ENERGY CORPDEE.TO09:00 am ET
Deluxe CorporationNYSE: DLXBefore Market Open
DepomedNasdaq: DEPOAfter Market Close
Deutsche BankNYSE: DBTime Not Supplied
Deutsche Börse AGDB1.FTime Not Supplied
Deutsche Post AGDPW.DETime Not Supplied
DIANA SHIPPING INCNYSE: DSXBefore Market Open
Dolby Laboratories, Inc.NYSE: DLBAfter Market Close
Dominion Resources Inc.NYSE: DTime Not Supplied
Dresser-Rand Group Inc.NYSE: DRCBefore Market Open
drugstore.comNasdaq: DSCMAfter Market Close
DUNDEE PRECIOUS METALS INCDPM.TOTime Not Supplied
Dynamic MaterialsNasdaq: BOOMAfter Market Close
Dynamics Research CorporationNasdaq: DRCOTime Not Supplied
Eastman Kodak CompanyNYSE: EKBefore Market Open
ELEC & ELTEK INTERNATIONAL COE16.SITime Not Supplied
EMAK Worldwide Inc.EMAK.PKAfter Market Close
EnbridgeNYSE: ENBBefore Market Open
Endo PharmaceuticalsNasdaq: ENDPTime Not Supplied
Enel S.p.A.ESOCF.PKTime Not Supplied
Energy East CorporationNYSE: EASTime Not Supplied
Energy Focus, Inc.Nasdaq: EFOITime Not Supplied
Enersis SA ADSNYSE: ENITime Not Supplied
Eni S.p.A.NYSE: E01:45 am ET
Environmental PowerNYSE: EPGTime Not Supplied
EPCOSEPCYY.PKTime Not Supplied
EQUITABLE GROUP INCETC.TOBefore Market Open
ExarNasdaq: EXARAfter Market Close
Expedia, Inc.Nasdaq: EXPEBefore Market Open
Extreme NetworksNasdaq: EXTRAfter Market Close
ExxonMobil CorporationNYSE: XOMBefore Market Open
Fairfax Financial HoldingsNYSE: FFHAfter Market Close
FIRST CALGARY PETROLEUM LTDFCP.TOTime Not Supplied
Fisher Communications, Inc.Nasdaq: FSCIBefore Market Open
Forrester ResearchNasdaq: FORRTime Not Supplied
FPL GroupNYSE: FPLTime Not Supplied
France TelecomNYSE: FTETime Not Supplied
FRASER PAPERS INCFPS.TO6:00 pm ET
GEA GroupG1A.DETime Not Supplied
Gen-ProbeNasdaq: GPROAfter Market Close
Genco Shipping & Trading LimitedNYSE: GNKTime Not Supplied
GENESIS LEASE LTDNYSE: GLSBefore Market Open
GENOPTIX INCNasdaq: GXDXAfter Market Close
Gentiva Health ServicesNasdaq: GTIVBefore Market Open
GFI Group Inc.Nasdaq: GFIGAfter Market Close
Giga-tronics IncorporatedNasdaq: GIGAAfter Market Close
GoldcorpNYSE: GGBefore Market Open
Goodyear Tire & RubberNYSE: GTBefore Market Open
Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc.Nasdaq: GMCRBefore Market Open
Greenhill & Co., Inc.NYSE: GHLBefore Market Open
Greggs plcGRG.LBefore Market Open
Grey Wolf, Inc.NYSE: GWAfter Market Close
Gruppo Finarte - Semenzato Casa d'AsteFCD.MITime Not Supplied
GSI Group Inc.Nasdaq: GSIGBefore Market Open
GSI TECHNOLOGY INCNasdaq: GSITAfter Market Close
Guaranty Financial Group Inc.NYSE: GFGBefore Market Open
Hansen Medical, Inc.Nasdaq: HNSNAfter Market Close
Harvest Natural Resources, Inc.NYSE: HNRBefore Market Open
Hawesko Holding AGHAW.FTime Not Supplied
HBOS plcHBOS.LBefore Market Open
Helmerich & Payne, Inc.NYSE: HPBefore Market Open
Hitachi LimitedNYSE: HIT01:00 am ET
Hornbeck Offshore Services, Inc.NYSE: HOS06:00 am ET
HOUSEVALUES INCNasdaq: SOLDTime Not Supplied
HUDBAY MINERALS INCHBM.TOTime Not Supplied
Hugo Boss AGBOS.FTime Not Supplied
I.D. SystemsNasdaq: IDSYAfter Market Close
iCAD, IncNasdaq: ICADBefore Market Open
IGM Financial Inc.IGM.TOTime Not Supplied
ILOGNasdaq: ILOGTime Not Supplied
Imerys SANK.PABefore Market Open
Immersion CorporationNasdaq: IMMRAfter Market Close
Imperial Oil LimitedNYSE: IMOTime Not Supplied
Incyte CorporationNasdaq: INCYBefore Market Open
InnophosNasdaq: IPHSAfter Market Close
Insightful CorporationNasdaq: IFULAfter Market Close
IntegraMed America, Inc.Nasdaq: INMDBefore Market Open
INTELLON CORPNasdaq: ITLNAfter Market Close
Intermec, Inc.NYSE: INAfter Market Close
InterMune Inc.Nasdaq: ITMNTime Not Supplied
International Flavors & FragrancesNYSE: IFFBefore Market Open
International Paper Co.NYSE: IPBefore Market Open
Internet Capital GroupNasdaq: ICGEBefore Market Open
Investment Technology GroupNYSE: ITGBefore Market Open
IPCS INCNasdaq: IPCSAfter Market Close
Iron Mountain IncorporatedNYSE: IRMBefore Market Open
ISILON SYSTEMS INCNasdaq: ISLNAfter Market Close
iStar FinancialNYSE: SFIBefore Market Open
K-Swiss Inc.Nasdaq: KSWSBefore Market Open
Kaman CorporationNasdaq: KAMNAfter Market Close
Kansas City SouthernNYSE: KSUBefore Market Open
Kaupthing BankKPBIF.PKBefore Market Open
Kellogg Co.NYSE: KTime Not Supplied
KEPPEL CORPORATION LTDKPELF.PKTime Not Supplied
Kindred Healthcare Inc.NYSE: KNDAfter Market Close
KLA-TencorNasdaq: KLACAfter Market Close
Kopin CorporationNasdaq: KOPNTime Not Supplied
KUMHO INDUSTRIAL CO LTDKUHOF.PKAfter Market Close
LafargeLFRGY.PKAfter Market Close
LAUTAN LUASLTLS.JKTime Not Supplied
Ligand Pharmaceuticals IncorporatedNasdaq: LGNDAfter Market Close
LKQ CorporationNasdaq: LKQXBefore Market Open
Lojas AmericanasLAME4.SATime Not Supplied
Lottomatica S.p.aLTOMF.PKTime Not Supplied
LubrizolNYSE: LZBefore Market Open
Luxottica GroupNYSE: LUXTime Not Supplied
M.D.C HoldingsNYSE: MDCBefore Market Open
M/I Homes, Inc.NYSE: MHOTime Not Supplied
Mack-Cali Realty CorporationNYSE: CLIBefore Market Open
Magellan Health ServicesNasdaq: MGLNBefore Market Open
Mahanagar Telephone Nigam LimitedNYSE: MTETime Not Supplied
Makita CorporationNasdaq: MKTAY02:10 am ET
Marathon Oil CorporationNYSE: MROBefore Market Open
Marcopolo, S.A.POMO3.SAAfter Market Close
MarineMax Inc.NYSE: HZOTime Not Supplied
Massey Energy CompanyNYSE: MEEAfter Market Close
MasterCard IncorporatedNYSE: MATime Not Supplied
Maxygen, Inc.Nasdaq: MAXYAfter Market Close
McAfee, Inc.NYSE: MFEAfter Market Close
MediasetMS.MITime Not Supplied
MediolanumMED.MI04:30 am ET
MELEXIS NVMELE.BRTime Not Supplied
MentorNYSE: MNTAfter Market Close
METALICO INCNYSE: MEATime Not Supplied
Metro GroupMEO.F01:15 am ET
Metrovacesa SAMVC.MCTime Not Supplied
Mid-America Apartment CommunitiesNYSE: MAATime Not Supplied
MilacronMZIA.PKBefore Market Open
Millipore Corp.NYSE: MILAfter Market Close
MITSUBISHI CORPMSBHY.PK12:00 am ET
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.Nasdaq: MPWRTime Not Supplied
Monster WorldwideNasdaq: MNSTAfter Market Close
MORNINGSTAR INCNasdaq: MORNAfter Market Close
Motorola Inc.NYSE: MOTBefore Market Open
MPC AGMPC.FTime Not Supplied
Muehlbauer Holding AGMUB.FTime Not Supplied
Multi-Color CorporationNasdaq: LABL08:00 am ET
MWI Veterinary Supply, Inc.Nasdaq: MWIVTime Not Supplied
NAGARJUNA CONSTRUCTIONS CO LTDNGRJF.PKTime Not Supplied
NanometricsNasdaq: NANOAfter Market Close
National Express GroupNEX.LTime Not Supplied
NATIONAL INTERSTATE CORPNasdaq: NATLAfter Market Close
National Retail Properties, Inc.NYSE: NNNBefore Market Open
Natus Medical IncorporatedNasdaq: BABYBefore Market Open
Nautilus, Inc.NYSE: NLSAfter Market Close
Navigant ConsultingNYSE: NCIAfter Market Close
NEI, Inc.Nasdaq: NENGBefore Market Open
NESTLE INDIA500790.BOTime Not Supplied
Newell RubbermaidNYSE: NWLBefore Market Open
NewMarket CorpNYSE: NEUAfter Market Close
Newpark Resources, Inc.NYSE: NRAfter Market Close
NIFTY CORP TOKYONFTYF.PK03:00 am ET
NITTO FLOUR MILLING CO LTDNFMLF.PK03:00 am ET
NMS CommunicationsNasdaq: NMSSAfter Market Close
NN Inc.Nasdaq: NNBRBefore Market Open
Nordfyns Bank A/SNRDF.COTime Not Supplied
NorthBridge Financial CorpNB.TOAfter Market Close
Northgate Minerals CorpAMEX: NXGTime Not Supplied
NORTHSTAR NEUROSCIENCE INCNasdaq: NSTRAfter Market Close
NorthWestern CorporationNYSE: NWETime Not Supplied
Novamed, Inc.Nasdaq: NOVABefore Market Open
Nu SkinNYSE: NUSBefore Market Open
NYMEX Holdings, Inc.NYSE: NMXBefore Market Open
OCEANA GOLD LTDOGC.NZTime Not Supplied
Odyssey Re Holdings Corp.NYSE: ORHAfter Market Close
OGE EnergyNYSE: OGEBefore Market Open
Oil States InternationalNYSE: OISAfter Market Close
Olympic SteelNasdaq: ZEUSTime Not Supplied
OmnicareNYSE: OCRBefore Market Open
Onvia.com, Inc.Nasdaq: ONVITime Not Supplied
Orchid Cellmark IncNasdaq: ORCHBefore Market Open
ORIGEN FINL INCNasdaq: ORGNAfter Market Close
OsteotechNasdaq: OSTETime Not Supplied
OUTDOOR CHANNEL HLDGS INCNasdaq: OUTDAfter Market Close
Palomar Medical Technologies, Inc.Nasdaq: PMTI08:00 am ET
Parker Hannifin Corp.NYSE: PHBefore Market Open
Partner CommunicationsNasdaq: PTNRTime Not Supplied
Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc.Nasdaq: PTENBefore Market Open
PC Connection, Inc.Nasdaq: PCCCBefore Market Open
Peet's Coffee & TeaNasdaq: PEET4:00 pm ET
Pericom SemiconductorNasdaq: PSEMAfter Market Close
PETROSEAPTRO.JKTime Not Supplied
PharmacopeiaNasdaq: PCOPAfter Market Close
PharmaNet Development Group, Inc.Nasdaq: PDGIBefore Market Open
Photon DynamicsNasdaq: PHTNAfter Market Close
Pioneer CorporationPNCOF.PK02:00 am ET
PMA Capital CorporationNasdaq: PMACAAfter Market Close
Poniard PharmaceuticalsNasdaq: PARDAfter Market Close
Powerwave TechnologiesNasdaq: PWAVTime Not Supplied
PRIMUS Telecommunications Group, IncorporatedPRTL.OBAfter Market Close
PROGRESS ENERGY TRPGX-UN.TOAfter Market Close
PROSPEX RES LTDPSX.TOTime Not Supplied
Prudential PLCNYSE: PUKBefore Market Open
Radiant SystemsNasdaq: RADSAfter Market Close
RADVISIONNasdaq: RVSNBefore Market Open
Rainmaker Systems, Inc.Nasdaq: RMKRAfter Market Close
Randgold Resources LimitedNasdaq: GOLDBefore Market Open
Rank Group Plc.RANKF.PK02:00 am ET
RealNetworksNasdaq: RNWKAfter Market Close
Reed Elsevier Group PLCRUKEF.PKTime Not Supplied
Repsol YPFNYSE: REPBefore Market Open
Revlon, Inc.NYSE: REVBefore Market Open
RHI AG WIENRHI.VITime Not Supplied
Rit Technologies LimitedNasdaq: RITTTime Not Supplied
Rochester Medical CorporationNasdaq: ROCMAfter Market Close
RPS Group PLCRPS.LBefore Market Open
RSC HOLDINGS INCNYSE: RRRAfter Market Close
Ruddick CorporationNYSE: RDKTime Not Supplied
SAFRANSAF.PATime Not Supplied
SALARY.COM INCNasdaq: SLRYAfter Market Close
Sanofi-AventisNYSE: SNY01:00 am ET
Santander BanCorpNYSE: SBPBefore Market Open
Sappi LimitedSPPJF.PKBefore Market Open
Scientific Games CorporationNasdaq: SGMSAfter Market Close
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.Nasdaq: SIGIAfter Market Close
SGL CarbonSGLFF.PKTime Not Supplied
Shire PlcSHP.L07:00 am ET
SODA NIKKA CO LTDSDNKF.PK12:00 am ET
SOURCEFIRE INCNasdaq: FIREAfter Market Close
Souza CruzCRUZ3.SATime Not Supplied
Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, IncNYSE: SPRBefore Market Open
SQUARE ENIX CO LTD TOKYOSQNXF.PK01:00 am ET
Stanley, Inc.NYSE: SXEAfter Market Close
Stantec Inc.NYSE: SXCTime Not Supplied
StarTekNYSE: SRTBefore Market Open
StoneridgeNYSE: SRIBefore Market Open
StratasysNasdaq: SSYSBefore Market Open
Strategic DiagnosticsNasdaq: SDIXAfter Market Close
Sun Life Financial Inc.NYSE: SLF1:00 pm ET
SupportSoftNasdaq: SPRTAfter Market Close
Synaptics IncorporatedNasdaq: SYNAAfter Market Close
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (TSMC)NYSE: TSMTime Not Supplied
Takkt AGTTK.FBefore Market Open
Taleo CorporationNasdaq: TLEOAfter Market Close
TATA STEEL LTDTAELF.PKTime Not Supplied
TC PipeLines, LPNasdaq: TCLPTime Not Supplied
TDKNYSE: TDKTime Not Supplied
TechnipNYSE: TKP01:00 am ET
TelecincoTL5.MCBefore Market Open
TeleCommunication Systems, Inc.Nasdaq: TSYSAfter Market Close
Telefonica S.ANYSE: TEFTime Not Supplied
Telegate AGTGT.FTime Not Supplied
Tenneco IncNYSE: TENBefore Market Open
Tessera Technologies IncNasdaq: TSRAAfter Market Close
TF1 SATFI.PATime Not Supplied
The Brinks CompanyNYSE: BCOTime Not Supplied
The First American CorporationNYSE: FAFBefore Market Open
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.NYSE: THGAfter Market Close
The Laclede Group, Inc.NYSE: LGAfter Market Close
The Pantry Inc.Nasdaq: PTRYBefore Market Open
The Phoenix Companies, Inc.NYSE: PNXBefore Market Open
The Scotts Miracle-Gro CompanyNYSE: SMGAfter Market Close
Theragenics CorporationNYSE: TGXBefore Market Open
TheStreet.comNasdaq: TSCMBefore Market Open
thinkorswim Group Inc.Nasdaq: SWIMAfter Market Close
Thoratec CorporationNasdaq: THORAfter Market Close
Tomkins PLCNYSE: TKSBefore Market Open
TOP ShipsNasdaq: TOPSBefore Market Open
Torstar Corp.TS-B.TO06:30 am ET
Town Sports International Holdings, Inc.Nasdaq: CLUBTime Not Supplied
Transalta CorporationNYSE: TACBefore Market Open
TransCanada CorporationNYSE: TRPTime Not Supplied
TriMas CorporationNYSE: TRSTime Not Supplied
Trinity Mirror plcTNI.LBefore Market Open
TRW AutoNYSE: TRWBefore Market Open
Tyco InternationalNYSE: TYCBefore Market Open
Ultralife CorporationNasdaq: ULBIBefore Market Open
UnifiNYSE: UFIBefore Market Open
Unilever PLCNYSE: UL02:00 am ET
UNIMICRON TECHNOLOGY3037.TWTime Not Supplied
Union Drilling, Inc.Nasdaq: UDRLAfter Market Close
United Stationers Inc.Nasdaq: USTRAfter Market Close
United TherapeuticsNasdaq: UTHRBefore Market Open
Universal AmericanNYSE: UAMAfter Market Close
UROPLASTY INCNYSE: UPIAfter Market Close
USA MobilityNasdaq: USMOAfter Market Close
Valassis Communications Inc.NYSE: VCIBefore Market Open
VallourecVK.PA11:45 am ET
ValueClick, Inc.Nasdaq: VCLKAfter Market Close
Vectren CorporationNYSE: VVCAfter Market Close
Vertex Pharmaceuticals IncorporatedNasdaq: VRTXAfter Market Close
VIRGINIA MINES INCVGQ.TOTime Not Supplied
VistaPrintNasdaq: VPRTAfter Market Close
VOLGATELECOM PUB JT STK COVLGAY.PKTime Not Supplied
Wacker Chemie AGWKCMF.PK01:15 am ET
Wayside Technology Group, Inc.Nasdaq: WSTGAfter Market Close
Weight Watchers International, Inc.NYSE: WTWAfter Market Close
Weingarten Realty InvestorsNYSE: WRIAfter Market Close
WessanenWES.AS02:00 am ET
WEST BANCORPORATION INCNasdaq: WTBABefore Market Open
William Hill PLCWMH.L02:00 am ET
Wisconsin Energy CorporationNYSE: WECBefore Market Open
Wyndham WorldwideNYSE: WYNBefore Market Open
Xcel EnergyNYSE: XELBefore Market Open
Zeltia, S.A.ZEL.MCTime Not Supplied
ZilogNasdaq: ZILGAfter Market Close
Zones Inc.Nasdaq: ZONSTime Not Supplied



Friday

Friday, August 1st brings with it monthly motor vehicle sales data. Buckle your seat belt because this could get nasty (or nastier). Toyota Motors (NYSE: TM) just adjusted its global demand forecast lower, perhaps a sign of trouble upcoming within its own data. If Toyota gets hit, that will leave Honda Motors (NYSE: HMC) as the last survivor, but for how long...

Friday also of course brings the monthly Employment Situation Report, and the data will be released at 8:30 promptly, so you'll want to be near a TV to catch CNBC's timely commentary. Nonfarm Payrolls are seen declining 72,000 in July, after a loss of 62K jobs in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge higher to 5.6%, from 5.5% reported in June. June's data allowed for digestion of May's jump from 5.1% to 5.5%, so we expect you'll see a modest rise again this month. Of more significance, weekly jobless claims have stuck hot. Average hourly earnings should keep up with its recent pace, rising 0.3%.

The national manufacturing survey is due a day after the Midwest data. ISM's Manufacturing Report at 10:00 AM is expected to mark contraction at 49.2. This compares to the June report above water at 50.2. Corporate investment is at a cautionary level now, consumer spending is seen declining, even globally, so it seems just a matter of time before order data wanes again, despite last week's decent Durables news for June.

Construction Spending for June is seen declining 0.3%, after a drop of 0.4% in May. No surprises here. We told you over a year ago that commercial construction, the hot space at that time, would follow residential lower as the broader economy recessed. Look around and you'll note vacancies where there use to be your favorite little shop, even within malls.


EPS Reports for
Friday, August 1
CompanySymbolTime
AdministaffNYSE: ASFBefore Market Open
AlleteNYSE: ALEBefore Market Open
Alliance & LeicesterAL.LTime Not Supplied
Ameren CorporationNYSE: AEEBefore Market Open
Andritz AGANDR.VITime Not Supplied
Apartment Investment & ManagementNYSE: AIVBefore Market Open
ARC Energy TrustAET-UN.TOTime Not Supplied
AstronicsNasdaq: ATROBefore Market Open
BekaertBEKB.BRBefore Market Open
BOLSAS Y MERCADOS ESPANOLESSOHMF.PKTime Not Supplied
Boyd GamingNYSE: BYDBefore Market Open
British AirwaysBAIRY.PKTime Not Supplied
Brookfield Homes CorporationNYSE: BHS08:00 am ET
Brush Engineered MaterialsNYSE: BWTime Not Supplied
Bulgari SpABUL.MITime Not Supplied
CapitaLandC31.SITime Not Supplied
CaraustarNasdaq: CSARTime Not Supplied
Cell GenesysNasdaq: CEGEAfter Market Close
ChevronNYSE: CVXBefore Market Open
CIGNANYSE: CIBefore Market Open
Ciments Français S.A.CMA.PATime Not Supplied
CloroxNYSE: CLXBefore Market Open
Dada SPADDB.MUTime Not Supplied
Digimarc CorporationNasdaq: DMRCTime Not Supplied
Dorman Products, Inc.Nasdaq: DORMBefore Market Open
DSV A/SDSV.COTime Not Supplied
Eldorado Gold CorporationNYSE: EGOTime Not Supplied
ELECTRICITE DE FRANCE EDFECIFF.PKTime Not Supplied
EMERA INCEMA.TOTime Not Supplied
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AGEBK.FTime Not Supplied
Equitable Resources, Inc.NYSE: EQTBefore Market Open
FirstEnergyNYSE: FEBefore Market Open
GAMMA HLDG NVGAMMA.ASTime Not Supplied
GefranGE.MITime Not Supplied
Gold Fields LimitedNYSE: GFIBefore Market Open
GrahamNYSE: GHMBefore Market Open
HaemoneticsNYSE: HAEBefore Market Open
Hearst-Argyle Television, Inc.NYSE: HTVBefore Market Open
HMS Holdings CorpNasdaq: HMSYBefore Market Open
Ingersoll-Rand Co. Ltd.NYSE: IR07:00 am ET
Ingles Markets, IncorporatedNasdaq: IMKTABefore Market Open
Iowa Telecommunications Services IncNYSE: IWABefore Market Open
Italcementi SPAIT.MITime Not Supplied
JARDINE CYCLE & CARRIAGE LTDJCYCF.PKTime Not Supplied
Jardine Lloyd Thompson Group PLCJLT.LTime Not Supplied
JCDecauxDEC.PABefore Market Open
KBR, Inc.NYSE: KBR11:00 am ET
LibbeyNYSE: LBYTime Not Supplied
Linde AGLIN.FTime Not Supplied
MEISEI ELECTRIC CO LTDMSRCF.PKAfter Market Close
NavarreNasdaq: NAVRAfter Market Close
Negri BossiNGB.MITime Not Supplied
Nissan Motor Co. Ltd.Nasdaq: NSANY02:50 am ET
NITTO KAKO CO LTDNKKLF.PK01:00 am ET
Nortel NetworksNYSE: NTBefore Market Open
NUVO RESEARCH INCNRI.TOTime Not Supplied
NYSE EuronextNYSE: NYXBefore Market Open
OneBeacon Insurance GroupNYSE: OBBefore Market Open
Oshkosh CorporationNYSE: OSKBefore Market Open
OTRUM ASAOTR.OLBefore Market Open
Pargesa Holding SAPRGAF.PKTime Not Supplied
Peapack-Gladstone Financial CorporationNYSE: PGCTime Not Supplied
PPL CorporationNYSE: PPLBefore Market Open
Premuda S.p.A.PR.MITime Not Supplied
PSEGNYSE: PEGBefore Market Open
RAIT Financial TrustNYSE: RASBefore Market Open
SCANA CorporationNYSE: SCGTime Not Supplied
SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC S ASBGSF.PKBefore Market Open
StatoilHydro ASANYSE: STO02:00 am ET
Sun MicrosystemsNasdaq: JAVABefore Market Open
SYSTRAN SARAN.PATime Not Supplied
Tasty Baking CompanyNasdaq: TSTYTime Not Supplied
TEMBEC INCTMB.TOAfter Market Close
The Washington Post CompanyNYSE: WPOTime Not Supplied
TidewaterNYSE: TDWBefore Market Open
TotalNYSE: TOT02:00 am ET
TRIPEP ABTPEP.STTime Not Supplied
Tsakos Energy Navigation LimitedNYSE: TNPBefore Market Open
UCB S.AUCB.BRTime Not Supplied
Vianini IndustriaVIN.MITime Not Supplied
WILH WILHELMSEN ASAWWI.OLTime Not Supplied
Winbond Electronics Corporation2344.TWTime Not Supplied


* Wall Street Greek has not reviewed, and in no way endorses the validity of earnings time of report data or the accuracy of ticker symbols. Wall Street Greek shall not be liable for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website. Article interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX, Alberto-Culver (NYSE: ACV), American Safety Insurance (NYSE: ASI), Amgen (Nasdaq: AMGN), Analysts Int'l (Nasdaq: ANLY), Angiotech Pharma (Nasdaq: ANPI), Atheros Communications (Nasdaq: ATHR), Authentec (Nasdaq: AUTH), B&G Foods (NYSE: BGF), Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (NYSE: BBV), Bancolatinamericano (NYSE: BLX), Bank of Hawaii (NYSE: BOH), Banner Corp. (Nasdaq: BANR), Bluegreen (NYSE: BXG), Boardwalk Pipeline (NYSE: BWP), Cal-Maine Foods (Nasdaq: CALM), CF Industries (NYSE: CF), CH Energy (NYSE: CHG), Chemed Corp. (NYSE: CHE), Chemical Financial (Nasdaq: CHFC), China Bak Battery (Nasdaq: CBAK), Choice Hotels (NYSE: CHH), CNA Financial (NYSE: CNA), Cognex (Nasdaq: CGNX), Community Health (NYSE: CYH), Compass Minerals (NYSE: CMP), Crane (NYSE: CR), Duccomun (NYSE: DCO), Education Realty Trust (NYSE: EDR), Empresas ICA (NYSE: ICA), Enbridge Energy (NYSE: EEQ), ev3 (Nasdaq: EVVV), FEMSA (NYSE: FMX), First Advantage (Nasdaq: FADV), Franklin Electric (Nasdaq: FELE), Gehl (Nasdaq: GEHL), General Employment Enterprises (NYSE: JOB), Groupo Aeroportuario (NYSE: PAC), Grupo TMM (NYSE: TMM), Harmonic (Nasdaq: HLIT), Hartford Financial (NYSE: HIG), HDFC Bank (NYSE: HDB), Heartland Financial (Nasdaq: HTLF), HickoryTech (Nasdaq: HTCO), Interactive Intelligence (Nasdaq: ININ), Intevac (Nasdaq: IVAC), Iris Int'l (Nasdaq: IRIS), JDA Software (Nasdaq: JDAS), Kookmin Bank (NYSE: KB), Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT), Ladish (Nasdaq: LDSH), Loews (NYSE: L), Lorillard (NYSE: LO), Maguire Properties (NYSE: MPG), Manitowoc (NYSE: MTW), Meadowbrook Insurance (NYSE: MIG), Meritage Homes (NYSE: MTH), Metavante Technologies (NYSE: MV), Microtune (Nasdaq: TUNE), Mine Safety Appliances (NYSE: MSA), NBT Bancorp (Nasdaq: NBTB), Network Equipment (NYSE: NWK), Old National Bancorp (NYSE: ONB), Owens & Minor (NYSE: OMI), Par Technology (NYSE: PTC), PartnerRe (NYSE: PRE), Phase Forward Inc. (Nasdaq: PFWD), Plumb Creek Timber (NYSE: PCL), PLX Tech (Nasdaq: PLXT), PrePaid Legal (NYSE: PPD), PRG-Schultz (Nasdaq: PRGX), Provident Bancorp (Nasdaq: PBNY), Provident Financial (Nasdaq: PROV), Questar (NYSE: STR), Ralcorp (NYSE: RAH), Rent-A-Center (Nasdaq: RCII), Rock-Tenn (NYSE: RKT), Scopus Video (Nasdaq: SCOP), Secure Computing (Nasdaq: SCUR), Simon Property Group (NYSE: SPG), SIMTEK (Nasdaq: SMTK), SL Green Realty (NYSE: SLG), Smurfit-Stone Container (Nasdaq: SSCC), SOHU.com (Nasdaq: SOHU), Solutia (NYSE: SOA), Spherion (NYSE: SFN), Tata Communications (NYSE: TCL), Texas Roadhouse (Nasdaq: TXRH), TGC Industries (NYSE: TGE), The Mosaic Co. (NYSE: MOS), Navigators Group (Nasdaq: NAVG), Trident Microsystems (Nasdaq: TRID), Tyson Foods (NYSE: TSN), Ultra Clean Hldgs (Nasdaq: UCTT), United America Indemnity (Nasdaq: INDM), United Fire (Nasdaq: UFCS), Universal Health (NYSE: UHS), Veeco Instruments (Nasdaq: VECO), Verizon (NYSE: VZ), Vimicro Int'l (Nasdaq: VIMC), Wausau Paper (NYSE: WPP), Websense (Nasdaq: WBSN), Wrigley (NYSE: WWY), Wright Medical Group (Nasdaq: WMGI) and Zoran (Nasdaq: ZRAN).

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Saturday, July 26, 2008

Week in Video - July 21 - 27

Welcome to the latest edition of "Week in Video Review." We've compiled for you some 70 videos we feel define the week that was. There's plenty of Obama's international tour covered here, along with the week's financial market news and other important events... plus the wonderful comedy of The Late Late Show's Craig Ferguson. Enjoy! If you cannot see the video where you are, you'll have to visit our site through the link here: Wall Street Greek.



As always, the opinions expressed within the videos may not agree with those of Wall Street Greek. Article interests NYSE: F, Nasdaq: YHOO, NYSE: WB, NYSE: WM, NYSE: DAI, NYSE: GM, Nasdaq: SIRI, Nasdaq: XMSR, Nasdaq: AMZN, NYSE: MCD, NYSE: WMT, Nasdaq: COST, AMEX: DIA, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: FNM, NYSE: FRE. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.
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Friday, July 25, 2008

Lucky Hand Investing and Index Benchmarking

By Tim Poulus
Tech & Telecom
,
lucky hand investing index benchmarking
I have some unfinished business to attend to. In my first column, "What is Value?," I presented DCF (discounted cash flow) modeling as the best way to value assets. In the second, "DCF Valuation Improves Naive Value and Growth Strategies," I focused on multiples-based valuation (or other quantitative methods) as a tool for managers who are tracking a large set of stocks and simply have no time to do a DCF on each individual title. It is a suboptimal method that really makes no sense when you look at individual stocks. But from a statistical point of view, it could be a way to at least beat the average.

So now we can tie some loose ends together. When you work with multiples, your valuation will only make sense on an aggregated level, not on an individual level. So, to say that a stock is undervalued because its P/E is low, is just plain dumb. But maybe you have a method to link P/E values to performance, in which case the best you can hope for is to beat the average by selecting a portfolio using this method. And the average, as we all know, is... the relative index!

"And the average, as we all know, is… the relative index!"


My next observation is that, yes, it does make sense to benchmark, or track an index. This is at least true for investors who resort to using multiples instead of "decent" DCF models. If they feel they have some sound quantitative rule (linking a multiple to outperformance), they can expect to beat the index.

Unfortunately however, academics teach us that it is not possible to outperform the market (on a risk adjusted basis). So why benchmark? Well, first of all, this is an entrenched method. People have come to expect it from their managers. Above all however, statistics will allow individual investors to have a "lucky hand," and outperform the market for a number of years. There will even be some outliers who may be lucky for a very long time. And as they say: "In the long term, we're all dead," so who cares about mean reversion?

Finally, why doesn’t everybody do decent DCF models? To start with, as I stated before, people may not have the time or knowledge to do it, especially when they have to cover a large set of stocks. Secondly, they may believe that "traditional" investing works better for them, secretly hoping to be an "outlier" of sorts. And finally, if DCF is all there is to go by, how do you locate undervalued stocks among the thousands of stocks listed on dozens of exchanges worldwide?

Now that is a question that I will leave to our readers to think about.

Article interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: SDS, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX, AMEX: QLD, NYSE: DCF. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.
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Thursday, July 24, 2008

Is China Ready for a Post Olympic Downturn?

china Olympics games
By Guneet Singh Sahni
Emerging Markets Asia
:

Last week, China reported its first half of '08 GDP growth ran at a rate of 10.4% Y/Y, the slowest pace seen over the last 3 years. Relatively speaking though, it was still one of the highest among the world's economies. Going forward, we have to ask how long China can sustain its double digit growth rate? High overall inflation, rising commodity prices and slowing exports are expected to put the brakes on the Asian giant.

On the other hand, the Olympics will give the economy a short-term boost by increasing aggregate demand. However, a Bank of China survey of the last 12 Olympic Games shows most host nation economies have suffered a post Olympic economic downturn, which has been termed by economists as – "Valley Effect."

Japan and South Korea, which were enjoying double-digit growth in the period running up to Olympics, slowed down by more than 2% Y/Y after the Tokyo Olympics in 1964 and the Seoul Olympics in 1988, respectively. So we wonder if China is equipped to ward off the Valley Effect.

Tightening monetary conditions are already expected to cool an overheated economy. We believe that the solution to Chinese problems of speculative high capital inflows, falling exports and high inflation best lie in a "soft landing" of the economy rather than a steep fall.

China Equity Market Briefing

The government’s economic policies led to a cooling down of GDP growth for the fourth straight quarter, which recorded a growth rate of 10.1% Y/Y in second quarter. This represented a 0.5% sequential decline. The Consumer Price Index rose 7.1% in June, down from 7.7% in May. This slower growth led to the biggest drop in the yuan in seven weeks; expectations grew that the government will slow the currency appreciation to protect exporters. Despite the slowdown, the economy’s growth is in line with the government’s primary target, which is to prevent an overheating of the economy.

China has witnessed increased investment in infrastructure ahead of the Olympics, which will boost the productivity of its economy. Additionally increased tourist inflow will lead to higher consumption and demand for goods and services. However, after the Olympics ends, the biggest challenge for the government will be to ensure a soft landing of economic activity and not a sharp drop. The biggest challenge for the Chinese government will be to balance its tightening monetary policy and investment in the Olympics, so that the slowdown from monetary policies and post Olympics syndrome don’t lead to a sharp downfall.

World class infrastructure to boost growth

In preparation for the Olympics, China has invested nearly $40 billion in infrastructure from 2002 to 2006. This will help it to maintain its productivity in terms of better connectivity and transport after the Olympics. High investment and consumption will boost aggregate demand. We note that the Chinese economy, despite its size, has been growing strongly before Olympics effect, and so the percentage increase in economic activity as a result of the Olympics Games should be relatively small as compared to the aggregate increase.

Sporting facilities and the "White Elephant" effect

Beijing has been forced to reduce other infrastructure projects in order to concentrate on the construction of sports venues. Athens and other host city Olympic stadiums have gone mostly useless after their Olympic games... This has been termed by economists as the "White Elephant Effect." Beijing plans to convert these venues to serve residents as sports and entertainment facilities. As per the Director of the National Economic Research Institute at the China Reform Foundation, Beijing's investment to build sports venues and other infrastructure accounted for a mere 3% of the country's total investment in fixed assets.

Tourism to further put upward pressure on yuan

Beijing expects to receive about 400,000-450,000 overseas tourists during the Olympics, and analysts believe this could bring in $400 million in revenues. A lot of tourists from within China are also expected to arrive, which will also boost consumption. We believe that the tourist influx will put some upward pressure on the yuan apart from spiraling inflation.

Hotels to cash in the Olympics boom

The number of hotels in Beijing has also jumped in recent years since the country reduced hotel ownership restrictions to expand capacity. Starting in 2006, wholly-foreign-owned hotels were permitted to be established. These moves cleared the way for an extensive expansion of foreign-owned hotels and other tourism facilities. The average cost of a hotel room in Beijing was $127 a night in 2007, while the city’s occupancy rate was 70.8%.

However, as per recent reports from the Beijing Tourism Bureau, hotels are facing tough competition due to oversupply that was built just ahead of Olympics. With some exceptions in top end hotels, the industry is also reporting below expected occupancy rates.

Real Estate

The Beijing Tourism Authority predicts the city will be flooded by 3.5 million visitors, both domestic and international, during the games. Hotels and houses for rent are going quickly, and insiders say that rental rates during the Olympics will be 10 times the usual amount. Conscious of the investment opportunity, Beijing residents have been grabbing up as much real estate as possible to prepare.


Thursday's U.S. EPS Reports:


Thursday's abbreviated earnings schedule includes reports from 3M (NYSE: MMM), Abaxis (Nasdaq: ABAX), affymetrix (Nasdaq: AFFX), Alaska Airlines (NYSE: ALK), AmeriSourceBergen (NYSE: ABC), Arctic Cat (Nasdaq: ACAT), Ashland (NYSE: ASH), AutoNation (NYSE: AN), Ball Corp. (NYSE: BLL), Becton, Dickinson (NYSE: BDX), BMC Software (NYSE: BMC), Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY), Brunswick (NYSE: BC), Burlington Northern Sante Fe (NYSE: BNI), Cabot Oil and Gas (NYSE: COG), Cache (Nasdaq: CACH), Cash America Int'l (NYSE: CSH), Celgene (Nasdaq: CELG), Chubb (NYSE: CB), Cohu (Nasdaq: COHU), Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS), Daimler (NYSE: DAI), Diamond Offshore (NYSE: DO), Dover Motorsports (NYSE: DVD), DSP Group (Nasdaq: DSPG), East West Bancorp (Nasdaq: EWBC), Eastman Chemical (NYSE: EMN), Ecolab (NYSE: ECL), Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY), Encana (NYSE: ECA), Federal-Mogul (Nasdaq: FDML), Federated Investors (NYSE: FII), Ford Motor (NYSE: F), Foundry Networks (Nasdaq: FDRY), Franklin Resources (NYSE: BEN), Friedman Billings Ramsey (NYSE: FBR), Global Payments (NYSE: GPN), Goodrich (NYSE: GR), ImClone (Nasdaq: IMCL), J&J Snack Foods (Nasdaq: JJSF), Janus Capital (NYSE: JNS), Juniper Networks (Nasdaq: JNPR), Kennametal (NYSE: KMT), Kimberly Clark (NYSE: KMB), Lab Corp. (NYSE: LH), Level 3 Communications (Nasdaq: LVLT), Mathews Int'l (Nasdaq: MATW), Medco Health (NYSE: MHS), National City (NYSE: NCC), Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM), Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY), Penn National Gaming (Nasdaq: PENN), Pool Corp. (Nasdaq: POOL), Potash Corp. (NYSE: POT), RadioShack (NYSE: RSH), Raytheon (NYSE: RTN), Smith Int'l (NYSE: SII), Taser Int'l (Nasdaq: TASR), The Cheesecake Factory (Nasdaq: CAKE), Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW), Travelzoo (Nasdaq: TZOO), UST (NYSE: UST), VCA Antech (Nasdaq: WOOF), Xerox (NYSE: XRX) and Zebra Technologies (Nasdaq: ZBRA).

Article interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX, Nasdaq: ASIA, Nasdaq: PRASX, AMEX: PUA, AMEX: NWD, Nasdaq: MEAFX, Nasdaq: EBASX, Nasdaq: EVASX, Nasdaq: MACSX, Nasdaq: MATFX, AMEX: CZJ, Nasdaq: CHINA, PCX: FXI, PCX: CYB.

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Ford (NYSE: F) News: F-$1.50 Launch

By "The Greek"


Inspired by poor operating results, dissident investors, soft sales of the Ford (NYSE: F) F-150, and market demand for higher fuel efficient vehicles, America's greatest family run business today announced the launch of the new F-$1.50.

Okay, not really! However, as demand for gas guzzling SUVs and pickup trucks wanes in America, Ford outta consider this shiny yellow model right here. It's lightweight, flexible and runs on Flintstones engineered leg power. Word has it, Ford is already working on the second generation, varmint powered F-$10.50.

The F-$1.50, however, is perfect for the modern day woman (and man) who have both the purse and fitness in mind. This easily produced in China, modern day miracle of pedal and plastic could sell at a huge discount to the recently launched and then pulled back, F-150. Indeed, volume sales of pickups could skyrocket again. At an all-inclusive sticker price of a dollar and fifty cents, you just can't beat it!

And Ford's competitors haven't been sleeping on the new design either. Rumor has it, General Motors (NYSE: GM) is working on its new Plasticado, to replace the Silverado. Toyota (NYSE: TM) is already in production on the new "YouMustBeInAComa" (to buy it) to replace the Tacoma. And what of the "new" market leader in fuel efficient vehicles, Honda (NYSE: HMC)?; well, HMC is about to release the target-market-brand-inspired "UnemploymentLine" to replace the Ridgeline. It's simply a must have for the newly jobless...

The early newspaper reviews are:

Motown MaoTown - "It's kind of a tight fit for a normal sized human being, but it matches the new energy realities of our times."

Detroit Slave to China Press - "At least we can produce it in the States for almost the same cost as in China, especially given the new union contract."

Kerkorianic Times - "This is a visionary creation, exactly what I was talking about."

Article also interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: QLD, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SDS, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.

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Wednesday, July 23, 2008

The Real Estate Bottom is in Place

By Michael Douville
Real Estate Market
,
real estate market bottom price
Things are getting better. Sales are being made. Builder inventory is being cleared. Affordability is returning. A pricing floor has been established at which properties will sell. The bottom is in place. However, let me define the bottom.

The bottom is that price at which an educated, qualified buyer is willing to purchase. Most buyers are educating themselves thoroughly; there is no rush to buy. Although property inventories have stabilized, there has been no drastic drop in homes listed for sale. There is a very large overhang of inventory from which to choose, currently in Phoenix over 50,000 properties. Within that inventory, there are always special situations and distressed properties. At this time, lender owned properties account for 20-30% of the overall inventory and they are aggressively priced.

The overall price drop in Phoenix/Mesa/Scottsdale MSA (Metropolitan Statistical Area), one of the largest new home markets in the nation and one that experienced some of the largest gains, from April 2007 to April 2008, is 18%. The outlying areas have experienced an even greater loss, while more established areas a little less.

Financing is also adding to the price decline. The requirements for lender financing is returning to traditional underwriting standards. Buyers need to be able to qualify for their loan and actually PROVE IT. Although there are still low down mortgages available, particularly with FHA or VA, the underwriting criteria has been more conservative, which has the effect of compressing buyers into lower price ranges.

Also, appraisers are concerned with value and future value resulting in "declining value" appraisals which have a 5% discount deducted. In addition, there are lending caps on these government loans; in traditionally higher priced areas, they offer little relief. Underwriters for the private mortgage insurance companies that insure the portion of conventional loans over 80% are also tightening their requirements. More stringent lender qualifications are removing more buyers from the buy side of the Supply/Demand Equation. In the long run, this is very healthy and contributes to market stability. In the short-run, it adds to lower prices. Construction costs are also lower.

As the new home market contracts, the cost of materials and labor is also dropping. Competitive bidding and softening demand have driven a decline in construction costs of up to 30%. As the price of oil rises and makes the evening news, the price of concrete, lumber, and labor has dropped significantly, and largely goes unnoticed. New prices paid for land have been greatly reduced from prices paid just 2 years ago. The cost of land, development costs, material and labor costs are all combining to reduce new construction costs, thus lowering prices.

Those who rushed to buy during the frenzy and mania of 2004-2006 may be trapped in there homes for the next 24-36 months. The new reality of the real estate market does not care what price the owner paid or how much the loan amount may be. The market does not care, if in the rush to buy, the owner was involved in a bidding war and paid too much... sometimes much too much.

Even though they may want to sell or NEED to sell, the loan amount on many recently purchased properties exceeds the value of the property. In many instances, the reality is that the current owner CANNOT sell. If they remain current, within 36 months, the cycle will have restarted and a recovery in prices should be underway. Until then, the professional asset managers will run off an orderly liquidation of acquired properties... sold at the new price: discounted 20-40% from the bubble top.

The market is stabilizing, but at a much lower price. There will be losses as loans in many cases exceed the value of the properties. However, the demographics of the U.S. market are extremely powerful, and I am confident that within 12-18 months normalcy will return and a new cycle will begin. I expect that those who purchase selectively during this real estate sale will be richly rewarded in 5 years.

Article interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, AMEX: QLD, NYSE: TOL, NYSE: DHI, NYSE: PHM, NYSE: NVR, NYSE: LEN, NYSE: GFA, NYSE: MDC, NYSE: CTX, NYSE: KBH, NYSE: RYL, NYSE: MTH, NYSE: HOV, NYSE: XIN, NYSE: BHS, NYSE: SPF, NYSE: MHO, NYSE: BZH, Nasdaq: AVTR, NYSE: OHB and NYSE: WCI. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.

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Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) News - No He Didn't!?!

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I was all ready to prepare a pre-market report this morning, when some news I saw on Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) got me so riled up I had to throw my TV out the window.

By "The Greek"

Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) Downgraded Today

The most interesting report to mull over today occurred last night. That of course was the bubonic plague diagnosis provided for Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM). Hey, you gotta love that analyst that downgraded WM this morning! Thanks brother, you're really adding value... I think I would downgrade him to the mail room. I mean seriously, his timing was absolutely horrible? He went from neutral to sell today, after what appears to be a four and a half year neutral position if this Yahoo Rating Change Calendar is correct. Yes, neutral through the strongest housing/mortgage market in history and then into the most disastrous period in history, thereby missing huge profits in both directions. And, now you go to sell? Why follow this company at all? I invite commentary to clarify if this data, seen at Yahoo, is correct. I want to give these guys every chance here.

Trying to Find Logic in the Midst of Chaos

I'll tell you what I thought he was thinking before looking deeper into this and without having read his note. It seemed like he was basically looking for an overly penalized (in italics because it's my presumption of his view) WM to find buyers on the news, after selling on the rumor AND NEWS for that matter! Well, that wouldn't be such a stretch after what we witnessed in Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) and Citigroup (NYSE: C) and the Financial Sector (AMEX: XLF) on the whole last week.

Before knowing how long he held his neutral view, I thought his cut implied he probably now believes WM is going to zero. I don't think this anymore though! The analyst's previous neutral rating turned out to be correct, but probably not correct over the time span his firm held it - if I'm seeing the data right... it looks like the firm has held a neutral ranking on WM since December of 2003! Zzzzzzzzzzzz

"He's not alone though in today's rush of brilliant gold miners to Fort Knox."

He's not alone though in today's rush of brilliant gold miners to Fort Knox. Another analyst cut his price target to $4 from $8, which better fits the "underperform" opinion that I believe he has on the stock (currently priced at $6 and change), according to Yahoo's Upgrade/Downgrade calendar. That said, the new information offered investors in the EPS report offers potentially good reason for any change. We make changes on insight gathered after exposure to new information, and it's possible to look bad when doing so.

Still, here's a little Wall Street insight you won't get anywhere else. Sometimes, actually often in what my poor innocent eyes have witnessed, analysts fit their target to match their opinion, rather than guiding their opinion by their supposedly scientifically devised price target... Ah Professor, the real world is quite different than Valuation 101 taught me, and it makes me sick. That's what my long-term goals are all about, offering a viable solution for investors, or at least a voice for the common man.


WM is up 4.8% this morning... so this analyst should be hiding under his desk or walking around the office with his shoulders lifted and a shocked expression painted on to cover up his dismay. Heck, even if the company goes bankrupt, there would be no excuse for a four-year hold rating on WM, a dynamic stock in a volatile market during that span.

There's Another Possibility

If the Yahoo Upgrade/Downgrade Calendar is incorrect (and this is important), here's another possibility of what might have happened. Post the morbid news, either this guy was so worried about his job that he panicked, or was directly told, "downgrade that dog," that he did. This happens.... I heard it more than once from a few clueless fear-mongers who use to attempt to hold kingdom over me. And not everyone is as stubborn (perhaps stupid) as me in upholding moral and ethical values regarding fiduciary responsibility over the orders of their bosses. So, I conclude by noting, since we're not wearing another man's shoes, let's offer the benefit of the doubt because there are many possibilities. Even so, I can say with certainty that these kind of things really happen.

Wednesday's EPS Schedule (abbreviated):

Aflac Inc. (NYSE: AFL), Agnico-Eagle Mines (NYSE: AEM), Airgas (NYSE: ARG), Alcon (NYSE: ACL), Allegheny Tech (NYSE: ATI), Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN), Amdocs (NYSE: DOX), Ameriprise Fin'l (NYSE: AMP), Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD), Ariba (Nasdaq: ARBA), AT&T (NYSE: T), ATMI (Nasdaq: ATMI), Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), C.R. Bard (NYSE: BCR), Cabot (NYSE: CBT), Cadence Design Systems (Nasdaq: CDNS), CEMEX (NYSE: CX), CEVA (Nasdaq: CEVA), Charlotte Russe (Nasdaq: CHIC), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG), Cirrus Logic (Nasdaq: CRUS), Citrix Systems (Nasdaq: CTXS), Cobra Electronics (Nasdaq: COBR), Compuware (Nasdaq: CPWR), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), Convergys (NYSE: CVG), Digi Int'l (Nasdaq: DIGI), DPL, Inc. (NYSE: DPL), EMC (NYSE: EMC), Energen (NYSE: EGN), Ethan Allen (NYSE: ETH), Fair Isaac (NYSE: FIC), FBR Capital Markets (Nasdaq: FBCM), General Dynamics (NYSE: GD), Genzyme (Nasdaq: GENZ), GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE: GSK), Grammercy Capital (NYSE: GCC), GSI Commerce (Nasdaq: GSIC), Ikanos (Nasdaq: IKAN), JAKKS Pacific (Nasdaq: JAKK), LSI Corp. (NYSE: LSI), Mattson Tech (Nasdaq: MTSN), McDonald's (NYSE: MCD), McKesson (NYSE: MCK), MEMC Electronics (NYSE: WFR), Nutrisystem (Nasdaq: NTRI), Nuvelo (Nasdaq: NUVO), OSI Pharma (Nasdaq: OSIP), P.F. Chang's China Bistro (Nasdaq: PFCB), Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU), PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP), Pfizer (NYSE: PFE), Philip Morris (NYSE: PM), Praxair (NYSE: PX), Precision Drilling (NYSE: PDS), Pulte Homes (NYSE: PHM), Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM), Robert Half (NYSE: RHI), Ryland (NYSE: RYL), Sanmina-SCI (Nasdaq: SANM), SEI Investments (Nasdaq: SEIC), Sketchers (NYSE: SKX), Susquehanna Bancshares (Nasdaq: SUSQ), Teradyne (NYSE: TER), Terex (NYSE: TEX), Allstate (NYSE: ALL), Boeing (NYSE: BA), Hershey (NYSE: HSY), New York Times (NYSE: NYT), Travelers (NYSE: TRV), Torchmark (NYSE: TMK), Tractor Supply (Nasdaq: TSCO), Tupperware (NYSE: TUP), Varian Medical (NYSE: VAR), W.R. Grace (NYSE: GRA), WellPoint (NYSE: WLP), Whirlpool (NYSE: WHR) and Wyeth (NYSE: WYE).

Article interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: QLD, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: DOG, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.

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Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Indian Markets Show Confidence

By Guneet Singh Sahni
Emerging Markets Asia
:

India Equity Market Briefing
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The Indian market bounced back with a vengeance in the last two days of last week, with the Sensex gaining more than 1,000 points during that period. The move was supported by frenzied buying of battered financial stocks and short covering after four straight days of catastrophic fall.

Banking stocks that had been hammered over the last few weeks, found support in the last two days. Lower than expected inflation data, a 10% decline in the price of oil and market confidence in the ruling UPA government's ability to withstand this week's trust vote, provided the much needed impetus to decouple the Sensex from its Asian peers. Short covering was also evident in the last two days of rally, which saw a sudden reversal in the Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) trend.

WPI remains at 13-year high

The Wholesale Price Index (WPI) for the week ended 5th July, 2008, increased by 11.91% Y/Y, against the market expectation of 12.05%. This pleasant surprise came from slow growth in the Primary Article Price Index, which increased by 9.92%, against 10.84% the previous week. Manufactured Products were up 10.8%, while the Fuel Price Index was up 16.9%. Though the prices of primary articles have gone down, which would seem to be a positive sign, we believe that this is a short-lived respite. We say this because of our view that below-average monsoon activity will show impact on food crops and other non-food items. The Indian Meteorological Department measured rainfall for the week ending 16th July at 19% below normal. Therefore the present lower-than-expected inflation figure cannot be taken as a sign of inflation petering out. Also, steel prices, which have been kept artificially low by government intervention, are expected to increase to offset high input cost. In our article last week, "Asian Growth Engines Face Challenges and Stiff Inflation," we mentioned that the RBI expects inflation to touch 13%.

Foreign Institutional Investors remain net sellers

Short covering was witnessed in the last two days of the week, which was evident from a sudden trend reversal of FII. FIIs have sold shares worth Rs 2,235.70 crore so far in the month of July. They have sold shares worth Rs 27,701 crore for the calendar year 2008. Mutual funds have bought shares worth Rs 522.90 crore in the month of July. Consequently, the severe fall in the market since January has proven once again that the Indian market is FII driven and the domestic funds and household savings have a long way to go to support the market on their own. We believe that the Indian market has slowed down to a more sustainable level than earlier this year, not to say it could not be pulled down further by this trend of decline in capital flows and rising commodity prices.

Markets Ahead

The coming week is going to be very crucial for the Indian market as India’s largest private company, Reliance Industries (NSE: RELIANCE.NS), which constitutes a 16% weight in the Sensex, reports its quarterly results. Also, the government will have to prove its majority on the floor of the Parliament. Earnings season has so far shown Indian corporate balance sheets at strained levels, facing severe pressure from forex losses and high commodity prices. The positive factor remains that year-on-year revenue growth continues to be robust, which indicates that demand for goods and services have not been affected so far. The IT sector was battered last week, on account of a weak demand outlook for fiscal 2008. This is because banks in the U.S. delayed orders to manage computer networks as they grapple with the collapse of the subprime mortgage market.

Market activity for the following week includes:

Monday

Monday starts with the normal trickling of April-June quarterly results from Maruti Suzuki India (Bombay: 532500.BO), Dr Reddy’s Laboratories (NYSE:RDY), Steel Authority of India (NSE: SAIL.NS), Tech Mahindra (NSE: TECHM.NS), Bharat Heavy Electricals, Canara Bank (NSE: CANBK.NS) and Housing Development and Infrastructure (NSE: HDIL.NS).

Tuesday – Where will the magic number come from?

The political frenzy reached its utmost peak with the largest democracy in the world going in for a no trust motion, where the ruling UPA government had to prove its majority. In a 542 effective strength parliament, the ruling UPA needed a majority of 271 members to remain in power. Up until the time of writing this report, a leading India based news channel claimed that the ruling alliances had garnered support of 262 members and the opposition numbers stacked up to 268 members. It would be a last minute thriller, as the vote of 12 undecided members were to determine the fate of the markets, and the government. The market expected the government to survive, and it did. On the flip side, if the government failed to prove its majority, there would likely have been a free fall in the market.

The market has rallied on the UPA government's survival, which in effect is expected to bring reforms in the banking and insurance sector. The day also saw quarterly results from Asian Paints (NSE: ASIANPAIN.NS), IDBI Bank (Bombay: 500116.BO) and Siemens (NYSE: SI).

Wednesday

Wednesday’s earning schedule includes Patni Computer Systems (NYSE:PTI), Shree Renuka Sugars (NSE: RENUKA.NS) and Zee Entertainment Enterprises (Bombay: 505537.BO). Patni Computer’s results will complete the last leg of earnings for major IT companies. India’s largest IT companies – TCS (NSE: TCS.NS), Infosys (Nasdaq:INFY), Wipro (NYSE:WIT) and Satyam (NYSE:SAY) have already announced their results. Infosys' net income climbed 21% Y/Y to $303 million, and net profit climbed 35% Y/Y, in line with the expectations. Wipro and Satyam outperformed their larger peers on higher profit and revenue growth rates that were aided by higher realizations and a depreciating rupee. However, both these stocks took a beating on their weak forecasts for demand from overseas customers. Wipro Ltd., India's third-largest software-services provider, whose clients include General Motors (NYSE: GM), Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) and Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO), slumped after reporting lower-than-estimated earnings growth of 25% Y/Y, as international customers scaled back orders. In my view, the market did not receive any positive cues from the guidance of IT companies. Watch out for our exclusive post earnings IT sector analysis this coming week.

Thursday

Market heavyweights Reliance Industries and Bharti Airtel (Bombay: 532454.BO) will come out with their results on Thursday. Reliance's results will be a key factor to watch, as it is a trend setter in the market. Other reports include ACC, Idea Cellular (NSE: IDEA.NS) and Zee News (NSE: ZEENEWS.NS). WPI Inflation data will be reported at 5:00 PM Indian Standard Time.

Friday

Earnings are due from Hindustan Unilever (NSE: HINDLEV_a.NS), Reliance Power (NSE: RPOWER.NS), Tata Power (NSE: TATAPOWER.NS), ABB Ambuja Cements, Grasim Industries (NSE: GRASIM.NS), and Union Bank of India (NSE: UNIONBANK.NS).

See our "Asian Markets Briefing," in case you missed it.

Full Disclosure: Mr. Sahni holds 10 shares of Infosys, 5 shares of Bharti Airtel and 21 shares of reliance power.

Article interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX, Nasdaq: ASIA, Nasdaq: PRASX, AMEX: PUA, AMEX: NWD, Nasdaq: MEAFX, Nasdaq: EBASX, Nasdaq: EVASX, Nasdaq: MACSX, Nasdaq: MATFX, AMEX: CZJ. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.

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Asian Markets Briefing

By Guneet Singh Sahni
Emerging Markets Asia
:

Asian indices fell last week on growth concerns and a shaky financial sector outlook.

If it's not excessive crude prices, then it's the slowdown fear and shaky financial sector cues from the U.S. that lead Asia... and this past week to another decline in Asian markets. Asian markets extended their losing streak, with most of the indices ending in the red on the back of declines in the stocks of oil refiners and on fear of an economic slowdown thanks to the Chinese GDP data. The markets crashed in the beginning of the week on reports by CLSA that the Bank of China may own about $20 billion of poisonous debt issued by Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE), representing two-thirds of the total holdings among the six largest Chinese banks.

The Nikkei dropped 1.8% or 236 points; the Hang Seng declined 1.4% or 310 points; the Strait Times slid by 2.7% or 79 points; the CSI 300 index fell by 4.7% or 138 points and Taiwan was weighed down by 6.3%. The exception was India’s BSE Sensex, which made a gain of 1.2% or 165 points on the back of short covering and frenzied buying in already battered financial stocks.

Asian corporates have so far shown clear signs of weakness in their earnings reports, as they face the heat from higher borrowing costs, slowing exports and a shaky investment spending outlook.

Article interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: DOG, Nasdaq: QQQQ, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: ASIA, Nasdaq: PRASX, AMEX: PUA, AMEX: NWD, Nasdaq: MEAFX, Nasdaq: EBASX, Nasdaq: EVASX, Nasdaq: MACSX, Nasdaq: MATFX, AMEX: CZJ. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.
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Premarket: Media's New Darling, Paulson

henry paulson hank britney spears media darlingThe media has a new darling, a new star the paparazzi cannot ignore. But, the new and the old are not all that different are they... same hair style, same love for music. Yeah baby! The pre-market report is back!

By "The Greek"

Major index futures look lower across the board this morning, but only mildly so.

We're enthused to relaunch our pre-market report, once called "Morning Coffee" and "Wake Up Call." You asked for it, you deserve and need it, and we're ready to provide it. However, we're just going to stick with the less-jazzy title "Pre-Market Report for now folks, if you don't mind.

Corporate News Driving the Day

We had a series of earnings reports this morning. The news flow was about 50/50, with half noting decent news and the other half, balding on the balance sheet.

Wachovia (NYSE: WB) is down heavy in the pre-market, after reporting a huge loss of $8.9 billion on $6.1 billion of write-downs. However, even excluding those one-timers, WB still missed expectations. Furthermore, the firm slashed its dividend 87%, this after cutting it 41% in April. While the action may enthuse bond holders, as it better insures the solvency of the company and its ability to pay its obligations, it's a signal of further tough times ahead for equity holders. WB also fired 6,350 folk, not good for greater America either. Nonetheless, the shares were down 9% in the pre-market. Optimists are arguing that the new CEO is cleaning house to set a low bar for himself, and limit future risk. If this is so, and you are confident in WB's balance sheet and potential (we have not looked), then this might offer a buying opportunity. Certainly, Vikram Pandit at Citigroup (NYSE: C) would have been better served employing this kind of strategy, and "The Greek" himself would employ it if I was in the role of new CEO.

American Express (NYSE: AXP) reported sad news last evening that sent the dollar free falling on renewed recession concerns. AXP is down 11% in the pre-market, after reporting Q2 EPS that were 38% short of the prior year result, and more importantly, well-below the street estimate. AXP is suppose to be the credit card of the rich and famous, so this news combines with reports of prime mortgage loans souring, and offers evidence that the broader economy is flailing. Clearly, while the report is bad for AXP shareholders it portends even worse news for firms like Capital One Financial (NYSE: COF).

Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) reported strong results, with earnings rising 31%, 11 cents ahead of consensus; but the shares are down 9% in the pre-market, on concerns about the health of Apple's iconic leader, Steve Jobs. Truly, nobody can argue with the fact that Jobs represents corporate America's most important leader, and if ever there were value in a stock tied to its leader, it's in Apple. This is one of those intangibles folks. It's often missed by many naive analysts too caught up in the numbers to give the common logic consideration; it takes a special analyst to recognize the value of an intangible. This is clear characterization of the art within investing, which is of course comprised of both art and science.

Other Reports

A slew of companies reported weaker year-to-year results that still beat analysts estimates, including UnitedHealth (NYSE: UNH) and Halliburton (NYSE: HAL). DuPont (NYSE: DD) also exceeded views, and looks to be up in early trading.

Economic Reports

The ICSC-UBS Weekly Same-Store Sales data showed a strong (stellar in fact) growth of 2.5%. But, before you go out and buy a bottle of top shelf champagne, remember folks, the stimulus checks just finished significant distribution. It should take a week or two more before the rest of you burn that cash like "The Greek" did on a month's supply of potatoes. Remember, the entrepreneurial Greek survives on a diet of potatoes, and now bananas as well. So, we expect the ICSC growth figures to begin heading back downward, toward the poor levels we saw in February.

Secretary Paulson for President!

How about this guy?! Compare Paulson's steady, firm leadership, strong conviction of tone and fearlessness against the meanies in Congress, to say, Ben Bernanke's squeaky, trembling testimonies before the dodo-birds on the Congressional panels. This guy is Reaganess. He's a general, a warrior, infallible. We can at least say he's working his tail off, and doing his best to keep the economy afloat and fix the wrongs. It's too early to say if he'll be good at foresight, and weed out tomorrow's failings before they impact us. But, he's good at clean up.

Here's what Paulson said today... Basically, he offered a vote of confidence, sort of a pep talk for the financial markets. It really was reminiscent of Ronald Reagan's uplifting addresses to the nation. He focused on two priorities, market stability and confidence. Paulson said that further difficulties lie ahead, but that he encouraged financial institutions to sure up capital by reducing dividends and raising new funds.

He said that in the future, intensified regulation and market discipline would prove the most important features of his tenure, to insure stable markets. He said that companies must fail in order to realize the penalties of risk-taking, but he also said the actions to aid Bear Stearns were called for. He discussed IndyMac's failure, the third largest bank failure in our nation's history. He noted that even so, NYSE: IMB represented only 0.2% of the nations banking assets. He reassured Americans on the safety of their insured deposits. He reminded us that the FDIC reports 99% of American banks are well-capitalized. He also urged Congress to pass the housing bill before them tomorrow.

You get the picture... it was a pep-talk. However, this is a far cry from last year's cheerleading that went on as Paulson, Bernanke and Bush tried to make us believe everything was okay. They thought they might prevent disaster by pretending it didn't exist. We can't really forgive Hank for that.

Philly Fed President Plosser also spoke this morning, and he's a notorious hawk. However, Paulson muted him with his address. Oil looks steady, but the dollar is weaker on economic concerns.

Remaining Morning's EPS Releases

Tuesday's scheduled morning EPS reports include news from AK Steel (NYSE: AKS), Anixter Int'l (NYSE: AXE), Arbitron (NYSE: ARB), Autoliv (NYSE: ALV), Avery Dennison (NYSE: AVY), Baker Hughes (NYSE: BHI), Biogen Idec (Nasdaq: BIIB), BJ Services (NYSE: BJS), Canadian Pacific Railway (NYSE: CP), CardioNet (Nasdaq: BEAT), Carlisle Cos. (NYSE: CSL), Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), Celanese (NYSE: CE), Centene (NYSE: CNC), Check Point Software (Nasdaq: CHKP), Chicago Mercantile Exchange (NYSE: CME), Corn Products (NYSE: CPO), Domino's (NYSE: DPZ), DuPont (NYSE: DD), Fifth Third Bancorp (Nasdaq: FITB), First Security Group (Nasdaq: FSGI), Forest Laboratories (NYSE: FRX), Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX), Frontier Financial (Nasdaq: FTBK), Hexcel Corp. (NYSE: HXL), IberiaBank (Nasdaq: IBKC), ICON Plc (Nasdaq: ICLR), Imation (NYSE: IMN), Jacobs Engineering (NYSE: JEC), Journal Communications (NYSE: JRN), Kelly Services (Nasdaq: KELYA), Millicom Int'l (Nasdaq: MICC), Neogen (Nasdaq: NEOG), NVR (NYSE: NVR), Omnicom (NYSE: OMC), Pentair (NYSE: PNR), PepsiAmericas (NYSE: PAS), Precision Castparts (NYSE: PCP), Quest Diagnostics (NYSE: DGX), Rayonier (NYSE: RYN), Regions Financial (NYSE: RF), Rockwell Automation (NYSE: ROK), Royal Caribbean Cruises (NYSE: RCL), Sterling Bancshares (Nasdaq: SBIB), SunTrust (NYSE: STI), Supervalu (NYSE: SVU), LM Ericsson Telephone (Nasdaq: ERIC), Tellabs (Nasdaq: TLAB), The Stanley Works (NYSE: SWK), Trinity Biotech (Nasdaq: TRIB), UAL Corp. (Nasdaq: UAUA), United Parcels Service (NYSE: UPS), UnitedHealth (NYSE: UNH), Wachovia (NYSE: WB), Waters Corp. (NYSE: WAT), Webster Financial (NYSE: WBS), Western Union (NYSE: WU), Whitney Holding (Nasdaq: WTNY), Wilshire State Bank (Nasdaq: WIBC) and XTO Energy (NYSE: XTO).

Article also interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.

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Monday, July 21, 2008

This Week - Kung Fu Diplomacy


"The Greek's Week Ahead" has been engineered to provide investors with a market-moving event planner they can refer to throughout the week. In case you missed it over the weekend, you might want to catch our weekly wrap up, "Week in Review - Government Sponsored Destruction." We would also like to remind you about our newest creation, (stock) Market Moving News, where we hope you'll visit daily to see each day's market moving events.

By "The Greek"

In case you thought Hank Paulson had set the market straight last week, and that everything would be silky smooth this week, well wake up sister! While you soaked in the sea and the sun over the sweltering weekend, Iran punched the U.S. in the mouth. Perhaps annoyed by the silent presence of Under Secretary Burns at its meeting with EU representatives, Iran made a clear statement to the world. Modern day Persia will not be halting uranium enrichment any time soon, nor does it ever plan to succumb to the whims of the United States and Israel. Hold on a second while we take a break to reinforce the bunker...

I wonder if it's a bad idea to let the entirety of the blogosphere know we've got a stock of canned goods and bottled water over here on the Upper East... Don't get any ideas should the chaos break out though, as "The Greek" knows karate, and a few more Greek words. You see, karate is derived from the Grenglish, "kara" for cars, and the Greek "te" for what. You see, it means "what cars?" since "The Greek" travels by foot, sort of like David Carradine did in "Kung Fu"... (Karate is actually derived from the Japanese, "kara" for empty and "te" for hand).


"Too many economists, research directors and analysts had a whole weekend to try to earn their bonus, and so you might expect a series of new reports on how the GSE situation will play out..."

It's not just Iran we have to worry about this week though. There's an equally despicable foe equity investors might have to deal with shortly. Too many economists, research directors and analysts had a whole weekend to try to earn their bonus, and so you might expect a series of new reports on how the GSE situation will play out. We here at "The Greek" expect Fannie (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie (NYSE: FRE) to work their way toward zero, despite last week's government chicanery. We expect you'll see a few essays saying something like that this week. Remember that Ackman fellow who all the Ambak (NYSE: ABK) and MBIA (NYSE: MBI) longs loved to hate a few months ago, since he had that long-held short view on the two insurers and a report to back it. I wonder what he's up to...

The Week Ahead

Without question, the week's direction should be dictated by the heavy flow of earnings reports from major companies across all industry sectors. The relatively quiet economic schedule includes a tasty stew of economic metrics, measures of confidence and housing data.

Monday

If not for Iran's blatant statement of defiance over the weekend and our expectation for Wall Street news-making, we would have looked for a slow start to the week. On the economic slate, Leading Indicators for the month of June is expected to show a decline 0.1%. The forecasting metric had been on the rise over the prior three months. In other news, Japanese markets will be closed on Monday.

The busy earnings week starts off with news from American Express (NYSE: AXP), Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Merck (NYSE: MRK), Roche (Nasdaq: RHHBY.PK), Schering-Plough (NYSE: SGP), Aladdin Knowledge Systems (Nasdaq: ALDN), Albermarle (NYSE: ALB), America Movil (NYSE: AMX), Ametek (NYSE: AME), Amylin Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: AMLN), Astec Industries (Nasdaq: ASTE), Badger Meter (NYSE: BMI), Boston Scientific (NYSE: BSX), Canadian National Railway (NYSE: CNI), Ceragon Networks (Nasdaq: CRNT), Homex Development (NYSE: HXM), Dr. Reddy's (NYSE: RDY), Eagle Materials (NYSE: EXP), Equifax (NYSE: EFX), Everest Re (NYSE: RE), F.N.B. Corp. (NYSE: FNB), First Defiance Financial (Nasdaq: FDEF), Forward Air (Nasdaq: FWRD), Grupo Radio Centro (NYSE: RC), Hasbro (NYSE: HAS), Hercules (NYSE: HPC), Hifn, Inc. (Nasdaq: HIFN), IDEX (NYSE: IEX), IMS Health (NYSE: RX), Innovex (Nasdaq: INVX), Lacrosse Footwear (Nasdaq: BOOT), Liberty Property Trust (NYSE: LRY), Lincare Holdings (Nasdaq: LNCR), Logitech Int'l (Nasdaq: LOGI), Mindspeed Technologies (Nasdaq: MSPDD), Mohawk Industries (NYSE: MHK), Omnicell (Nasdaq: OMCL), Packaging Corp. of America (NYSE: PKG), PetMed Express (Nasdaq: PETS), Premiere Global Services (NYSE: PGI), QLogic (Nasdaq: QLGC), Radcom (Nasdaq: RDCM), Reinsurance Group of America (NYSE: RGA), RPM Int'l (NYSE: RPM), S&T Bancorp (Nasdaq: STBA), SanDisk (Nasdaq: SNDK), Sierra Bancorp (Nasdaq: BSRR), Southwest Bancorp (Nasdaq: OKSB), StanCorp Financial (NYSE: SFG), Steel Dynamics (Nasdaq: STLD), Sun Bancorp (Nasdaq: SNBC), SunOpta (Nasdaq: STKL), Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN), UnionBanCal (NYSE: UB), Volterra Semiconductor (Nasdaq: VLTR), Washington Federal (Nasdaq: WFSL), Washington Trust (Nasdaq: WASH), Weatherford Int'l (NYSE: WFT), Weis Markets (NYSE: WMK), West Coast Bancorp (Nasdaq: WCBO) and Woodward (Nasdaq: WGOV).

Tuesday

Not that there's any chance of a surprise or market impact from the news, but the State Street Investor Confidence Index will be reported anyway on Tuesday at 10:00 AM. In June, the metric actually ticked up a bit, to 81.4. Even so, we see little chance of upside surprise this month considering just how much risk stocks had priced in up until last Wednesday's turn.

The Treasury Secretary is getting more press coverage than Britney Spears these days, so one has to wonder how long until his world implodes. Wait a second, it already has, so I guess the only question left unanswered is if he's wearing panties or not! Reminder, we are a blog and therefore allowed to be funny and smart at the same time. Look for the Treasury Secretary's comments on the economy and markets at 8:00 AM ET. The fact that this is scheduled, and early, certainly implies another initiative might be in store. Considering the workload Paulson's had to carry over the past year, we give the man credit for enduring like a rock. Philadelphia Fed President Plosser, hawk extraordinaire, takes the hand-off for his own economic presentation at 8:30.

As Barack Obama heads westward, toward the Middle East from Afghanistan, back east, India's government has a hurdle to overcome. You read it here at "The Greek" first, when our Emerging Markets Asia columnist, Guneet Sahni, discussed the pending no confidence vote in his report, "Asian Growth Engines Face Challenges and Stiff Inflation." Guneet's Asian market takes can be found here at the start of each week. The most recent copy is on its way...

Look for the regular ICSC-UBS Weekly Same-Store Sales Report to begin to soften as government stimulus dwindles into the nothingness. The weekly retail take still managed 2.2% year-over-year growth last time around.

Morning EPS Reports

Tuesday's scheduled morning EPS reports include news from AK Steel (NYSE: AKS), Anixter Int'l (NYSE: AXE), Arbitron (NYSE: ARB), Autoliv (NYSE: ALV), Avery Dennison (NYSE: AVY), Baker Hughes (NYSE: BHI), Biogen Idec (Nasdaq: BIIB), BJ Services (NYSE: BJS), Canadian Pacific Railway (NYSE: CP), CardioNet (Nasdaq: BEAT), Carlisle Cos. (NYSE: CSL), Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), Celanese (NYSE: CE), Centene (NYSE: CNC), Check Point Software (Nasdaq: CHKP), Chicago Mercantile Exchange (NYSE: CME), Corn Products (NYSE: CPO), Domino's (NYSE: DPZ), DuPont (NYSE: DD), Fifth Third Bancorp (Nasdaq: FITB), First Security Group (Nasdaq: FSGI), Forest Laboratories (NYSE: FRX), Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX), Frontier Financial (Nasdaq: FTBK), Hexcel Corp. (NYSE: HXL), IberiaBank (Nasdaq: IBKC), ICON Plc (Nasdaq: ICLR), Imation (NYSE: IMN), Jacobs Engineering (NYSE: JEC), Journal Communications (NYSE: JRN), Kelly Services (Nasdaq: KELYA), Millicom Int'l (Nasdaq: MICC), Neogen (Nasdaq: NEOG), NVR (NYSE: NVR), Omnicom (NYSE: OMC), Pentair (NYSE: PNR), PepsiAmericas (NYSE: PAS), Precision Castparts (NYSE: PCP), Quest Diagnostics (NYSE: DGX), Rayonier (NYSE: RYN), Regions Financial (NYSE: RF), Rockwell Automation (NYSE: ROK), Royal Caribbean Cruises (NYSE: RCL), Sterling Bancshares (Nasdaq: SBIB), SunTrust (NYSE: STI), Supervalu (NYSE: SVU), LM Ericsson Telephone (Nasdaq: ERIC), Tellabs (Nasdaq: TLAB), The Stanley Works (NYSE: SWK), Trinity Biotech (Nasdaq: TRIB), UAL Corp. (Nasdaq: UAUA), United Parcels Service (NYSE: UPS), UnitedHealth (NYSE: UNH), Wachovia (NYSE: WB), Waters Corp. (NYSE: WAT), Webster Financial (NYSE: WBS), Western Union (NYSE: WU), Whitney Holding (Nasdaq: WTNY), Wilshire State Bank (Nasdaq: WIBC) and XTO Energy (NYSE: XTO).

Unknown or Afternoon EPS Reports

Tuesday's unknown and evening scheduled reports include Aaron Rents (NYSE: RNT), AEHR Test Systems (Nasdaq: AEHR), Amsurg (Nasdaq: AMSG), Anadigics (Nasdaq: ANAD), Anika Therapeutics (Nasdaq: ANIK), Arlington Tankers (NYSE: ATB), Axsys Technologies (Nasdaq: AXYS), Bank of Florida (Nasdaq: BOFL), Boston Private Financial (Nasdaq: BPFH), Boston Properties (NYSE: BXP), Broadcom (Nasdaq: BRCM), BTU Int'l (Nasdaq: BTUI), C.H. Robinson (Nasdaq: CHRW), Cadence Financial (Nasdaq: CADE), California Micro (Nasdaq: CAMD), Cascade Financial (Nasdaq: CASB), Cavalier Homes (NYSE: CAV), CEC Entertainment (NYSE: CEC), Cerner (Nasdaq: CERN), Commercial Vehicle Group (Nasdaq: CVGI), Computer Task Group (Nasdaq: CTGX), CSG Systems (Nasdaq: CSGS), Cybex Int'l (Nasdaq: CYBI), Delphi Financial (NYSE: DFG), Diamondrock Hospitality (NYSE: DRH), DST Systems (NYSE: DST), Dynex Capital (NYSE: DX), E*Trade Financial (Nasdaq: ETFC), Edwards Lifesciences (NYSE: EW), EPIQ Systems (Nasdaq: EPIQ), First Busey Corp. (Nasdaq: BUSE), First Cash (Nasdaq: FCFS), First Place Financial (Nasdaq: FPFC), Frequency Electronics (Nasdaq: FEIM), Fulton Financial (Nasdaq: FULT), Gentex (Nasdaq: GNTX), Halliburton (NYSE: HAL), Hancock Holding (Nasdaq: HBHC), Harrington West Financial (Nasdaq: HWFG), HealthStream (Nasdaq: HSTM), Heritage Financial (Nasdaq: HFWA), Horizon Financial (Nasdaq: HRZB), iBasis (Nasdaq: IBAS), Illumina (Nasdaq: ILMN), Independent Bank (Nasdaq: IBCP), Infera Corp. (Nasdaq: INFN), Intuitive Surgical (Nasdaq: ISRG), Jefferies Group (NYSE: JEF), JetBlue (Nasdaq: JBLU), KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY), KVH Industries (Nasdaq: KVHI), Lexmark (NYSE: LXK), Linear Tech (Nasdaq: LLTC), Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT), LogicVision (Nasdaq: LGVN), Manhattan Associates (Nasdaq: MANH), Methanex (Nasdaq: MEOH), Midwest Banc (Nasdaq: MBHI), Montpelier Re (NYSE: MRH), Nabors Industries (NYSE: NBR), Nanophase Technology (Nasdaq: NANX), Nara Bancorp (Nasdaq: NARA), Ninetowns Internet (Nasdaq: NINE), Norfolk Southern (NYSE: NSC), O'Reilly Automotive (Nasdaq: ORLY), OptionsXpress (Nasdaq: OXPS), PACCAR (Nasdaq: PCAR), Pactiv (NYSE: PTV), Panera Bread (Nasdaq: PNRA), Parametric Tech (Nasdaq: PMTC), Pervasive Software (Nasdaq: PVSW), Pharmaceutical Product Development (Nasdaq: PPDI), Phoenix Tech (Nasdaq: PTEC), Plantronics (NYSE: PLT), Platinum Underwriters (NYSE: PTP), Preferred Bank (Nasdaq: PFBC), Raymond James (NYSE: RJF), SeaBright Insurance (Nasdaq: SEAB), Seattle Genetics (Nasdaq: SGEN), Sigma-Aldrich (Nasdaq: SIAL), Sterling Financial (Nasdaq: STSA), STMicroelectronics (NYSE: STM), Supertex (Nasdaq: SUPX), Telefonos de Mexico (NYSE: TMX), Tessco (Nasdaq: TESS), The South Fin'l Group (Nasdaq: TSFG), Trustmark (Nasdaq: TRMK), USANA Health (Nasdaq: USNA), USG (NYSE: USG), VMWare (NYSE: VMW), Vocus (Nasdaq: VOCS), Wabtech (NYSE: WAB), Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM), Waste Connections (NYSE: WCN), Waste Services (Nasdaq: WSII), Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO), Zenith National Insurance (NYSE: ZNT) and Zhone Technologies (Nasdaq: ZHNE).

Wednesday

Wednesday's regular economic reports should be interesting this week. The Petroleum Status Report, for one, did an about face last week, as the EIA noted a build in inventory of 3 million barrels. This did not go unnoticed, and when taken with the fact that Chinese GDP growth had cooled more than was expected, it drove oil prices down by 11.2%. Needless to say, commodity traders will be looking for follow through to confirm tangible demand destruction.

The Mortgage Bankers Association's will report its Purchase Applications Report on schedule Wednesday morning. Last week's seasonally adjusted data, adjusting for the holiday in the week before, showed only a modest increase in activity despite a significant drop in long-term rates.

The Federal Reserve will publish its Beige Book of regional economic activity at 2:00 PM ET. It will offer insight into a specific geographic segment of the United States, but the variation in regional economies has diminished as the broader economy slips deeper into decline. Congress is set to vote on a housing market bill that should help to sure up the GSEs a bit by giving them access to cheaper capital.

In New York City, the United Nations is holding an international conference on water, a commodity that might prove more important and scarce than oil soon enough, especially if Al Gore is right. Be sure to see the video of him in our weekly videos.

Due to the number of EPS reports, we will not list all earnings here. Look for each day's full schedule in our "Premarket Report." Some of the day's reports include Aflac Inc. (NYSE: AFL), Agnico-Eagle Mines (NYSE: AEM), Airgas (NYSE: ARG), Alcon (NYSE: ACL), Allegheny Tech (NYSE: ATI), Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN), Amdocs (NYSE: DOX), Ameriprise Fin'l (NYSE: AMP), Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD), Ariba (Nasdaq: ARBA), AT&T (NYSE: T), ATMI (Nasdaq: ATMI), Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), C.R. Bard (NYSE: BCR), Cabot (NYSE: CBT), Cadence Design Systems (Nasdaq: CDNS), CEMEX (NYSE: CX), CEVA (Nasdaq: CEVA), Charlotte Russe (Nasdaq: CHIC), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG), Cirrus Logic (Nasdaq: CRUS), Citrix Systems (Nasdaq: CTXS), Cobra Electronics (Nasdaq: COBR), Compuware (Nasdaq: CPWR), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), Convergys (NYSE: CVG), Digi Int'l (Nasdaq: DIGI), DPL, Inc. (NYSE: DPL), EMC (NYSE: EMC), Energen (NYSE: EGN), Ethan Allen (NYSE: ETH), Fair Isaac (NYSE: FIC), FBR Capital Markets (Nasdaq: FBCM), General Dynamics (NYSE: GD), Genzyme (Nasdaq: GENZ), GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE: GSK), Grammercy Capital (NYSE: GCC), GSI Commerce (Nasdaq: GSIC), Ikanos (Nasdaq: IKAN), JAKKS Pacific (Nasdaq: JAKK), LSI Corp. (NYSE: LSI), Mattson Tech (Nasdaq: MTSN), McDonald's (NYSE: MCD), McKesson (NYSE: MCK), MEMC Electronics (NYSE: WFR), Nutrisystem (Nasdaq: NTRI), Nuvelo (Nasdaq: NUVO), OSI Pharma (Nasdaq: OSIP), P.F. Chang's China Bistro (Nasdaq: PFCB), Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU), PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP), Pfizer (NYSE: PFE), Philip Morris (NYSE: PM), Praxair (NYSE: PX), Precision Drilling (NYSE: PDS), Pulte Homes (NYSE: PHM), Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM), Robert Half (NYSE: RHI), Ryland (NYSE: RYL), Sanmina-SCI (Nasdaq: SANM), SEI Investments (Nasdaq: SEIC), Sketchers (NYSE: SKX), Susquehanna Bancshares (Nasdaq: SUSQ), Teradyne (NYSE: TER), Terex (NYSE: TEX), Allstate (NYSE: ALL), Boeing (NYSE: BA), Hershey (NYSE: HSY), New York Times (NYSE: NYT), Travelers (NYSE: TRV), Torchmark (NYSE: TMK), Tractor Supply (Nasdaq: TSCO), Tupperware (NYSE: TUP), Varian Medical (NYSE: VAR), W.R. Grace (NYSE: GRA), WellPoint (NYSE: WLP), Whirlpool (NYSE: WHR) and Wyeth (NYSE: WYE).

Thursday

Thursday's economic headliner should be the Existing Home Sales Report for the month of June. The 10:00 AM release is expected to show that the annual rate of home sales fell further, to 4.94 million, from 4.99 million in May. Even so, the pace of sales in the largest portion of the housing market would still be above the 4.89 million low seen in January and April of this year. Stay tuned to "The Greek" for Michael Douville's upcoming piece on the real estate market. Look for it on Tuesday afternoon.

Weekly Initial Jobless Claims are seen measuring 375K, versus 366K last week. Claims have ranged from as low as 348K to 404K in recent weeks, portending a further increase in the unemployment rate, which will be reported next week. New York Federal Reserve President Timothy Geithner and SEC Chairman Christopher Cox are scheduled to testify before the House Financial Services Committee on Thursday; the topic of discussion... financial regulatory restructuring.

Brazil's oil workers' union is set to vote on a strike planned for August 5th. Even so, that must be less of a disaster than it would be in the States, given the nation's automotive fleet runs on ethanol. At 10:30, the EIA will report on natural gas inventories, which have been increasing. Natural gas futures trade at about $10.50 per MMBtu, not cheap, relatively speaking. Of course, the price of natural gas is impacted by the price of oil and a growing degree of substitution between the two.

Thursday's abbreviated earnings schedule includes reports from 3M (NYSE: MMM), Abaxis (Nasdaq: ABAX), affymetrix (Nasdaq: AFFX), Alaska Airlines (NYSE: ALK), AmeriSourceBergen (NYSE: ABC), Arctic Cat (Nasdaq: ACAT), Ashland (NYSE: ASH), AutoNation (NYSE: AN), Ball Corp. (NYSE: BLL), Becton, Dickinson (NYSE: BDX), BMC Software (NYSE: BMC), Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY), Brunswick (NYSE: BC), Burlington Northern Sante Fe (NYSE: BNI), Cabot Oil and Gas (NYSE: COG), Cache (Nasdaq: CACH), Cash America Int'l (NYSE: CSH), Celgene (Nasdaq: CELG), Chubb (NYSE: CB), Cohu (Nasdaq: COHU), Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS), Daimler (NYSE: DAI), Diamond Offshore (NYSE: DO), Dover Motorsports (NYSE: DVD), DSP Group (Nasdaq: DSPG), East West Bancorp (Nasdaq: EWBC), Eastman Chemical (NYSE: EMN), Ecolab (NYSE: ECL), Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY), Encana (NYSE: ECA), Federal-Mogul (Nasdaq: FDML), Federated Investors (NYSE: FII), Ford Motor (NYSE: F), Foundry Networks (Nasdaq: FDRY), Franklin Resources (NYSE: BEN), Friedman Billings Ramsey (NYSE: FBR), Global Payments (NYSE: GPN), Goodrich (NYSE: GR), ImClone (Nasdaq: IMCL), J&J Snack Foods (Nasdaq: JJSF), Janus Capital (NYSE: JNS), Juniper Networks (Nasdaq: JNPR), Kennametal (NYSE: KMT), Kimberly Clark (NYSE: KMB), Lab Corp. (NYSE: LH), Level 3 Communications (Nasdaq: LVLT), Mathews Int'l (Nasdaq: MATW), Medco Health (NYSE: MHS), National City (NYSE: NCC), Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM), Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY), Penn National Gaming (Nasdaq: PENN), Pool Corp. (Nasdaq: POOL), Potash Corp. (NYSE: POT), RadioShack (NYSE: RSH), Raytheon (NYSE: RTN), Smith Int'l (NYSE: SII), Taser Int'l (Nasdaq: TASR), The Cheesecake Factory (Nasdaq: CAKE), Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW), Travelzoo (Nasdaq: TZOO), UST (NYSE: UST), VCA Antech (Nasdaq: WOOF), Xerox (NYSE: XRX) and Zebra Technologies (Nasdaq: ZBRA).

Friday

Durable Goods Orders (June) are expected to have decreased 0.4%, according to Bloomberg's consensus of economists. While we discount the relevance of inventory data here at "The Greek," we take order activity soberly. June's results will compare against no change posted in May and a 0.5% decline in April. Signs continue to point toward second half recession.

The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment take is expected to read 56.4, the same as the prior month level. New Home Sales, that smaller portion of the housing market, is seen running at an annual pace of 505K in June, versus 512K in May. If the consensus forecast proves true, new home sales will have reached a new bottom.

Friday's earnings news includes reports from Active Power (Nasdaq: ACPW), Advantest (NYSE: ATE), Alexander & Baldwin (Nasdaq: ALEX), American Axel & Manufacturing (NYSE: AXL), Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI), Barnes Group (NYSE: B), Beckman Coulter (NYSE: BEC), Belo (NYSE: BLC), Black & Decker (NYSE: BDK), Ceradyne (Nasdaq: CRDN), CNA Surety (NYSE: SUR), Coventry Health (NYSE: CVH), Federal Signal (NYSE: FSS), Fortune Brands (NYSE: FO), Frischs Restaurants (NYSE: FRS), Gorman-Rupp (NYSE: GRC), Honda Motor (NYSE: HMC), Horizon Lines (NYSE: HRZ), Idexx Labs (Nasdaq: IDXX), Infineon Tech (NYSE: IFX), ITT Corp. (NYSE: ITT), KT Corp. (NYSE: KTC), Lance (Nasdaq: LNCE), Legg Mason (NYSE: LM), MB Financial (Nasdaq: MBFI), Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX), NuStar Energy (NYSE: NS), NW Natural (NYSE: NWN), Philadelphia Consolidated (Nasdaq: PHLY), Republic Services (NYSE: RSG), Saia (Nasdaq: SAIA), Sierra Pacific (NYSE: SRP), Standard Register (NYSE: SR), T. Rowe Price (Nasdaq: TROW) and Viad Corp. (NYSE: VVI).

Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website. Article also interests AMEX: SPY, AMEX: DIA, AMEX: QLD, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SDS, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX.

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Sunday, July 20, 2008

Weekly Videos of Interest - July 14 - 21

Welcome back for another great copy of Week in Video Review. We expect you'll have a great time viewing the more than 50 videos we've compiled for you. They include, as usual, business news, political happenings, world events, feel good stories and comedy baby, yeah! If you do not see the video here, then you have to visit the Wall Street Greek website baby. I promise it will hurt less than pulling teeth.



As always, the opinions expressed within the videos may not agree with the view of Wall Street Greek. Article interests the greater world and AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.

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Saturday, July 19, 2008

Week in Review: Government Sponsored Destruction

CEO Chiefs Fannie Mae Freddie Mac
This week's issue of "Week in Review" focuses on the dramatic unwinding of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and how, ironically, positive financial sector news acted as catalyst for market turn by mid-week.

By "The Greek"


The week that was... was a tale of two tapes. The five-day drama began in a state of complete chaos inherited from the prior week's close, as investors and economic controllers contemplated the potential demise of the mortgage market as we know it. A mass exodus from the shares of Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) illustrated in living color the reason why the GSEs should never have been private entities in the first place. The shares enjoyed an unnatural premium over the years, as the term "government sponsored" was misinterpreted as "indestructible" by equity investors.

"Fannie and Freddie shares enjoyed an unnatural premium over the years, as the term "government sponsored" was misinterpreted as "indestructible" by equity investors."

Fannie's shares ranged wildly this week from $6.82 to $13.99, and have depreciated in value by 31% in July alone. The same goes for Freddie, whose investors have born a 44% value decimation this month. However, even as the free world held its collective breath through the Congressional testimonies of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, a caped crusader swiftly answered the market's call for help.

It wasn't Batman who saved the day though, but Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC). Wells single-handedly pulled the market up and out of its doldrums on Wednesday thanks to its surprisingly strong earnings report. Make no mistake about it; the event was as powerful a catalyst for upside as any GSE catastrophe might have been (and may yet be) for the downside.

The market ran with the good news! Financial sector stocks like Citigroup (NYSE: C), which also did less worse than expected this quarter, regained some investor confidence after their values had overcompensated for risk. The market retained its new found favor, despite a blunt blow taken from Tech Sector stalwarts Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) and Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), and we take this opportunity to remind you about our pre-earnings season article "Technology Stocks, Underweight Tech Now!." Heck, the haunting black cloud of the Hindenburg Omen would not even deter the market!

We told you earnings data would drive stocks last week, but it is our duty to remind you that the week also offered ominous inflation metrics. Both the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in hot for June, by our interpretation. However, inflation concerns were quelled by oil and its backtracking to $128.50 per barrel (NYM August Contract). Energy conscious Americans benefited this week from a soft Chinese GDP report, an increase in our oil inventory and Iran's NOT launching any new missiles. Can you bear another I told you so? See our piece, "Oil Prices and Refiner Stocks;" it's very prescient if I do say so myself.

The Week Ahead (in brief... "The Greek's Week Ahead" is on tap)

The coming week's news flow should be dominated by corporate earnings reports, as the season gets into full swing. Please see our site, Market Moving News to keep up with each day's individual schedule. We'll note a handful of reports of interest here: Monday – American Express (NYSE: AXP), Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Merck (NYSE: MRK); Tuesday – Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), DuPont (NYSE: DD), Halliburton (NYSE: HAL), Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM), Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO); Wednesday – Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE: GSK), McDonald's (NYSE: MCD); Thursday – Cash America Int'l (NYSE: CSH), Daimler (NYSE: DAI), Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY), Encana (NYSE: ECA), Ford (NYSE: F), VCA Antech (Nasdaq: WOOF); Friday – Coventry Health (NYSE: CVH), Fortune Brands (NYSE: FO) and Honda Motor (NYSE: HMC).

The relatively quiet economic schedule includes the Leading Indicators Report for June on Monday; measures of confidence, the State Street Investor Confidence Index on Tuesday and University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading on Friday; Existing and New Home Sales for June on Thursday and Friday, respectively; and Durable Goods Orders on Friday.

Article also interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.
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Friday, July 18, 2008

Hindenburg Omen

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By "The Greek,"

The mysterious and infamous Hindenburg Omen is signaling that the stock market might be due for one of those nasty crashes it experiences from time to time.

The Omen is a dark technical indicator of stock market strife to come. The crystal ball signaled trouble twice this past June… you remember June, the worst June in 78 years… In the last 25 years in fact, no market crash has occurred without a signal from the Omen. But, it has flashed more often than just before market nastiness, so it’s not the end-all tell-all forecaster either.

In any event, the alarm is triggered when a significant number of NYSE stocks are marking new highs and lows at the same time. I have a theory of my own for why this is relevant, and how it may interrelate with the eventual catalyst that brings about sudden market death.

"Capital, you see, is a pig, and even in tough times, it finds something to eat."

Capital, you see, is a pig, and even in tough times, it finds something to eat. When the broader market is marking new lows, why else would a significant number of stocks also reach new highs? The answer is because of capital flows.

Capital finds profit, and drives pockets of valuation bubbles, even in broad market decline. In fact, during a period of broader decline, there are fewer places to hide, so to speak, and so capital amasses atop the times’ handful of success stories. This creates an unnatural bubble in a small segment of stocks. So, I expect that when that middle class of stocks disappears, as is the case today, and capital is amassed in a few names, perhaps the market demands reversion.

Capitulation

Capitulation occurs when the broader market gives up on stocks altogether. In a scenario like that defined by the Omen, a catalyst-event could (and often does) leave money believing no equity investment were safe, leading capital out of the few inflated names that were hitting new highs. These questionably valued winners could deflate in a hurry in that case.

The newly dislocated capital flowing out of those stocks is not likely to reallocate to the already bloodied names of the street either. In fact, stubborn long-term holders of losing shares typically give in as well, and so capitulation is related with market bottoms. These exacerbated sell-offs leave stocks bone dry of capital, and almost always as cheap as they get.

We hope we have demystified the Hindenburg Omen a bit for you, and perhaps presented a reasonable case for why the dark predictor is so effective.

Article interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: DOG, NYSE: NYX, Nasdaq: QQQQ, AMEX: QLD, NYSE: FNM, NYSE: FRE, NYSE: WFC, NYSE: BAC, Nasdaq: ETRUX, Nasdaq: IIRLX, Nasdaq: IIRMX, Nasdaq: IIRSX, AMEX: BJW, AMEX: REK, AMEX: MSU. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.
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Thursday, July 17, 2008

Russia, Iran and Intelligence Sharing

By Yal - Reporter, Middle Eastern Affairs

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There are reports that Russian advisers have analyzed the significant Israeli air force drill that was performed over the Eastern Mediterranean more than two weeks ago.

Israel leaked news of the drill, in which Israeli Air Force jets flew all the way to Greece and covered a similar distance to that which would be necessary to reach Iran from Israel. However, a leak was not really needed, as every air force and intelligence operation in the area was following the drill. Egyptian President Mubarak even joked about it to an Israeli TV crew during an interview. He said, "It looked as if you had concurred half of the Mediterranean."

It is believed that Russian analysis indicates the drill was in fact a major operation of disinformation by Israel. The Russians combined uses of radar and listening posts to study signal intelligence of every word and radar signature that was emitted from all Israeli planes, and their conclusion was reportedly given to Iran.

I believe it read like this: Israel is bluffing to make it appear as if the attack would be coming from Turkey. There are rumors that the recent Israeli attack on the Syrian reactor (Sep 2007) also involved deception. For example, we note the recent discovery of extra fuel tanks marked in Hebrew from IAF planes; these were found on Turkish soil as if they had been jettisoned from the Israeli planes during a detour over Turkey into Syria. The Russians have concluded that this means an Israeli attack would be coming from over Iraq and not from Turkey. I expect the Russians transmitted this information to the Iranians.

Additional reports are asserting that the Russians are helping Iran shore up it's AA systems. Yet, one has to wonder if Russia and Iran are really on the same side here. After all, Iran is believed to be behind much of the Islamic revolt in many of Russia's controlled areas of the Caucuses. Also, if Iran is taken out of the world oil supply picture, Russia would be the biggest benefactor with access to all of Asia including China.

When oil prices drop, like over the last two days in a row, Wall Street needs to remember that the looming Israeli-Iran war is still a very real likelihood. Iran wants to have nukes and Israel is determined not to allow the inaction of others to again place the Jewish people into grave danger…..


Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website. Article interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, Nasdaq: AMDEX, Nasdaq: AMDAX, Nasdaq: XISLX, Nasdaq: AMDCX, Nasdaq: TRMAX, Nasdaq: TRIAX, AMEX: GAF.


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Middle Eastern Affairs, by Yal


Special Reporter - Middle Eastern Affairs

"Yal" reports to Wall Street Greek readers from an undisclosed location in the Middle East. Due to the sensitivity of the information Yal will share with our readers, and their often discreet source of origination, our reporter will remain anonymous.

Yal admits that much of the information he shares with our readers will be of rumor source, and should not always be taken as solid fact, but sometimes as possibility. Yal is on the ground in the hot bed of today's geopolitical focus and therefore has unique access to information our readers might not necessarily otherwise see.

Wall Street Greek has developed a relationship with Yal over the past few years, and we view his special insight important to today's geo-sensitive marketplace.

Yal's Intelligence Reports:



Full Disclosure: "Yal", whose identity is known to Wall Street Greek, has agreed to Wall Street Greek policy to not author articles about securities he personally owns. In the event of a special case, he will make full disclosure of ownership interest. The work of contributors to Wall Street Greek is their own, and may not necessarily agree with the opinion of the site or its founder, and does not constitute financial advice. Please see our full disclosure at the site (Wall Street Greek).

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Wednesday, July 16, 2008

Asian Growth Engines Face Challenges and Stiff Inflation

By Guneet Singh Sahni

Starting now and on a weekly basis, we will provide you with our expert analysis on the Asian markets and economy. Look for these reports each Sunday or Monday.

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Asian Markets

The past week, ended July 11, saw mixed closings among top Asian indices. Inflation continued to be a major challenge for most of the Asian countries including India, Japan and China.

The world's two fastest growing economies - China and India, the growth engine for the global economy, seem to have hit an impediment in their growth momentum, with both the economies facing tough macro economic challenges. India and China, which were among the world's best performing stock markets throughout 2007, have suddenly become two of the worst performing.

The market now fears of a slowdown for the two. Soaring crude oil and commodity prices, which have more than doubled, continue to put pressure on all major oil consuming economies. Japan's wholesale inflation rate has risen to a 27-year high of 5.6% in June, while India's WPI inflation has touched a 13-year high of 11.89%. The government has been trying to keep a balance between inflation and growth rates. Just the same, the markets will keep a close watch on how central banks for the Asian powerhouses manage the trade-off between rising inflation and slowing growth.

Commenting on the last trading week, Asian markets snapped a four-week loss on the last day. This came on reports that the U.S. government will prevent the collapse of Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE). China's CSI 300 Index gained 7.7% last week, snapping a seven-week losing streak, while India’s benchmark BSE Sensex closed flat, ending its seventh straight weekly loss.

India Equity Market Briefing

Slow industrial growth and persistent high Inflation make the outlook for the Indian market weak, in my opinion. The Indian market barometer, the BSE Sensex Index, recorded a slight increase of 15 points, or 0.1%, to end at 13,469 for the week ended Friday, July 11, 2008. The last trading day of the week offered a fall of 456 points, or 3.3%, on the back of slowing industrial growth output of 3.8% Y/Y, and against 10.6% growth from a year ago.

The fall was supported by inflation touching a 13-year high of 11.89%, against an expectation of 11.75%. Crude oil has also breached its all-time high of $146 per barrel, which we expect will prove a dampener for the Asian markets. BSE Sensex had earlier in the week made a recovery of 614 points or 4.6%, which was supported by strong global cues. However, it gave away all its gains by the end of the week. With inflation rising, we believe any possibility of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) softening monetary policy to boost sagging industrial output can be ruled out. The RBI is now facing a policy dilemma, which questions by how much should it worry about the slowdown in industrial growth, and how much the strength of inflation?

Industrial Output Grows Slowest in Six Years

India's industrial output for the month of May slowed down sharply to a rate of 3.8%, as compared to 10.6% a year ago, and against the consensus estimate of 6.7%. This is the slowest pace in more than six years.

Manufacturing output, which accounts for nearly four-fifths of the total weight of the Index of Industrial Production, grew 3.9% in May, as against 6.7% in April and 11.3% a year ago. Within manufacturing, output of capital goods grew 2.5% and consumer durables 4.4%. In May, electricity generation and mining output grew 2.0% and 5.2%, respectively.

India's industrial output during Apr-May, the first two months of the new financial year, grew 5.0% compared with 10.9% in the year ago period. Standard & Poor's said it may cut the nation's credit rating to junk if the economy deteriorates further. The risk of a credit downgrade comes just 18 months after India was lifted to the "investment" category by S&P for the first time since 2002.

Inflation at a 13-year high

We agree with the Reserve Bank of India estimate for WPI (Wholesale Price Index) inflation, which tracks changes in the cost of living on a weekly basis. RBI expects a further increase in WPI to a range of 12-13% in coming weeks, owing to high agricultural commodity prices and recent domestic oil price hike. The weakening rupee is also making imports costlier, another contributing factor to high inflation. With Government's foremost priority to tame inflation growth, the Indian economy is expected to make a relative trade off between inflation and growth. India's central bank, which meets on July 29 to review monetary policy, last month raised its benchmark interest rate twice to a six-year high of 8.5% and lifted its cash reserve ratio to 8.75%. The cash reserve action is meant to prevent money supply in the banking system from stoking inflation.

Growing political difficulty for the UPA Government over India-US nuclear deal

Hot inflation figures have been a major setback for the ruling UPA Government, which faces elections in six states this year and general elections next year. The UPA is already contending with slowing economic growth and waning popularity.

Adding to its woes, the government’s decision to go ahead with the Indo-US nuclear deal has led to a loss of support from Left Part, one of its key allies. Consequently, the government will find difficulty in keeping its majority in the Indian Parliament, and it is expected to face a no confidence motion in the coming week. Higher prices have caused the ruling Congress party to lose elections in nine of eleven state polls since January 2007. The Government has set the fiscal deficit target at 2.5% of GDP. It has also spent $23 billion in Jan-March on food, fertilizer and oil subsidies in order to mitigate the impact of surging global costs of crude oil and other commodities.

The government, in a populist measure, has given a farm loan waiver of $17 billion over the last four months, and plans to raise salaries of 4 million civil servants in the sixth pay commission. These populist measures aimed to gain a foothold for the next election will make it difficult to meet fiscal deficit targets.

Japan equity market briefing

High Oil Prices Hurting Japan’s Economy

The world's second largest economy, which was in a state of deflation for years, is also not isolated from the Asian problem of burgeoning inflation on back of high crude oil and commodity prices. Japan's wholesale inflation rate rose to a 27-year high of 5.6% in June. However, Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa and his six colleagues kept the overnight lending rate at 0.5% this week. Policy makers also reviewed their semi-annual outlook report, first published in April.

Consumer sentiment is at a six-year low, and corporate profits are expected to fall for the first time in seven years. The central bank lowered its assessment of consumer spending in all of Japan's nine regions in its quarterly regional economic report last week. As per the bank's Tankan survey, large cap companies expect profits to decline 7% in fiscal 2008, the first drop since the 2001 recession. A drop in corporate profits, the source for the economy's positive cycle, will definitely discourage companies from making new investment, raising wages or hiring more workers.

Price increases are spreading beyond energy and food to industries such as automakers, which have so far avoided charging more through cost cutting and improving productivity. Hino Motors Ltd. (OTC: HINOY.PK), Japan's largest maker of heavy trucks, and Nissan Diesel Motor Co. (OTC: NSNDF.PK) this month raised prices of vehicles for the first time in almost 17 years to absorb costs.

Japan's current-account surplus narrowed for a third month in May, as oil prices pushed up the import bill. The trade surplus shrank 5.9% to $18.7 billion. A stronger yen is also eroding the value of interest payments that Japanese investors earn abroad. This caused the income surplus to shrink for a second month.

Exports rose 4.2% in May from a year earlier, compared with 4.9% in April. Imports climbed 4%, compared with 13.4% in April. Japan imports virtually all of its oil. Japan's currency has gained about 14% in the past year against the dollar. A stronger local currency cuts the value of exports and interest on securities when repatriated.

China Equity Market Briefing

China's economy has slowed each quarter since expanding 11.9%, the fastest pace in 12 years, between April and June last year. Second-quarter gross domestic product is due to be announced July 17 after a 10.6% expansion in the first three months. Inflation accelerated to 8.1% in the first five months of the year, from 4.8% for all of 2007, posing a threat to economic stability as the nation prepares to host the Olympics next month. The CSI 300 Index, which tracks yuan-denominated A shares listed on China's two exchanges is already down 45% this year, making it one of the world's worst performing markets.

The Central Bank of China has instructed banks to set aside a record amount in reserve after raising interest rates six times last year. The yuan strengthened 0.36% last week to 6.8340 per dollar, as the Government has reaffirmed that the battle against inflation remains its top priority.

The strengthening of the yuan has helped lower import costs as oil prices reached record levels. It has also helped narrow a record trade surplus that has flooded the economy with cash. The June trade surplus narrowed 21% to $21.4 billion from a year earlier. In its efforts to tighten controls on speculative capital, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange said on July 2 that it will require exporters to deposit foreign-currency income, including prepayments, into designated bank accounts from July 14 before the currency regulator confirms authenticity of the revenue and allows it to be converted.

Consequently exporters are hurrying to repatriate earnings from overseas and convert the money to yuan before the start of the new rules. This boosted the demand for the local currency. China's export growth has slowed more than economists estimated in June, putting the government under pressure to cool yuan gains to protect manufacturers.

China's trade surplus narrowed as growth slowed in shipments to the U.S. and the European Union. Imports climbed 31% in June, after a 40% increase in May. The Bank of China said in a report that the yuan's gains will slow in the fourth quarter as policy makers rely more on interest rates and less on currency appreciation to cool prices.

Look for your next Asian market report early next week.

Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website. Article interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, Nasdaq: ASIA, Nasdaq: PRASX, AMEX: PUA, AMEX: NWD, Nasdaq: MEAFX, Nasdaq: EBASX, Nasdaq: EVASX, Nasdaq: MACSX, Nasdaq: MATFX, AMEX: CZJ.

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Emerging Markets Asia, by Guneet Singh Sahni

Guneet Singh Sahni emerging markets asia wall street greek
Senior Analyst - Emerging Asian Markets, Specializing in India

Guneet Singh Sahni is a post graduate Management Degree holder from ICFAI Business School, Hyderabad, ranked as one of the top 10 business schools of India.

He started his career in KPMG and has been following the Indian equity market for the last five years. He is currently working for Adventity Research, tracking the Indian Defense & Infrastructure Sector. Adventity is the leading provider of fully integrated strategic services to a diverse global business community, including some of the world's top financial institutions and Global 1000 companies.

"Wall Street Greek is thrilled to fill what was a void in our global markets coverage with Mr. Sahni. "The Greek" is an enthusiast of individuals like Guneet, because they share his passion for the markets, strong work ethic, vision and they dare to dream big."

Sahni's Research Portfolio:




Full Disclosure: Mr. Sahni has agreed to Wall Street Greek policy to not author articles about securities he personally owns or holds beneficial interest in. In the event of a special case, Guneet will make full disclosure of ownership interest. The work of contributors to Wall Street Greek is their own, and may not necessarily agree with the opinion of the site or its founder, and does not constitute financial advice. Please see our full disclosure at the site (Wall Street Greek).

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Tuesday, July 15, 2008

This Week: Feds Slap Market's Fannie

feds slap markets fannie mae
We're halfway through July, the year and the baseball season. So, with the All-Star Game taking place this week, we thought it was ironic how the Feds slapped the market's fat Fannie (NYSE: FNM) concerns.

Despite Alcoa's EPS news last week, the current period welcomes the true start to earnings season, with a slew of regional banks reporting in a flurry of activity that peaks on Thursday. We have major reports to look forward to, including those from giants of American industry: Citigroup, Merrill Lynch and Google. Thus, earnings related data is more likely to drive the overall market through the period, but we are also anticipating critical inflation info so hold onto your caps, or your rear if you prefer...

Monday

Other than the market-settling press releases from the Federal Reserve, Treasury and SEC, there was no scheduled economic data on the slate for Monday. French markets were closed for Bastille Day, and workers at Brazil's Petrobras (NYSE: PZE) were set to strike.

While earnings season has officially begun, the reports will still be just trickling in for much of the week. Monday's schedule includes AMREP (NYSE: AXR), Associated Banc-Corp (Nasdaq: ASBC), Equity Lifestyle Properties (NYSE: ELS), Flagstar Bancorp (NYSE: FBC), Genentech (NYSE: DNA), M&T Bank (NYSE: MTB), Macatawa Bank (Nasdaq: MCBC), Mechel OAO (NYSE: MTL), Northern Financial (Nasdaq: NSFC), Novellus Systems (Nasdaq: NVLS), Ocean Power Technologies (Nasdaq: OPTT), PacWest Bancorp (Nasdaq: PACW), Peregrine Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: PPHM), Qiao Xing Universal Telephone (Nasdaq: XING), Royal Philips Electronics (NYSE: PHG) and Stanley Furniture (Nasdaq: STLY).

Tuesday

Tuesday starts with a major announcement from the Far East. The Bank of Japan is seen holding its key interest rate steady, though Barron's reports it could adjust its economic forecast lower. The Bank of Canada is also scheduled to announce its key rate decision on Tuesday morning.

Not to be outdone by our friendly foreigners, and just one week after testifying before a House panel, Ben Bernanke is scheduled to testify before the Senate Banking panel on Tuesday. Be sure to see the testimony live via our stock market news website. Simply use the CSPAN link found on our site. In any event, it should be interesting to see how Bernanke tries to quell concerns about the GSEs, because the testy Congressmen are likely to ask. CSPAN might soon afford a second camera, considering all the interesting events they'll follow this week. Also on Tuesday, a House committee will mull over a recommendation that the Air Force hold new bidding on the $35 billion air tanker contract.

Besides the usual ICSC and Redbook consumer measures, Retail Sales will be reported for the month of June at 8:30 AM ET. Bloomberg's consensus of economists anticipates a 0.5% rise, and 1.0% increase when excluding ailing autos. Remember, we've seen clear benefit from stimulus distribution, so greater growth is possible on the ex-auto number. We doubt it would lift the market though, since the stimulus benefit is widely known and well-discounted.

The first of the week's two big inflation reports comes on Tuesday at 8:30 when the Producer Price Index is offered up for the month of June. Powered by energy price momentum, the economists' consensus sees a 1.4% monthly rise. Excluding food and energy, the consensus expects a still important 0.3% increase (index increased 0.2% in May and 0.4% in April). We've seen enough anecdotal evidence of price hiking to begin to anticipate hotter measurements from the PPI and CPI core figures.

We'll be curious to see if manufacturing deteriorated further in July, after worse than expected Northeastern measurements last month. The Empire State Manufacturing Survey is due, and economists are looking for a reading of -7.0 in the New York area General Business Conditions Index. That's not far off from last month's take at negative 8.7.

At 10:00 AM, Business Inventories are expected to show a 0.4% increase in May, versus an April rise of 0.5%. Finally, OPEC will make its regular monthly report on the state of the oil market; this comes a week after it posted its 2008 Outlook, which was a monster of a report by the way.

American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO) will address investors on Tuesday. The day's earnings schedule includes Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), State Street (NYSE: STT), US Bancorp (NYSE: USB), VF Corp. (NYSE: VFC), ADTRAN (Nasdaq: ADTN), Altera (Nasdaq: ALTR), AmeriServ Financial (Nasdaq: ASRV), BOK Financial (Nasdaq: BOKF), Cintas (Nasdaq: CTAS), Consumer Portfolio Services (Nasdaq: CPSS), CoStar Group (Nasdaq: CSGP), Christalerias de Chile S.A. (AMEX: CGW), CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX), Dearborn Bancorp (Nasdaq: DEAR), Eaton Corp. (NYSE: ETN), First Mariner (Nasdaq: FMAR), JB Hunt (Nasdaq: JBHT), Joe's Jeans (Nasdaq: JOEZ), Palm Harbor Homes (Nasdaq: PHHM), Polaris Industries (NYSE: PII), Renaissance Learning (Nasdaq: RLRN), Renasant Corp. (Nasdaq: RNST), RLI Corp. (NYSE: RLI), Seagate Technology (NYSE: STX), Spansion (Nasdaq: SPSN), Suffolk Bancorp (Nasdaq: SUBK), Tanzanian Royalty Exploration (AMEX: TRE), W.W. Grainger (NYSE: GWW), Trustco Bank (Nasdaq: TRST) and Westamerica Bancorporation (Nasdaq: WABC).

Wednesday

The week's hump day also marks the month's this time around. At 8:30, the world and then some will be attentively awaiting the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June. We expect price increases are trickling through while they can, but if and when the stimulus runs dry, the restaurant/retail sector could turn into a barren wasteland. Many economists are looking for that demand deterioration to help ease inflation. However, inflation would dissipate at the cost of American industry, especially in the consumer sector.

Yours truly ate at P.F. Chang's (Nasdaq: PFCB) this past weekend, a stock I initiated into coverage shortly after its IPO. We noted the usual lines outside the door. In a couple months though, we expect restaurant lines could be replaced by queues waiters outside local unemployment offices. In any event, consumer prices are expected to jump 0.8% due to the rise in energy. Excluding that so-called phantom factor (energy), and food as well, prices are expected to increase just 0.2%, which compares to the 0.2% rise in May. And oh by the way, we're not in the camp that expects the economic cooling to stop inflation, at least not as far as food and energy are concerned, though it should have that effect under normal conditions. This is too big a topic for brief mention alone here. We'll try to do something with this in the near future.

The Housing Market Index touched a new low of 18 when last checked, and we're not expecting much better this month. The Mortgage Bankers Association issues its regular Purchase Applications Report in the early AM, and at 9:00, look for the Treasury International Capital Report to be released. The TIC data tracks the flow of foreign investments in long-term U.S. securities. Last month, the report showed an increase of $115.1 billion.

Industrial Production follows at 9:15, with expectations set to see no change in production, and capacity utilization deteriorate a tenth of a percentage point to 79.3%. Last month's measurement of utilization fell short of expectations, and it has continued to deteriorate throughout the year... as would be expected.

Ben Bernanke will spend his Wednesday testifying to the House in what has already been an exhaustive week for the poor fellow. The Fed will issue its June meeting minutes later in the day. Rounding out an especially busy schedule for the Federal Reserve on Wednesday, Kansas City Fed President Hoenig is scheduled to address general economic topics before an audience.

In a topic currently relevant to yours truly, an FDA panel is reviewing a pneumonia drug that has been in the works at Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ). Overseas, the Bank of Thailand is expected to raise its key rate. Finally, the EIA issues its regular Petroleum Status Report...oh by the way, the report has been posting drastic draws from inventory of late. However, the market is much more concerned about Iran, or it seems it would otherwise take some profits in oil.

Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) will report on its quarterly output and Fluor (NYSE: FLR) is scheduled to split 2-for-1. Wednesday's earnings schedule includes Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT), Delta Airlines (NYSE: DAL), eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM), Alliance Data (NYSE: ADS), AMB Properties (NYSE: AMB), AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR), ASML Holdings (Nasdaq: ASML), Astoria Financial (NYSE: AF), Cavium Networks (Nasdaq: CAVM), Crown Holdings (NYSE: CCK), Datalink (Nasdaq: DTLK), Exponent (Nasdaq: EXPO), First Midwest Bancorp (Nasdaq: FMBI), Gannett (NYSE: GCI), Hoku Scientific (Nasdaq: HOKU), Host Hotels and Resorts (NYSE: HST), Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (NYSE: KMP), Kinder Morgan Management (NYSE: KMR), Landstar System (Nasdaq: LSTR), Lufkin Industries (Nasdaq: LUFK), Marshall & Ilsley (NYSE: MI), MEDTOX Scientific (Nasdaq: MTOX), Mercantile Bank (Nasdaq: MBWM), National Penn Bancshares (Nasdaq: NPBC), Northern Trust (Nasdaq: NTRS), Piper Jafray (NYSE: PJC), Polycom (Nasdaq: PLCM), Resources Global Professionals (Nasdaq: RECN), Rurban Financial (Nasdaq: RBNF), S.Y. Bancorp (Nasdaq: SYBT), Saba Software (Nasdaq: SABA), St. Jude Medical (NYSE: STJ), Texas Capital Bancshares (Nasdaq: TCBI), TrueBlue (NYSE: TBI), United Community Financial (Nasdaq: UCFC), United Security Bancshares (Nasdaq: UBFO), Universal Forest Products (Nasdaq: UFPI), Valley National Bancorp (NYSE: VLY) and Xilinx (Nasdaq: XLNX).

Thursday

Two important economic reports are scheduled for the pre-market on Thursday. Look for the regular Weekly Initial Jobless Claims data from the Labor Department. Economists are generally looking for an up-tick to a level in between last week's 346K and the prior week's 404K, with consensus at 378K this time around.

Also at 8:30, June Housing Starts are expected to fall to an annual rate of 960K, from 975K in May. Barron's cover story this past weekend was entitled "Home Prices are about to Bottom." We'll let you know what we think about the story after we read it on the train Tuesday.

At 10:00, look for the Philadelphia Federal Reserve to issue its survey, with economists expecting the General Business Conditions Index to show a negative 17.0, compared to -17.1 last time out.

We'll be back to CSPAN to catch a Senate investigative panel, as it examines the very interesting topic of offshore tax havens on Thursday. We have more than a few friends who will be attuned to that particular meeting. Speaking of offshore issues, China is scheduled to issue several economic statistics for the month of June, not to mention its Q2 GDP data. The world's central bankers and oil traders will be a spot interested in that news. Regarding energy, the EIA posts its regular Natural Gas Report at 10:30. Last week, the group noted a build in inventory.

Thursday's earnings schedule includes Google (Nasdaq: GOOG), JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER), Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), The Coca-Cola Co. (NYSE: KO), A.O. Smith (NYSE: AOS), Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD), AMCORE Financial (Nasdaq: AMFI), American River Bankshares (Nasdaq: AMRB), Amphenol (NYSE: APH), AptarGroup (NYSE: ATR), Avocent (Nasdaq: AVCT), BancFirst (Nasdaq: BANF), BancorpSouth (NYSE: BXS), Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE: BK), Baxter Int'l (NYSE: BAX), BB&T (NYSE: BBT), Berkshire Hills (Nasdaq: BHLB), BlackRock (NYSE: BLK), Brookline Bancorp (Nasdaq: BRKL), Brown & Brown (NYSE: BRO), Calamos Asset Management (Nasdaq: CLMS), Capital One Financial (NYSE: COF), Champion Enterprises (NYSE: CHB), CIT Group (NYSE: CIT), Citizens Banking (Nasdaq: CRBC), Coca-Cola Enterprises (NYSE: CCE), Comerica (NYSE: CMA), Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL), Courier Corp (Nasdaq: CRRC), Cubist Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: CBST), Cypress Semiconductor (NYSE: CY), Cytec Industries (NYSE: CYT), Danaher (NYSE: DHR), Enterprise Financial Services (Nasdaq: EFSC), Evergreen Solar (Nasdaq: ESLR), Fairchild Semiconductor (NYSE: FCS), Fidelity Sourthern (Nasdaq: LION), First Commonwealth Financial (NYSE: FCF), First Financial Bankshares (Nasdaq: FFIN), First Financial Holdings (Nasdaq: FFCH), First Horizon National (NYSE: FHN), Flagstar Bancorp (NYSE: FBC), Genuine Parts (NYSE: GPC), Gilead Sciences (Nasdaq: GILD), Great Southern Bancorp (Nasdaq: GSBC), Harley-Davidson (NYSE: HOG), HNI Corp. (NYSE: HNI), Home Bancshares (Nasdaq: HOMB), Huntington Bancshares (Nasdaq: HBAN), ICU Medical (Nasdaq: ICUI), Illinois Toolworks (NYSE: ITW), Independent Bank (Nasdaq: INDB), Informatica (Nasdaq: INFA), Insteel Industries (Nasdaq: IIIN), International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM)...

...International Game Technology (NYSE: IGT), Johnson Controls (NYSE: JCI), Knoll Inc. (NYSE: KNL), Leggett & Platt (NYSE: LEG), MBT Financial (Nasdaq: MBTF), McMoRan Exploration (NYSE: MMR), Media General (NYSE: MEG), Meridian Biosciences (Nasdaq: VIVO), Methode Electronics (NYSE: MEI), MGIC Investment (NYSE: MTG), Mission West Properties (NYSE: MSW), Nash Finch (Nasdaq: NAFC), National Beverage (Nasdaq: FIZZ), New Oriental Education & Technology (NYSE: EDU), Nexen (NYSE: NXY), Nokia (NYSE: NOK), NovaGold Resources (AMEX: NG), Novartis (NYSE: NVS), Nucor (NYSE: NUE), Orbital Sciences (NYSE: ORB), Pacific Continental (Nasdaq: PCBK), People's United Financial (Nasdaq: PBCT), PMC-Sierra (Nasdaq: PMCS), PNC Financial (NYSE: PNC), PPG Industries (NYSE: PPG), Provident Bankshares (Nasdaq: PBKS), Reliance Steel (NYSE: RS), Safeway (NYSE: SWY), Sherwin-Williams (NYSE: SHW), Simmons First National (Nasdaq: SFNC), Skyworks (Nasdaq: SWKS), Soapstone Networks (Nasdaq: SOAP), Sonoco Products (NYSE: SON), Stryker (NYSE: SYK), SunPower (Nasdaq: SPWR), TD Ameritrade (Nasdaq: AMTD), Tempur Pedic (NYSE: TPX), Textron (NYSE: TXT), Umpqua Holdings (Nasdaq: UMPQ), United Technologies (NYSE: UTX), USA Truck (Nasdaq: USAK), Valmont (NYSE: VMI), Virginia Commerce (Nasdaq: VCBI), Votorantim Celulose (NYSE: VCP), Winmark Corp. (Nasdaq: WINA) and Zions Bancorp (Nasdaq: ZION).

Friday

Economic data empty, Friday still offers investors little chance to catch their breath. Besides the very important earnings reports you see listed below, the world's media will be following Barack Obama as he sets forth on his foreign policy fine-tuning tour of Europe and the Middle East.

Friday's earnings close out with big-leaguers Citigroup (NYSE: C), Honeywell (NYSE: HON), Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB), Acme Unlimited (AMEX: ACU), Amcol Int'l (NYSE: ACO), Bridge Capital Holdings (Nasdaq: BBNK), Donegal Group (Nasdaq: DGICA), Gateway Financial (Nasdaq: GBTS), Great Atlantic and Pacific Tea (NYSE: GAP), Green Bankshares (Nasdaq: GRNB), iGate Corp. (Nasdaq: IGTE), LaBranche & Co. (NYSE: LAB), Manpower (NYSE: MAN), Mattel (NYSE: MAT), Old Second Bancorp (Nasdaq: OSBC), Overstock.com Inc. (Nasdaq: OSTK), Popular (Nasdaq: BPOP), Sensient Technologies (NYSE: SXT), Student Loan Corp. (NYSE: STU), Wilmington Trust (NYSE: WL) and Wipro Limited (NYSE: WIT).

Baseball fans should take note that the first round of bidding for the Chicago Cubs is due on Friday. The team is currently owned by the Tribune.

Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website. Article also interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX.

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Monday, July 14, 2008

Premarket: Feds Seek to Stabilize GSEs and Market

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There's no rest for the weary, as the Federal government spent the weekend scrambling to stabilize the financial system and stock market.

With Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the financial system hanging in the balance, we were greeted this morning by a trio of press releases from the Treasury Department, Federal Reserve and the SEC. It became immediately clear the Federal government has been scrambling to save the financial system, and avert perhaps a stock market crash.

Fed Action

The Federal Reserve Board quickly authorized Ben Bernanke to "bail out" the GSEs if necessary, so the financial backstop provided Bear Stearns is certainly there, no matter the consequence to the Fed's balance sheet nor the value of the dollar. As for Fannie (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie (NYSE: FRE) shareholders, well, the Treasury seems to have your interests in mind as well (see the next section).

Even so, Wall Street Greek believes this debacle is clear and unequivocal evidence that the GSEs should never have be private sector entities in the first place. The failure to recognize that in the past falls squarely on the shoulders of our government.

Treasury Department Hope and Prayer

The Treasure Department issued a release this morning as well. It offers a three part plan that includes the option for the Treasury to buy into the GSE shares. Paulson indicated that the entities should remain shareholder owned. We're guessing the government recognizes the heavy burden of taking these companies completely under government control; this is not Bear Stearns. At the same time, the government probably thinks it could turn a profit on its stock as the economy stabilizes. Let's face it, what this amounts to is government bailout of the shareholders of the GSEs, while saving the financial system. In any event, it's a necessity to avoid dire consequence.

SEC Blame Game

The Securities and Exchange Commission is coming down hard on traders who basically facilitate the spread of information for the better good of the market. However, we cannot argue that rumors helped to do in Bear Stearns (JP Morgan Chase NYSE: JPM), and have played a big role in some equity market activity.

Clearly, spreading false rumors for the sake of personal gain, while sending the financial markets into turmoil and potentially creating a catastrophic economic consequences cannot be tolerated. So, kudos for the government here... There's no excuse for this kind of selfish activity, but we warn, be careful not to step on the feet of American constitutional rights in the process.

What this Means for Trading Today

Well, if it works, it means the market will bounce sharply on the comfort that the government has got our backs. But, if investors and traders don't buy into the government's plea, based on concern that it is incapable of follow-through or that the consequences of the effort would be nearly as bad as the failure itself, then we're in for another tough one.

But, based on past successes and the naivete' of the community mindset, we expect the market will take comfort in these actions and look cautiously higher this morning. In the meanwhile, smart money is looking into just how bad things might get if the government has to follow through on its promises. Sovereign money is also paying attention, and we will for you as well.

Stock index futures indicate the market is comfortable with the actions and so expect a reversal of last week's panic, for now...

Article interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.

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Sunday, July 13, 2008

Weekly Video Fun - 70 Plus Clips!

Enjoy! Enjoy! Enjoy! Relax, it's just a phase we're going through, not obsessive-compulsive disorder or anything crazy like that! Anyway, we've done it again, and way overdone it perhaps. There are some 70 plus videos to peruse through here, and due to some changes at youtube, and resulting glitches, some of these may be in there twice. We'll delete them as soon as youtube gets its act together (read when we figure out the new fangled technology), so for now, we have to ask you to simply fast forward your way through any repetition. Thanks! Thanks! Thanks! Actually, we've already fixed the problem, but decided to keep the funny in the prelude...

For those of you who cannot see the video, you'll have to visit our website through the link found right here ---> Wall Street Greek.



As always, opinions expressed within videos may not agree with those of "The Greek." Article interests everyone and NYSE: NYX, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, Nasdaq: YHOO, Nasdaq: MSFT, Nasdaq: UAUA, NYSE: CAL, NYSE: LMT.

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Saturday, July 12, 2008

Wall Street Week in Review

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By "The Greek"

With little economic catalyst last week, the market wandered until two disturbing potential catastrophic catalysts came to the fore.

The first was Iran. The former Persia tested more than a few missiles, and of all sorts. The tests included disturbing land-to-sea rocket launches over the Persian Gulf and missile firings with range enough to reach Israel. The United States then warned Iran that it should not underestimate the resolve nor capability of the Red, White and Blue to defend its ally. Finally, the Jerusalem Post reported that Israel had been staging practice flights over Iraqi territory, in preparation for an attack on Iran.

Needless to say, oil, which had given up sharp ground to start the week, recovered more than enough ground to actually enter into record territory on Friday before settling back. Last week, we discussed oil, the dollar and the central banks in an interesting article entitled ECB and Fed Manipulate the Dollar and Oil.

Finally, we would be remiss if we failed to mention the panic that occurred in the financial sector, specifically in Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) shares on Thursday and Friday. Concerns arose that the two might not be adequately capitalized, and might require government bailout. That sounds like salvation right? So why did the shares tank on Thursday and Friday then? That question shamefully befuddled more than a few talking heads.

Well, let’s simply look back to Bear Stearns (now under JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), and how shareholders made out when that financial stalwart was “bailed out.” Bail out, you see, preserves the interrelated financial system, not the shareholders of the distressed firm. Needless to say, with all the disturbing news flow, the Dow Jones Industrials, which entered bear market territory (marked by 20% decline from peak) the prior week, shed another 1.7% last week.

Week Ahead in Brief (The Greek's Week Ahead is pending)

The coming week offers June Retail Sales, important inflation data in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), FOMC Meeting Minutes that might offer insight into the Fed’s mindset and finally regional manufacturing reports. Also, earnings season gets a little heavier, with news originating from many companies, including: Tuesday – Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB); Wednesday – Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM); Thursday – Google (Nasdaq: GOOG), Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER); Friday – Citigroup (NYSE: C) and Honeywell (NYSE: HON).

Article interests AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: QLD, NYSE: NYX, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SDS, Nasdaq: QQQQ. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.


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Friday, July 11, 2008

Australian Real Estate Follows American

australian real estate market follows american

Real Estate in many global neighborhoods is adjusting to the imbalances of supply and demand as well as the end of loose money. The correction in the property market that America is currently experiencing is and will be felt elsewhere as well. Maintaining current prices will be difficult in the face of higher interest rates, more stringent loan requirements, and a slowing in the business cycle. Appreciation is sure to slow dramatically. In fact, prices may fall like in the States.

In Australia, the process of topping is underway. First there was the mania and rush to accumulate property, knowing of course that today's price is much lower than tomorrow's. Easy money and rapid appreciation were at hand!

Then came the rise in rates (9.6% today) and slowing of demand. This brought the realization that prices are not continuing their ascent, and that negative cash flows can far exceed expected capital gains. As a result, discretionary cash is at first diverted to pay negative cash flows; then savings are used; then loans are renegotiated; and then finally losses are taken to end the bleeding either by the owner or the lender.

This phase is typified by the accumulation of homes for sale and an increasing length of time they spend on the market... the threshold of demand destruction. Real Estate Brokers are complaining that inquiry calls are down over 50% and buyers are not committing. Currently homes are beginning to accumulate with some neighborhoods having multiple signs on every block. Some communities are experiencing slight deterioration of price, down 3% to 5%, another confirmation of topping.

Affordability is a huge problem. While visiting Australia, I have observed California pricing without California wages. Values can be sustained only if a buyer can qualify for a loan and make the payments, as often times, it is not "how much" that matters, but how much a month...

Loan rates and values will need to be adjusted; today's market buyer cannot sustain current prices. Australia, like the U.S., has enjoyed an unprecedented period of growth and many business people have never experienced a downturn. The economy is very good and the resource sector is booming.

When the global downturn reaches Australia, the commodity bubble should implode. The Australian dollar which is almost at par with the US Dollar would likely then experience a sharp decline. The Australian Real Estate market should follow.

I believe the strategy to employ now is to sell Australian property holdings and purchase properties in the US that have already experienced the correction. The U.S. target properties should be discounted and probably lender owned. I would purchase with strong Australian dollars, leverage with fixed rates, and plan to sell in 5 years depending on circumstances at that time. This strategy is geared to capture good gains in Australia; use strong AUS dollars to buy discounted U.S. properties; wait for the recovery in the US and the resulting strength in US dollars; sell and start the cycle over again in Australia.

The Australian consumer is stretched: food prices are up 20%; fuel is $6-7 a gallon; mortgage rates are 9-9.6%; and home prices are near historical highs. It is difficult to imagine further price appreciation in the Australian property market. Thus, downside risk to this investment paring, involving going long U.S. distressed property and selling the still rich Australian real estate market, should be limited.

Article interests AMEX: IAF, Nasdaq: XIAFX, Nasdaq: CNZLX, PCX: EWA, PCX: FXA, AMEX: SRS, Nasdaq: JRECX, Nasdaq: TAREX, NYSE: IGR, Nasdaq: ACRBX, Nasdaq: REPIX, Nasdaq: PURCX, AMEX: NRO, AMEX: DIA, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: QLD, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: NYX. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.

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Real Estate Market, by Michael Douville

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Real Estate Market

Senior Analyst

Mr. Douville has been in the Real Estate Business since 1974, over 34 years. He started his career during the 1974 recession in the Southwest suburbs of Chicago, where he experienced an inflationary period followed by the crash.

In 1981, having experienced enough cold and snow, he and his wife of now almost 30 years moved to Scottsdale, Arizona, where for the last 25 years Mr. Douville has been associated with Realty Executives.

From 1982 through the early 1990's, the Douville's executed upon their well-thought-out business plan to accumulate income producing properties. Michael now represents and consults with investors while overseeing a portfolio of investment properties.

Michael has travelled extensively within Australia and New Zealand, and has journeyed on numerous occasions to the South Pacific, Europe, Mexico, Canada and the Caribbean, and of course throughout the US.

Wall Street Greek is enthused to have this strong real estate expert, with important front-line experience on board to cover the Real Estate Market for us. In this period of uncertainty, our readers deserve the steady hand Michael offers to guide them. We only have one complaint, that he's been all over Europe but NOT to Greece yet. However, I agree with Michael's view about money, that there are more important things in life. What we seek to do here at "The Greek" is to help people achieve and maintain financial security, or at least offer an interesting read. We thank Michael, and welcome his valuable contributions.

The Greek

Michael's Email: mdouville@wallstreetgreek. com
The Greek's Email: greek@wallstreetgreek. com

Douville's Article Portfolio:

Full Disclosure: Michael has agreed to Wall Street Greek policy to not author articles about securities he personally owns or holds beneficial interest in. In the event of a special case, Michael will make full disclosure of ownership or beneficial interest. The work of contributors to Wall Street Greek is their own, and may not necessarily agree with the opinion of the site or its founder, and does not constitute financial advice. Please see our full disclosure at the site (Wall Street Greek).

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Wednesday, July 09, 2008

ECB and Fed Manipulate Dollar and Oil

central bank manipulation of dollar ecb fed
Last week's ECB announcement and press conference, as well as recent Fed discussion has been chock full of jawboning intended to sustain the dollar. To be honest with you, we have been quite surprised at how successful the ECB and Fed have been at market manipulation.

Last week's very important shift in rate policy at the ECB, and its action to raise its key interest rate a quarter point, when taken in tandem with the fact that the Fed has reduced U.S. rates to a 2% low-point, should have further weakened the U.S. dollar. However, a clearly spoken non-bias by ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet, and Fed Chairman Bernanke's heavy on the hawkish commentary have successfully supported the dollar so far.

ECB Intentions Clear

It's very clear that the inflation-troubled ECB, which had telegraphed its impending move, also hoped it might keep further dollar softness in check. European producers are losing market share to competitively priced American goods, impacting the euro zone economy. Europe could bear this to some extent, since it allows for some lower cost goods to reach European consumers. However, it has been clear that the impact of cheaper American goods has been outweighed by an overall increase in the cost of living. The June jump in European inflation, as defined by the 4% HICP measure, presented impetus for the ECB to act. There was no longer time to wait for American economic stabilization if medium to long-term inflation was to be kept in check.

Fed's End of the Deal

At the same time, just a week earlier, the Fed stopped its expansionary campaign as it decided to hold interest rates steady. Our Fed, while keeping rates and capital cheap, also continued on its propaganda campaign to support the dollar with words. A steady stream of hawkish words have been born of Fed mouths, and more so as the ECB signaled what was to come last week. In its most recent policy statement, our beloved Fed stated that even though it still expected inflation to moderate this year and next, that uncertainty remained high as a result of commodity price momentum. The ECB said just about the same thing last week.

So, it would seem that the Fed and ECB are quite considerate of each other. The world's most developed and significant markets have much in common, and thus much to gain by working together to insure global stability. As each market flirts with recession, they both also face the same threat of inflation due to global demand stresses.

Unexpected Consequence

In the meantime, the key support for oil collapsed temporarily, which was certainly hoped for and perhaps even schemed by the central banks. Of course we are talking about the presumed demise of the dollar that nobody witnessed. When the dollar bought into central bank lobbying and held its ground, oil moved markedly lower. Still, its slippage only lasted until renewed geopolitical concern (read Iranian missile tests) jacked up oil again. The central banks can manipulate the markets all they want, but there's not much logic anyone can infuse into the Iranian mindset.

What Next...

Even so, the price of oil did not stage a remarkable comeback Wednesday on the Iranian news. It only snuck its head back up before collapsing again toward the end of the day. This leads us to make one of those predictions of ours. As we stated some weeks ago, oil should trade lower; we previously looked to a range from $125 to $135, if memory serves me right.

Momentum took crude higher, and, excuse the lack of technical description here, it just looked uncomfortable there above $141. We were even getting prepared to publish a "Sell Before $150 Trashes You" article. Demand destruction became apparent, and regulation is on the way to making oil trades less liquid. Today, the Petroleum Status Report painted another heavy weekly draw from inventory, and oil could not even hold its ground. Heck, Iran fired off missiles and oil could not look up! The momentum is looking the other way now, but here's where we make no sense... the same goes for the dollar. For this reason, oil should again find support before it reaches $125... and Iran is not going away. We see the dollar softening, and at some point, that should offer support to the cascading price of oil.

Central bank shenanigans can only fool the market for a short time. Despite all the hot air blowing, eventually the smart money will realize the ECB is raising rates, just as the Fed stopped cutting. The Fed remains tied to data, and basically handcuffed in the short-term. In other words, the dollar has to weaken, as long as it has not already overcompensated.

Ahead of the Fed meeting in August, the economy will be on its own as economic stimulus evaporates. We would bet against the dollar and avoid oil all together for now, because a congruence of momentum unwind for oil is countering the factor of dollar demise. If you need something to do with yourselves, we have another suggestion to use against the dollar, gold.

Article interests AMEX: DIA, PCX: GLD, AMEX: SPY, AMEX: DOG, AMEX: SDS, AMEX: QLD, NYSE: NYX, Nasdaq: QQQQ, NYSE: GG, NYSE: ABX, NYSE: AUY, Nasdaq: GOLD, NYSE: GFI, AMEX: USO, AMEX: DUG. Please see our disclosure at the Wall Street Greek website.

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EPS Earnings Season Kicks Off

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Wall Street Greek covers earnings season each quarter. Advance to our home page to see current news.

Ah the fond memories... It's earnings season again, despite the still sparse load of repor